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| Friday Chart Predictions |
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 20th April 2024, 11:13 AM
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#1
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 i can only do one normal thing a day
Joined: 25 July 2011
Posts: 19,647 User: 14,428 
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     All eyes on Taylor this week as her latest album impacts the singles chart, with Fortnight featuring Post Malone set to debut at #1. Drake drops his diss response to Kendrick Lamar with Push Ups onto streaming services, while Fontaines D.C. mark their return with Starburster, there’s also new tracks out from Jamie xx/Honey Dijon, Headie One/Stormzy/Tay Keith, Rachel Chinouriri, Cigarettes After Sex, Kings of Leon, Sia/Paris Hilton and AJ Tracey Taylor Swift’s The Tortured Poets Department will take the #1 album spot with massive sales, in week of new releases including Pearl Jam’s twelfth LP Dark Matter and Lucy Rose’s This Ain't The Way You Go Out, along with albums from Claire Rousay, Melvins, Cloud Nothings, High On Fire, My Dying Bride, A Certain Ratio, The Ghost Inside, Dayseeker, SeeYouSpaceCowboy, Ekko Astral, UB40 and Bruce Springsteen  Sunday 6:00pm - 7:00pm Official Chart: First Look on BBC Radio 1 Monday from 5:45pm Official Chart Update on officialcharts.com * Wednesday from 5:45pm Top 40 update from Music Week, with top 5 sales information * updates are not compiled on bank holiday Mondays, so on those occasions, the Official Chart Update will arrive Tuesday during the afternoon.  - As per the Friday chart thread, please do NOT post First Look spoilers before it airs on BBC Radio 1. - On any other days, information may come from outside sources but this is not regular. Anything we have will be posted, and anything that's posted must come with a source to prove its reliability. - Please do not demand a midweek update, one will be posted as and when we receive the information, and when a chart mod is available. - To keep everyone in the loop of all chart action, please refer to the iTunes and streaming threads. |
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20th April 2024, 11:14 AM
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#2
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i can only do one normal thing a day
Joined: 25 July 2011
Posts: 19,647 User: 14,428
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 Official Chart First Look: Full Update 1 Taylor Swift feat. Post Malone - Fortnight * 2 Taylor Swift - The Tortured Poets Department * 3 Taylor Swift - So Long, London * 4 Hozier - Too Sweet 5 Benson Boone - Beautiful Things 6 Teddy Swims - Lose Control 7 Sabrina Carpenter - Espresso 8 Beyoncé - TEXAS HOLD 'EM 9 Artemas - i like the way you kiss me 10 Dasha - Austin 11 Ariana Grande - we can't be friends (wait for your love) 12 Mark Ambor - Belong Together 13 Noah Kahan - Stick Season 14 Michael Marcagi - Scared to Start 15 The Blessed Madonna feat. Clementine Douglas - Happier 16 Ella Henderson feat. Rudimental - Alibi 17 Dua Lipa - Illusion 18 David Guetta & OneRepublic - I Don't Wanna Wait 19 Perrie - Forget About Us 20 NewEra - Birds in the Sky Official Charts Report QUOTE Taylor Swift’s Official Chart takeover with The Tortured Poets Department begins today. The US superstar is set to secure her fourth UK Number 1 single with Fortnight ft. Post Malone. The opening track and first official single from the album, Fortnight would join Taylor's other UK chart-toppers; Look What You Made Me Do (2017), cardigan (2020) and Is It Over Now? (Taylor's Version) (2023). Two more songs from Taylor’s 11th studio album track for Top 3 debuts, too; The Tortured Poets Department (2) and So Long, London (3). For the breaking news on what impact The Tortured Poets Department will have on the Official Albums Chart, check back tomorrow from 5pm for the Official Chart Update in what will no doubt be a massive week for Tay and all her tortured poets. US singer-songwriter Mark Ambor’s breakthrough single Belong Together could see a rise this week, predicted to jump one to Number 12. David Guetta & OneRepublic’s I Don’t Wanna Wait hopes to vault seven into the Top 20 for the first time (18). |
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20th April 2024, 11:14 AM
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#3
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i can only do one normal thing a day
Joined: 25 July 2011
Posts: 19,647 User: 14,428
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 Official Chart Update Singles (Top 100) 1 Taylor Swift feat. Post Malone - Fortnight (38,315) * 2 Taylor Swift - The Tortured Poets Department (28,015) * 3 Taylor Swift - So Long, London (25,580) * 4 Hozier - Too Sweet (22,706) 5 Benson Boone - Beautiful Things (17,970) 6-10 11-20 12 Mark Ambor - Belong Together 15 The Blessed Madonna feat. Clementine Douglas - Happier 17 Drake - Push Ups * 19 David Guetta & OneRepublic - I Don't Wanna Wait 21-30 22 Lay Bankz - Tell Ur Girlfriend 23 Bryson Tiller - Whatever She Wants 27 Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy) * 30 Chappell Roan - Good Luck, Babe! 31-40 35 Headie One & Stormzy feat. Tay Keith - Cry No More * ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Albums (Top 100) 1 Taylor Swift - THE TORTURED POETS DEPARTMENT (197,158) [153,657 physicals, 33,760 streaming, 9,741 downloads]* 2 Pearl Jam - Dark Matter (7,270) * 3 UB40 - UB45 (5,726) * 4 Beyoncé - COWBOY CARTER (3,455) 5 Blur - Parklife (3,378) ^ 6-10 6 Pink Floyd - The Dark Side of the Moon ^ 7 Orbital - Orbital ^ 9 Fleetwood Mac - Rumours ^ 10 The 1975 - Live at Gorilla * 11-20 11 Bruce Springsteen - Best of Bruce Springsteen * 13 David Bowie - Waiting in the Sky (Before the Starman Came to Earth) * 16 When Rivers Meet - Breaker of Chains Tour Live * 18 Amy Winehouse - Back to Black 21-30 24 Lucy Rose - This Ain't the Way You Go Out * 30 Noah Kahan - I Was / I Am * 31-40 32 Black Sabbath - Paranoid ^ 35 Hozier - Wasteland, Baby! ^ 37 Maisie Peters - The Good Witch ^ |
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20th April 2024, 11:15 AM
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#4
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i can only do one normal thing a day
Joined: 25 July 2011
Posts: 19,647 User: 14,428
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 Music Week Top 40 Sales Flash Singles 1 Taylor Swift feat. Post Malone - Fortnight (60,477) * 2 Taylor Swift - The Tortured Poets Department (41,684) * 3 Taylor Swift - Down Bad (39,530) * 4 Hozier - Too Sweet (39,433) 5 Benson Boone - Beautiful Things (30,719) 6-10 11-20 12 Mark Ambor - Belong Together 13 Drake - Push Ups * 16 The Blessed Madonna feat. Clementine Douglas - Happier 19 Lay Bankz - Tell Ur Girlfriend 20 Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy) * 21-30 22 Bryson Tiller - Whatever She Wants 24 David Guetta & OneRepublic - I Don't Wanna Wait 25 Chappell Roan - Good Luck, Babe! 31-40 35 Headie One & Stormzy feat. Tay Keith - Cry No More * ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Albums 1 Taylor Swift - THE TORTURED POETS DEPARTMENT (236,929) [173,850 physicals, 52,608 streaming, 10,471 downloads]* 2 Pearl Jam - Dark Matter (8,784) * 3 UB40 - UB45 (6,776) * 4 Beyoncé - COWBOY CARTER (5,874) 5 The Weeknd - The Highlights (4,933) 6-10 6 Olivia Rodrigo - GUTS 7 Noah Kahan - Stick Season 8 Blur - Parklife ^ 9 Fleetwood Mac - Rumours ^ 10 Bruce Springsteen - Best of Bruce Springsteen * 11-20 11 Pink Floyd - The Dark Side of the Moon ^ 12 Fleetwood Mac - 50 Years: Don't Stop 13 ABBA - Gold: Greatest Hits 14 Orbital - Orbital ^ 15 The 1975 - Live at Gorilla * 17 Amy Winehouse - Back to Black 21-30 22 Michael Jackson - The Essential Michael Jackson 24 David Bowie - Waiting in the Sky (Before the Starman Came to Earth) * 29 Bob Marley & The Wailers - Legend 30 SZA - SOS 31-40 35 Hozier - Wasteland, Baby! ^ 37 When Rivers Meet - Breaker of Chains Tour Live * 40 Lucy Rose - This Ain't the Way You Go Out * |
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20th April 2024, 01:49 PM
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#5
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 rip in peace Dickston
Joined: 29 January 2017
Posts: 9,596 User: 25,045
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So Fortnight is set to be #1, will Taylor also have #2 and #3?
Hozier is still going strong so holding on to #2 is possible but we’ll see how Taylor tracks during the week |
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20th April 2024, 01:54 PM
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#6
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 Baby Reindeer
Joined: 9 March 2008
Posts: 13,480 User: 5,567
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I can see Hozier heading towards a symmetrical chart run with 8-4-1-1-4 this week. Taylor’s definitely occupying the top 3.
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20th April 2024, 02:05 PM
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#7
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rip in peace Dickston
Joined: 29 January 2017
Posts: 9,596 User: 25,045
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Fortnight staying the top track for a while is assumed, and I think the title track will also lead in front of the other album songs sales wise.
The next few aren't too far from each other though, we could have a few weeks of 3-out, 5-out, 3-x-7, etc. as different tracks overtake streaming but the OCC rules only allow the Top 3? 
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20th April 2024, 02:10 PM
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#8
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,208 User: 18,639
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It won't keep those numbers up to be able to do that.
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20th April 2024, 02:27 PM
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#9
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is my brain across your walls?
Joined: 14 February 2009
Posts: 115,136 User: 8,300
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I think Taylor likely has #1 in the bag now but getting the whole top 3 will be difficult with how well Hozier is still doing, she'd need to have 3 songs all having similar first week sales to 'Anti-Hero' - I think I'd predict her to get 1, 3 and 4 again.
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20th April 2024, 02:58 PM
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#10
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 6 December 2023
Posts: 712 User: 173,568
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Would say Sabrina has a good shot at 1 next week. This week aside from 1 is hard to tell it looks like a Taylor top 3 for sure
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20th April 2024, 03:28 PM
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#11
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 22 December 2009
Posts: 30,429 User: 10,275
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QUOTE(Liam sota @ Apr 20 2024, 03:58 PM)  Looks like a Taylor top 3 for sure Brave prediction based on one day streams. |
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20th April 2024, 04:44 PM
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#12
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Break the tension
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 89,110 User: 51
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QUOTE(Liam sota @ Apr 20 2024, 03:58 PM) Would say Sabrina has a good shot at 1 next week. This week aside from 1 is hard to tell it looks like a Taylor top 3 for sure You really think Sabrina might overthrow Hozier in the next week? |
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20th April 2024, 05:22 PM
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#13
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 15 September 2010
Posts: 10,462 User: 11,847
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Yeah, with Taylor and the huge streams for Hozier, I think it’s looking like Sabrina is going to get a ‘Greedy’ type long running top 3 hit at best with ‘Espresso’.
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21st April 2024, 01:48 PM
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#14
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BuzzJack Climber
Joined: 28 December 2015
Posts: 80 User: 22,811
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I’m seeing Taylor as 1-3-4, definitely think Hozier will catch up on the other two tracks
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21st April 2024, 04:40 PM
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#15
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 you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 122,116 User: 13,530 
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20 mins to First Look!
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21st April 2024, 04:48 PM
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#16
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New Entry
Joined: 29 October 2013
Posts: 30 User: 20,026
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Taylor Swift is definitely scoring another chart double on Friday, with fortnight probably being her 4th UK number 1 song. Probably another two top 5 tracks for her on Friday aswell. Because of this cruel summer will exit the charts but hopefully will return if it’s still getting solid streaming numbers
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21st April 2024, 05:01 PM
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#17
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you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 122,116 User: 13,530
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20 NewEra - Birds in the Sky
19 Perrie - Forget About Us |
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21st April 2024, 05:02 PM
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#18
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Baby Reindeer
Joined: 9 March 2008
Posts: 13,480 User: 5,567
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Perrie looks to be coming for that 10-38 chart run.
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21st April 2024, 05:06 PM
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#19
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you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 122,116 User: 13,530
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18 David Guetta & OneRepublic - I Don't Wanna Wait
17 Dua Lipa - Illusion |
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21st April 2024, 05:07 PM
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#20
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 30 April 2019
Posts: 2,642 User: 87,101
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QUOTE(Scene @ 21st April 2024, 06:02 PM) Perrie looks to be coming for that 10-38 chart run. Little Mix aren't very good at doing solo singles since they always fall after they debuted. |
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