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 BJSCXLII* • Odds |
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 26th February 2012, 07:03 PM
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#1
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 bye dinner
Joined: 12 February 2011
Posts: 14,105 User: 12,972 
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  Betting Offices are now all OPEN, place all your bets into who will WIN BJSCXLII*!...
-Allecian ❖ Graph Gonzales • Eyes In The Dark ♫ -Aquafina ❖ Minnie-Oh • You And I ♫ -Ashton ❖ Elen Levon • Like A Girl In Love ♫ -B.a.N.G ❖ Amadou & Mariam feat, Santigold • Dougou Badia ♫ -Batidas ❖ Goodwill & Hook n Sling • Take You Higher ♫ -Caerfyrddia ❖ Katy Satyn • Magical Sensation ♫ -Danaelanda ❖ Antillas feat. Fiora • Damaged ♫ -Elëdan ❖ Emma Marrone • Non E’ L’inferno ♫ -Farahtyn ❖ Serebro • Mama Lover ♫ -FYR Vojvodina-on-the-Wold ❖ Frida Hyvonen • Terribly Dark ♫ -Greenfroze ❖ Xelle • Invincible ♫ -Lake Thermwoods ❖ Linda Ronstadt • Heart Like A Wheel ♫ -Land Of Jack ❖ Karmin • Brokenhearted ♫ -Letland ❖ Max Barskih • Dance ♫ -Numayania ❖ The Asteroids Galaxy Tour • Heart Attack ♫ -Persephonia ❖ Azari & III • Reckless (With Your Love) ♫ -Scherzland ❖ Jessica Lowndes • Nothing Like This ♫ -Skall ❖ Active Child • Diamond Heart ♫ -Tinnmark ❖ Laleh • Some Die Young ♫ -UnoShake ❖ San Cisco • Awkward ♫ -Unovia ❖ Anjulie • Stand Behind The Music ♫ -Usfland ❖ DalShabet • Hit U ♫ -Botanikka ✪ Emma Hewwit • Colours ♫ -Budtar ✪ Ariana Grande • Put Your Hands Up ♫ -ChrIseland ✪ Annah Mac • Girl In Stilettos ♫ -Daehun ✪ Ailee • Heaven ♫ -Espen ✪ Jessie Ware • Running ♫ -FSR Rontvia ✪ Gossling • Wild Love ♫ -Hendinia ✪ Smith & Thell • Kill It With Love ♫ -Isconia ✪ Ms Mr • Time Of My Life ♫ -Juranabaijan ✪ The Disco Boys • Around The World ♫ -Kluminican Republic ✪ CSS • Hits Me Like A Rock ♫ -Kopečka ✪ Lisa Miskovsky • Lover ♫ -Kylienips ✪ Foreign Slippers • Avalanche ♫ -Mdiče ✪ SBTRKT (ft. Roses Gabor) • Pharaohs ♫ -N-Lazone ✪ Nina Badric • Dat’ ce nam Bog ♫ -Ojnoj ✪ Desire • Under Your Spell ♫ -PRoJ ✪ Lianna La Havas • Forget ♫ -Ramrynia ✪ Kristina Maria • Our Song Comes On ♫ -Sangria ✪ Gabrielle • Hřster ♫ -Séyetana ✪ Xenia • Sing You Home ♫ -Syndare ✪ Butterfly Boucher • Not Fooling Around ♫ -Terra Avium ✪ Kaskade feat. Skylar Gray • Room For Happiness ♫ -Zechonia ✪ Jakalope • Pretty Life ♫ -Fljótavík ✞ Rachel Sermanni • The Fog ♫ -All of the Odds do not certainly reflect the nation's voting scheme! -They are no means personal but rather judging based on how each entry will have the chance to win the contest! -They do NOT always reflect the Predictions on who would sail through to the finals! This post has been edited by Oricon: 29th February 2012, 12:26 AM |
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27th February 2012, 12:17 PM
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#2
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 23 December 2010
Posts: 24,411 User: 12,608
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Looking forward to seeing who people think are the front runners this time round! I hope I'm not too far down the odds this time, but of course I know I won't be as high up as Carly was!
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27th February 2012, 05:24 PM
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#3
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 Attack Dog/Sass Queen
Joined: 29 January 2008
Posts: 16,061 User: 5,342
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Having heard only a selection of songs from both semis i can't pinpoint a clear winner YET! So that may mean that we get another generic female electro pop winner (not necessarily a bad thing!). Bear in mind that my 'intuitions' are dubious at best
LecciBet MAY post odds for XLII but don't get your hopes up, the company is currently on the brink bankruptcy! |
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28th February 2012, 11:56 AM
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#4
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Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 83,222 User: 116
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Opening odds for the final from FSR Rontvia's RontBet;
5/1 Tinnmark ❖ Laleh • Some Die Young 7/1 Botanikka ✪ Emma Hewitt • Colours 8/1 ChrIseland ✪ Annah Mac • Girl In Stilettos 10/1 Aquafina ❖ Minnie-Oh • You And I 10/1 FSR Rontvia ✪ Gossling • Wild Love 10/1 Ashton ❖ Elen Levon • Like A Girl In Love 12/1 Syndare ✪ Butterfly Boucher • Not Fooling Around 12/1 Numayania ❖ The Asteroids Galaxy Tour • Heart Attack 12/1 FYR Vojvodina-on-the-Wold ❖ Frida Hyvonen • Terribly Dark 15/1 Kopečka ✪ Lisa Miskovsky • Lover 15/1 Farahtyn ❖ Serebro • Mama Lover 15/1 Budtar ✪ Ariana Grande • Put Your Hands Up 15/1 Espen ✪ Jessie Ware • Running 15/1 Letland ❖ Max Barskih • Dance 15/1 Greenfroze ❖ Xelle • Invincible 18/1 Elëdan ❖ Emma Marrone • Non E’ L’inferno 20/1 Unovia ❖ Anjulie • Stand Behind The Music 20/1 Batidas ❖ Goodwill & Hook n Sling • Take You Higher 20/1 Hendinia ✪ Smith & Thell • Kill It With Love 20/1 Usfland ❖ DalShabet • Hit U 20/1 Skall ❖ Active Child • Diamond Heart 20/1 Persephonia ❖ Azari & III • Reckless (With Your Love) 20/1 Caerfyrddia ❖ Katy Satyn • Magical Sensation 20/1 Kluminican Republic ✪ CSS • Hits Me Like A Rock 25/1 Allecian ❖ Graph Gonzales • Eyes In The Dark 25/1 Séyetana ✪ Xenia • Sing You Home 25/1 Land Of Jack ❖ Karmin • Brokenhearted 28/1 Sangria ✪ Gabrielle • Hřster 28/1 Mdiče ✪ SBTRKT (ft. Roses Gabor) • Pharaohs 28/1 PRoJ ✪ Lianna La Havas • Forget 28/1 Daehun ✪ Ailee • Heaven 30/1 Isconia ✪ Ms Mr • Time Of My Life 30/1 Ramrynia ✪ Kristina Maria • Our Song Comes On 35/1 Fljótavík ✞ Rachel Sermanni • The Fog 35/1 Ojnoj ✪ Desire • Under Your Spell 35/1 Scherzland ❖ Jessica Lowndes • Nothing Like This 40/1 Juranabaijan ✪ The Disco Boys • Around The World 40/1 Danaelanda ❖ Antillas feat. Fiora • Damaged 45/1 B.a.N.G ❖ Amadou & Mariam feat, Santigold • Dougou Badia 45/1 Kylienips ✪ Foreign Slippers • Avalanche 50/1 Zechonia ✪ Jakalope • Pretty Life 60/1 UnoShake ❖ San Cisco • Awkward 60/1 N-Lazone ✪ Nina Badric • Dat’ ce nam Bog 70/1 Terra Avium ✪ Kaskade feat. Skylar Gray • Room For Happiness 75/1 Lake Thermwoods ❖ Linda Ronstadt • Heart Like A Wheel So many songs this month that I can't call at all...it'll surely be a close run thing, some of these songs could DNQ or come top ten in the final  Please don't take any stock in these, I reckon everybody's odds will be drastically different this month! There doesn't seem to be any obvious winner, so I think we might have a surprise! If pushed I'd guess at a Tinnmark vs. Botanikka final duel because they're the only two I know had quite a bit of hype around them but I could also realistically see either finishing in the lower end of the top ten, a la Carly Rae Jepsen last month
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28th February 2012, 12:06 PM
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#5
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 I'm a paragon so don't perceive me
Joined: 3 February 2011
Posts: 37,548 User: 12,929             |
Aquafina in 3rd? I can see it finishing mid-table at best, I'd be surprised if it didn't qualify, but I don't think it'd attract that many high votes. I do always tend to underestimate the pop votes though.
The top two I'd agree with at this early stage, I'll give the songs another listen through when the mp3 packs arrive and give odds then. It always seems hard to call right at the beginning, but I think this month has got to be harder than most. And I suppose firmly in the middle is not too bad a start for myself. |
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28th February 2012, 12:17 PM
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#6
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 Schlagerdrottningen
Joined: 23 August 2010
Posts: 31,965 User: 11,709
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That's a good start, I'm sure Frida will easily outplace Le Kid though (and deservedly so).
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28th February 2012, 12:21 PM
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#7
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Brown cow, stunning!
Joined: 7 December 2009
Posts: 67,230 User: 10,139
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Hmm... 20/1 - mediocre but about what I expected tbh,
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28th February 2012, 12:23 PM
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#8
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 23 December 2010
Posts: 24,411 User: 12,608
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30/1 - I'm happy with that. At least I've got a chance of qualifying
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28th February 2012, 12:31 PM
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#9
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Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 83,222 User: 116
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You & I has been one of the most popular ESC national final songs this year and it's a wide open contest, I already know about 6 or 7 big fans of it, not to mention everybody that will be discovering it for the first time. I see no reason it won't ease into the top ten and challenge for the top 3/5, but honestly, everything's SO close that I wouldn't worry if I've placed you 25th, because it's not exactly far away from 3rd in my expectations
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28th February 2012, 12:47 PM
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#10
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Queen of Soon
Joined: 24 May 2007
Posts: 74,232 User: 3,474
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Having the third shortest odds =/= third place.
Liking the first odds for Ashton there. Would like to continue this little success streak. |
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28th February 2012, 12:50 PM
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#11
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I just had to see your face to feel alive
Joined: 22 February 2010
Posts: 6,910 User: 10,676
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Looks like I'm bound not to make the final
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28th February 2012, 12:52 PM
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#12
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I'm a paragon so don't perceive me
Joined: 3 February 2011
Posts: 37,548 User: 12,929 |
QUOTE(Silas @ Feb 28 2012, 12:47 PM)  Having the third shortest odds =/= third place. I was intending 3rd in Rich's odds, I think I've argued that case myself before. I can't see it winning, I suppose, so I would potentially put longer odds for it. I always think votes for songs like You And I are going to be spread, but quite a lot of the time they end up not being. I personally can't think of anyone off the top of my head who would definitely put it in their top 3, but on the night it'll probably be handed 10 12/10/8s and I'll be left thinking 'where did those come from?'. It's happened before. |
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28th February 2012, 01:08 PM
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#13
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Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 83,222 User: 116
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QUOTE(Atonement @ Feb 28 2012, 12:50 PM) Looks like I'm bound not to make the final Actually I like your song (The Corrs covered that song and released it as a single, how could I not!), but it doesn't strike me as the sort of thing that will do very well in BJSC 
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28th February 2012, 01:10 PM
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#14
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Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 83,222 User: 116
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QUOTE(Eyes @ Feb 28 2012, 12:52 PM) I was intending 3rd in Rich's odds, I think I've argued that case myself before. I can't see it winning, I suppose, so I would potentially put longer odds for it. I always think votes for songs like You And I are going to be spread, but quite a lot of the time they end up not being. I personally can't think of anyone off the top of my head who would definitely put it in their top 3, but on the night it'll probably be handed 10 12/10/8s and I'll be left thinking 'where did those come from?'. It's happened before. 8/1 is rather long, for something that's third in my odds, in fact everything's long because I just CAN'T call it. I'm not even that confident that Laleh/Emma will be the top two, both could quite feasibly fail to make the top five! |
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28th February 2012, 02:03 PM
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#15
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Attack Dog/Sass Queen
Joined: 29 January 2008
Posts: 16,061 User: 5,342
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I'm taking Rich's earlier remark as a subtle hint that he loves what's placed at 25th in his odds which just so happens to be me! (well I hope so!)
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28th February 2012, 02:32 PM
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#16
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Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 83,222 User: 116
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QUOTE(LexC @ Feb 28 2012, 02:03 PM) I'm taking Rich's earlier remark as a subtle hint that he loves what's placed at 25th in his odds which just so happens to be me! (well I hope so!) You'll have to wait and see  I've scaled Minnie-Oh back a bit to 10/1 now, I guess Annah Mac is a more likely contender to win thinking about it... |
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28th February 2012, 03:05 PM
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#17
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 The owls are not what they seem
Pronouns: He/him
Joined: 11 July 2009 Posts: 37,240 User: 9,232
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oh, 70/1 - not the best of starts for me then
This post has been edited by C.W: 28th February 2012, 03:06 PM |
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28th February 2012, 03:32 PM
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#18
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bye dinner
Joined: 12 February 2011
Posts: 14,105 User: 12,972
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My entry is being overshadowed by Usfland, darn
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28th February 2012, 04:26 PM
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#19
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🙄
Joined: 14 February 2010
Posts: 53,654 User: 10,643
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QUOTE 5/1 Tinnmark ❖ Laleh • Some Die Young 7/1 Botanikka ✪ Emma Hewitt • Colours 8/1 ChrIseland ✪ Annah Mac • Girl In Stilettos 10/1 Aquafina ❖ Minnie-Oh • You And I Omg Yey  I could be getting my highest finish as Aquafina.
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28th February 2012, 05:24 PM
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#20
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 24 July 2008
Posts: 9,500 User: 6,716
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I'm pleased with Rich's odds
Could be my best result ever! |
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