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 OPINION POLLS 2019-2024, This thread is 'oven-ready' for the latest polls. |
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 26th March 2024, 12:07 AM
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#961
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 BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2009
Posts: 8,606 User: 10,030 
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12th April 2024, 12:22 PM
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#962
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 26 February 2007
Posts: 14,457 User: 3,002
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14th April 2024, 09:24 AM
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#963
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,319 User: 5,138
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No matter the Reform and Tory %s I’m still think we will see a fair standard ‘landslide’ in that Labour will get near 400 seats, Tories 180-190 and Reform 1 or 0 seats. These predictions of the tories on less than 150 seats don’t happen in FPTP no matter what has happened!
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30th April 2024, 11:27 PM
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#964
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,319 User: 5,138
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Polls showing the tories May win the West Midlands and teeside mayoral elections which the party would try and claim as a coup! Would it be bough to save Rishi for now though!?
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2nd May 2024, 07:25 AM
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#965
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 #38BBE0 otherwise known as 'sky blue'
Joined: 27 October 2008
Posts: 16,190 User: 7,561
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Tories down to 18pc in the latest YouGov, a new record low. Reform climb to 15. If repeated at a GE, the Tories would retain just 32 seats with Rishi Sunak losing his seat.. Thoughts and prayers for Laura Kuenssberg at this difficult time x |
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2nd May 2024, 07:33 AM
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#966
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 21 February 2021
Posts: 3,687 User: 124,514
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QUOTE(Steve201 @ 1st May 2024, 12:27 AM)  Polls showing the tories May win the West Midlands and teeside mayoral elections which the party would try and claim as a coup! Would it be bough to save Rishi for now though!? I know the West Midlands mayor has campaigned on a pro Andy Street ticket without mentioning the Tories. So a personal vote (I don't follow that area enough to know if he is actually very good but he was very vocal re the HS2 being reduced debacle). The Teeside mayor, Ben Houchen was miles ahead. It depends on the other votes. Some are saying that if these two provide Sunak with enough of a consolation prize to avoid a leadership challenge and the other results are diabolical then that would be worse for the Tories. If all results including them are bad we may get Mordaunt as PM and you know that she won't do as badly as Sunak at the GE. Blackpool South MP by election today too. Result should be a big Labour win. Depends by how much. This post has been edited by Smint: 2nd May 2024, 07:33 AM |
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2nd May 2024, 07:36 AM
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#967
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BuzzJack Regular
Joined: 30 March 2024
Posts: 236 User: 175,892
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QUOTE(Doctor Blind @ 2nd May 2024, 08:25 AM) Tories down to 18pc in the latest YouGov, a new record low. Reform climb to 15. If repeated at a GE, the Tories would retain just 32 seats with Rishi Sunak losing his seat.. Thoughts and prayers for Laura Kuenssberg at this difficult time x Crikey Sunak's going to have a hard time staying as PM if the local election results line up anything like that. Going to have to suffer Kuenssberg presenting the local elections overnight. Thankfully it'll be Jo Coburn during the day tomorrow when the more significant results come in. It's times like this you really miss David Dimbleby. Shame he quit. |
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2nd May 2024, 07:45 AM
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#968
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 26 February 2007
Posts: 14,457 User: 3,002
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Who knew that continually gaslighting people and telling everyone there isn't anything wrong (when there clearly is) and that they have a plan (which they don't) could cause them to lose so much support...
Its good though that even if they managed to somehow claw back everyone who has gone to Reform, they'd still be trailing Labour by 11pts. |
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2nd May 2024, 09:20 PM
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#969
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,319 User: 5,138
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I’ve said it before but there’s no way the tories will fall to 32 seats. It would be one of the biggest moments in British political history. Reform will be on 2% and 0 seats on election night I’m sure!
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3rd May 2024, 07:36 PM
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#970
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Baby Reindeer
Joined: 9 March 2008
Posts: 13,780 User: 5,567
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What’s the lowest amount of seats the tories have held?
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3rd May 2024, 08:08 PM
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#971
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,446 User: 18,639
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QUOTE(Doctor Blind @ 2nd May 2024, 08:25 AM) Tories down to 18pc in the latest YouGov, a new record low. Reform climb to 15. If repeated at a GE, the Tories would retain just 32 seats with Rishi Sunak losing his seat.. Thoughts and prayers for Laura Kuenssberg at this difficult time x  That Tory turd should be nowhere near the supposed impartisl national broadcaster. Her glee whwn a Tory wins, or when she was making news up about Corbyn... jesus!!
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3rd May 2024, 08:10 PM
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#972
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2009
Posts: 8,606 User: 10,030
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QUOTE(Steve201 @ 2nd May 2024, 10:20 PM) I’ve said it before but there’s no way the tories will fall to 32 seats. It would be one of the biggest moments in British political history. Reform will be on 2% and 0 seats on election night I’m sure! Very much doubt they will be as low as 2%. I think they will do what UKIP did in the 2015 general election and manage ~10%+ and perhaps even 1 or 2 seats. But instead of winning votes at the expense of Lib Dems, reform will win votes at the expense of the conservatives instead. QUOTE(Scene @ 3rd May 2024, 08:36 PM) What’s the lowest amount of seats the tories have held? Over the last 190 years or so of the conservative party existing the lowest seats they've had are 156 in 1906 followed by 165 in 1997. Even dropping below 150 seats would be unprecedented. The fact they could even struggle to get 100 is potentially historic. |
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3rd May 2024, 08:57 PM
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#973
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,319 User: 5,138
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The 1906 election was the promise of the People Budget by chancellor Lloyd George to introduce old age pensions and the Tories tearing themselves apart over free trade vs protectionism.
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3rd May 2024, 09:40 PM
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#974
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Baby Reindeer
Joined: 9 March 2008
Posts: 13,780 User: 5,567
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QUOTE(Envoirment @ 3rd May 2024, 09:10 PM) Very much doubt they will be as low as 2%. I think they will do what UKIP did in the 2015 general election and manage ~10%+ and perhaps even 1 or 2 seats. But instead of winning votes at the expense of Lib Dems, reform will win votes at the expense of the conservatives instead. Over the last 190 years or so of the conservative party existing the lowest seats they've had are 156 in 1906 followed by 165 in 1997. Even dropping below 150 seats would be unprecedented. The fact they could even struggle to get 100 is potentially historic. Oh wow a potentially historic low then. I’m surprised it took this long for the country to see sense. |
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3rd May 2024, 10:52 PM
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#975
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,319 User: 5,138
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For the record I’d be surprised if they went below 150!
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4th May 2024, 05:04 PM
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#976
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BuzzJack Regular
Joined: 30 March 2024
Posts: 236 User: 175,892
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QUOTE(Scene @ 3rd May 2024, 10:40 PM) Oh wow a potentially historic low then. I’m surprised it took this long for the country to see sense. I really can't see them going that low - polls generally narrow towards an election. |
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4th May 2024, 06:25 PM
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#977
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 21 February 2021
Posts: 3,687 User: 124,514
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QUOTE(Envoirment @ 3rd May 2024, 09:10 PM) Very much doubt they will be as low as 2%. I think they will do what UKIP did in the 2015 general election and manage ~10%+ and perhaps even 1 or 2 seats. I can't see Reform winning a seat off their own back - even UKIP only ever had two MPs due to defections from Tories. Lee Anderson is almost certain to lose his seat (thankfully) so won't be re-elected under the Reform banner. BTW Laurence Fox and Dan Wooton have both vowed to move out of London after Khan's win. Our cup really overfloweth. |
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4th May 2024, 06:46 PM
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#978
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 6 December 2023
Posts: 854 User: 173,568
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They got no chance with Sunak, guy has no redeeming qualities. Until he is gone you can just dismiss them entirely
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4th May 2024, 06:55 PM
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#979
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 21 February 2021
Posts: 3,687 User: 124,514
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Even Sunak's Nazi style round up of asylum seekers for detention camps pre Rwanda didn't help..maybe the British public is just not as nasty as the Tories think they are.
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5th May 2024, 05:18 PM
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#980
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,446 User: 18,639
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QUOTE(Smint @ 4th May 2024, 07:25 PM) I can't see Reform winning a seat off their own back - even UKIP only ever had two MPs due to defections from Tories. Lee Anderson is almost certain to lose his seat (thankfully) so won't be re-elected under the Reform banner. BTW Laurence Fox and Dan Wooton have both vowed to move out of London after Khan's win. Our cup really overfloweth. Crap, to where?! Keep them in that there London!! We don't want thode two flittering about the country, like Nazi Farage!! |
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