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> Predict: Taylor Swift - The Tortured Poets Department, Chart position / first week sales
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Predict: Taylor Swift - The Tortured Poets Department
Will it reach #1 in the UK?
Yes [ 107 ] ** [90.68%]
No (lol) [ 11 ] ** [9.32%]
What will its first week sales be?
Under 50,000 [ 12 ] ** [10.17%]
50,000 - 99,999 [ 11 ] ** [9.32%]
100,000 - 109,999 [ 13 ] ** [11.02%]
110,000 - 119,999 [ 4 ] ** [3.39%]
120,000 - 129,999 [ 5 ] ** [4.24%]
130,000 - 139,999 [ 2 ] ** [1.69%]
140,000 - 149,999 [ 6 ] ** [5.08%]
150,000 - 159,999 [ 16 ] ** [13.56%]
160,000 - 169,999 [ 7 ] ** [5.93%]
170,000 - 179,999 [ 4 ] ** [3.39%]
180,000 - 189,999 [ 8 ] ** [6.78%]
190,000 - 199,999 [ 2 ] ** [1.69%]
Over 200,000 [ 28 ] ** [23.73%]
Messy poll question! Is Taylor Swift overexposed?
Yes [ 66 ] ** [55.93%]
No [ 26 ] ** [22.03%]
Don't feel strongly either way [ 26 ] ** [22.03%]
Total votes: 132
  
GTH
post 8th February 2024, 07:51 AM
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As an album of all new material with time for pre-orders to build, I would be surprised if this didn’t scrape 100k.

As for overexposed, it does feel like she has been unavoidable since 2022 as a chart follower. I get the comments that the general public may not feel it quite so much though. Cruel Summer sticking around the top 10 for so long hasn’t helped, though I can’t blame Taylor for that.
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BellyClarkson
post 8th February 2024, 04:35 PM
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In terms of U.K. songs most of the general public know in order I’d say:
Shake It Off, Anti Hero, Blank Space, Love Story, Cruel Sunmer

Cruel Summer still needs more time but I think has just entered the category that it’ll be one of her known renowned songs.
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Envoirment
post 8th February 2024, 05:50 PM
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QUOTE(BellyClarkson @ Feb 8 2024, 04:35 PM) *
In terms of U.K. songs most of the general public know in order I’d say:
Shake It Off, Anti Hero, Blank Space, Love Story, Cruel Sunmer

Cruel Summer still needs more time but I think has just entered the category that it’ll be one of her known renowned songs.


I would add "I Knew You Were Trouble" to the list. As well as being a big hit, it cemented itself with a goat meme that I still see pop up every now and again.



If I remember correctly it went viral on vine and was quite big for a while.

"Cruel Summer" will cement itself this summer in her stadium dates when everyone will be singing it!
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Mangø
post 8th February 2024, 06:00 PM
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That goat meme will never stop being amazing biggrin.gif
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kimberley88
post 8th February 2024, 06:11 PM
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Yes for number one. I reckon around 50k Mark as album sales have been low for a while now. Third question I don't feel strongly about it.

This post has been edited by kimberley88: 8th February 2024, 06:12 PM
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-Jay-
post 8th February 2024, 07:04 PM
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Taylor’s last 3 releases in first week:

Midnights
204,501 Overall
75,667 CDs
61,948 vinyl
57,964 streaming
7,087 downloads
1,835 cassettes


1989 TV
184,965 Overall
75,672 CDs
61,791 vinyl
42,150 streaming
3,892 downloads
1,460 cassettes


Speak Now TV
67,112 Overall
23,578 streaming
22,777 vinyl
16,783 CDs
2,963 downloads
1,012 cassettes


I hadn’t noticed until now that Midnights and 1989 TV vinyl & CDs sold so similarly!
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Sean.
post 8th February 2024, 08:50 PM
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I really hope this is in the same vein of Evermore and Folklore, 2 of my favourite albums of all time! She cannot do any wrong, literally a superstar! Listening to her back catalogue all the time, it’s outstanding! Hope they release more versions.
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Sean.
post 8th February 2024, 08:52 PM
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QUOTE(kimberley88 @ Feb 8 2024, 06:11 PM) *
Yes for number one. I reckon around 50k Mark as album sales have been low for a while now. Third question I don't feel strongly about it.


50k 😂😂😂
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Mangø
post 8th February 2024, 10:38 PM
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QUOTE(Sean. @ Feb 8 2024, 08:50 PM) *
I really hope this is in the same vein of Evermore and Folklore, 2 of my favourite albums of all time! She cannot do any wrong, literally a superstar! Listening to her back catalogue all the time, it’s outstanding! Hope they release more versions.

From what I've heard, it's synth-pop so I think it will sound more like Midnights than Evermore or Folklore. Although the title definitely gives folky vibes so who knows!
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Brer
post 9th February 2024, 12:25 AM
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Most of the song titles definitely don't look like 'folklore'/'evermore' type songs as well.
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Bjork
post 9th February 2024, 09:54 AM
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It's gonna be midnights part 2
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nikos
post 9th February 2024, 10:09 AM
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Perrsonally i dont care how many albums she is realsing and how often. The picture is set: another mediocre album sounding the same that will sell like crazy and thats all. I believe though that she is very smart ,releasing as many as she can, milking the cow to the maximum, while she is on a roll. So who cares...
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-Jay-
post 14th April 2024, 06:10 AM
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Last few days to get predicting!

Apparently Taylor’s already sold 2m+ preorders in the US, which is quite insane. So it makes me wonder if this will in fact outdo Midnights here as well.
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Bjork
post 14th April 2024, 06:37 AM
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been saying this for. while, think she's gonna do crazy numbers and beat Midnights

this time there are 4 vinyl variants and each has a different cover + an exclusive extra track, so I reckon many fans will buy the 4 of them... I did it myself, finally cave in and bought the 4 of them

but the main reason is the Eras tour, which has placed it at a higher level of popularity than a couple years ago
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Juranamo
post 14th April 2024, 08:59 AM
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QUOTE(Bjork @ Apr 14 2024, 07:37 AM) *
been saying this for. while, think she's gonna do crazy numbers and beat Midnights

this time there are 4 vinyl variants and each has a different cover + an exclusive extra track, so I reckon many fans will buy the 4 of them... I did it myself, finally cave in and bought the 4 of them

Didn't Midnights have about 50,000 vinyl variants though? 😂
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Supercell
post 14th April 2024, 09:05 AM
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I can’t remember what I voted for now but I think it’ll best Midnights first week sales. Her US figures will be insane id already thought she’d clear 2 million there in the first week but if it’s there with the preorders then she might challenge Adele’s record.
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Scene
post 14th April 2024, 09:18 AM
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Yes to #1
50,000 to 99,999 - maybe 85,000?
Don't feel strongly either way
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Mack.
post 14th April 2024, 12:26 PM
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I got an prediction someone will say that she is 'flopping' on the Streaming thread or Friday Chart Prediction.
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Starlight 13
post 14th April 2024, 01:26 PM
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QUOTE(Juranamo @ Apr 14 2024, 09:59 AM) *
Didn't Midnights have about 50,000 vinyl variants though? 😂


It had 4, then the Target (US)/HMV (UK) exclusive that was available in store only on release week, so 5.. pretty standard (in fact, many big artists have released many more variants of recent albums lol)
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elincomprendido
post 14th April 2024, 05:28 PM
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I really can’t comprehend how anyone could seriously predict this to do less than 1989 TV
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