BuzzJack
Entertainment Discussion

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register | Help )

Latest Site News
7 Pages V   1 2 3 > »   
Reply to this topicStart new topic
> Eurovision Song Contest 2015 · Predictions
Track this topic - Email this topic - Print this topic - Download this topic - Subscribe to this forum
LexC
post Mar 18 2015, 04:50 PM
Post #1
unofficially fabulous
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 12,197
Member No.: 5,342
Joined: 29-January 08
 


One of the required elements of being a eurovision fan is the prediction making ritual (aside: If you want some amusing reading then you can find last year's prediction thread here and view all of the egg that ended up on various member's faces) and I've already seen a few people starting to make tentative predictions in other threads so clearly the moment for the thread is now.

The full spectrum of predictions are welcome from 'this country isn't qualifying' to full predictions of the final table with points.

Commence the predicting!
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Jack89
post Mar 18 2015, 08:52 PM
Post #2
Eurovision Chat
******
Group: Members
Posts: 11,430
Member No.: 84
Joined: 7-March 06
   No Gallery Pics
 


Here is my qualifying prediction tongue.gif

Semi One
Qualifying: Estonia, Belgium, Netherlands, Belarus, Greece, Russia, Finland, Albania, Romania, Georgia
Not Qualifying: Denmark, Serbia, Moldova, Macedonia, Armenia, Hungary

Semi Two
Qualifying: Sweden, Azerbaijan, Lithuania, Iceland, Malta, Slovenia, Norway, Israel, Switzerland, Latvia
Not Qualifying: Czech Republic, Ireland, Cyprus, Poland, Portugal, San Marino, Montenegro

Semi 1 - I'm hoping that Armenia & Hungary don't qualify because they don't deserve to and I'd rather see Moldova over Greece qualify but I can't see that happening.

Semi 2 I would like Ireland to qualify over Azerbaijan but I can't see it happening.


This post has been edited by Jack89: Mar 21 2015, 05:11 PM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LexC
post Mar 20 2015, 08:25 PM
Post #3
unofficially fabulous
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 12,197
Member No.: 5,342
Joined: 29-January 08
 


I will stake my (probably wildly inaccurate) semi predictions first then.

Semi One
Qualifying: Estonia, Belgium, Netherlands, Armenia, Greece, Russia, Hungary, Albania, Romania, Georgia
Not Qualifying: Denmark, Serbia, Finland, Moldova, Macedonia, Belarus

Semi Two
Qualifying: Sweden, Azerbaijan, Lithuania, Iceland, Malta, Slovenia, Norway, Israel, Montenegro, Latvia
Not Qualifying: Czech Republic, Switzerland, Ireland, Cyprus, Poland, Portugal, San Marino

innit
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Qassändra
post Mar 20 2015, 08:58 PM
Post #4
DROTTNING!
********
Group: Members
Posts: 63,901
Member No.: 480
Joined: 15-April 06
   No Gallery Pics
 


This is a SCAR on the FINE HISTORY OF THE PREDICTIONS THREAD
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LexC
post Mar 20 2015, 09:12 PM
Post #5
unofficially fabulous
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 12,197
Member No.: 5,342
Joined: 29-January 08
 


Well it's not like I've GOT ANYTHING TO DO IN HERE UNTIL MAY ANY MORE!
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
ScottyEm
post Mar 20 2015, 10:35 PM
Post #6
BuzzJack Gold Member
*****
Group: Members
Posts: 3,074
Member No.: 519
Joined: 29-April 06
   No Gallery Pics
 


Far too early to predict order of where they finish, but I think the following will qualify:

Semi 1:*
Belgium
Estonia
Greece
Macedonia
Belarus
Denmark
Georgia
Romania
Russia
Hungary (although they really shouldn't!)


Semi 2:
Lithuania
Malta
Norway
Azerbaijan
Iceland
Israel
Latvia
Poland
Slovenia
Sweden

*It pains me that I don't think Serbia will qualify, Semi 1 seems a much more difficult one to predict yet I think it's the poorer semi of the two).
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Ryan.
post Mar 23 2015, 04:21 PM
Post #7
BuzzJack Legend
*******
Group: Members
Posts: 24,181
Member No.: 12,608
Joined: 23-December 10
   No Gallery Pics
 


My initial predictions following the release of the running orders are:

Semi Final One

01 Russia
02 Finland
03 Romania
04 Georgia
05 Estonia
06 Belarus
07 Greece
08 Denmark
09 Armenia
10 Belgium

11 The Netherlands
12 Moldova
13 Albania
14 Serbia
15 Hungary
16 F.Y.R. Macedonia

Hungary and Denmark are the most unpredictable for me. Hungary could very easily end up top 5 in this semi if it clicks with the viewers, but if it doesn't then it will really struggle. I'm going for the latter at this stage. Denmark have a lot of things going against them, a lack of Nordic & Scandi friends especially Iceland and performing after a commercial break but I think they will stand out enough to qualify. I can't see anyone interrupting a runaway top 2 of Russia and Finland at the moment, I'm unconvinced Estonia will be popular enough to do so. Albania and to a lesser extent The Netherlands will be the fan favourite failures, although I can't rule out Elhaida putting in a stunning vocal performance towards the end of her song and sneaking her through, it does seem 'I'm Alive' isn't going to be instant enough though.

Semi Final Two

01 Sweden
02 Azerbaijan
03 Poland
04 Slovenia
05 Cyprus
06 Norway
07 Lithuania
08 Iceland
09 Israel
10 Montenegro

11 Ireland
12 Malta
13 Switzerland
14 Latvia
15 Czech Republic
16 San Marino
17 Portugal

This is extremely wide open, with only the top 3 and bottom 3 being confident predictions. I was going to put Israel as a DNQ but I think it will stand out enough and Latvia will be the fan favourite DNQ instead. I feel like Malta's luck may run out this year while Poland and Cyprus will be surprise successes with their great draws.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LexC
post Mar 23 2015, 04:33 PM
Post #8
unofficially fabulous
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 12,197
Member No.: 5,342
Joined: 29-January 08
 


Finland 2nd? FAT CHANCE!

Qualifiers maybe but they'll be far too polarising to get much higher than 9th in that semi
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Ryan.
post Mar 23 2015, 04:36 PM
Post #9
BuzzJack Legend
*******
Group: Members
Posts: 24,181
Member No.: 12,608
Joined: 23-December 10
   No Gallery Pics
 


It's going to be near the top of most televotes and I can't see the juries marking it any lower than mid-table, and in a 16-country semi that should give it several sets of mid to high points. I'd love to be wrong!
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LexC
post Mar 23 2015, 04:39 PM
Post #10
unofficially fabulous
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 12,197
Member No.: 5,342
Joined: 29-January 08
 


Semi One
01 Russia
02 Estonia
03 Georgia
04 Hungary
05 Greece
06 Albania
07 Belgium
08 Romania
09 Netherlands
10 Moldova

11 Armenia
12 Finland
13 Denmark
14 Serbia
15 Macedonia
16 Belarus

Semi Two
01 Sweden
02 Azerbaijan
03 Iceland
04 Lithuania
05 Slovenia
06 Israel
07 Norway
08 Malta
09 Latvia
10 Montenegro

11 Poland
12 Switzerland
13 Czech Republic
14 Cyprus
15 Ireland
16 Portugal
17 San Marino
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
AdamAloud
post Mar 23 2015, 04:41 PM
Post #11
I was born 7 million years ago in Sweden, Africa
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 11,264
Member No.: 11,955
Joined: 4-October 10
 


After last years DEBACLE I will be entering this year's predictions thread avec CAUTION
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LexC
post Mar 23 2015, 04:48 PM
Post #12
unofficially fabulous
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 12,197
Member No.: 5,342
Joined: 29-January 08
 


QUOTE(Ryan. @ Mar 23 2015, 04:36 PM) *
It's going to be near the top of most televotes and I can't see the juries marking it any lower than mid-table, and in a 16-country semi that should give it several sets of mid to high points. I'd love to be wrong!


Well I disagree that it'd be top of most televotes, genres out of left field that do well are usually more watered down or 'popified' versions of it (like Hard Rock Hallelujah) whereas this is just a pure punk song. Some people will get it (although I don't think the Tuesday night audience is going to be the most receptive audience to a punk rock song) but others (and I think, the majority of people outside Finland) will either think 'lol downs syndrome punks' or dislike it.

Jury wise, there'll be some who get it and rank it mid to high but there will be others who'll actively dislike it and put it last or near last and if you look at the data, polarising jury scores really drag down what that song ends up scoring.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LexC
post Mar 23 2015, 04:49 PM
Post #13
unofficially fabulous
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 12,197
Member No.: 5,342
Joined: 29-January 08
 


Look, last year it seemed like I was the lone voice saying Belgium weren't qualifying while others were predicting them as potential winners. Doubt me at your own risk!
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Vülker f Beyoncé
post Mar 23 2015, 05:40 PM
Post #14
üüü barracüda
******
Group: Members
Posts: 5,043
Member No.: 10,222
Joined: 16-December 09
   No Gallery Pics
 


Just listened through SF1, some of the songs for the first time, and these have stood out:

Semi Final One
01 Moldova
02 Armenia
03 Belgium
04 The Netherlands

05 Finland
06 Greece
07 Estonia
08 F.Y.R. Macedonia
09 Serbia
10 Hungary
11 Belarus
12 Russia

13 Denmark
14 Albania
15 Romania
16 Georgia


Turns out it's a very strong semi-final. The obvious big-hitter is Russia, who obliterates everything out of that stage and should be the winner of this Semifinal although there is space for surprises.
Albania gets a bit lost between Russia and that more than memorable power anthem from Georgia but should manage to scrape through. Also scraping through in the lower end of the Top 10 should be Belgium and The Netherlands, two big favourites who might also be shock eliminations on the night.
Hungary should do just about enough to snatch that 10th place, Denmark should be safe with the tried and tested MoR formula they do so well with and I can't see Estonia failing with that track, even if it didn't sound as impressive in the middle of this run-through.
I'm writing off Moldova and Armenia from the get go. The first because it's not an impressive uptempo and the latter because I just feel it's going to be such a mess on stage.
I'm not convinced people will vote for Greece's outdated ballad (although Portugal 2010 proves me wrong), and I just can't see Finland making it at all.
Macedonia and Serbia come across as deja vu tracks that bring nothing new to the table and Belarus should put on a fab show which will see them comfortably through with Romania sealing my qualifiers list.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
AdamAloud
post Apr 5 2015, 09:08 PM
Post #15
I was born 7 million years ago in Sweden, Africa
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 11,264
Member No.: 11,955
Joined: 4-October 10
 


Semi Final One
1. Russia
2. Estonia
3. Greece
4. Romania
5. Belarus
6. Hungary
7. Belgium
8. Moldova
9. Georgia
10. Macedonia
------------------
11. Albania
12. Denmark
13. Armenia
14. Netherlands
15. Finland
16. Serbia

I am certain my top 5 here will qualify. Then it gets a bit hazy and really, any of the remaining 11 could qualify, I wouldn't even discount Finland.

Semi Final Two
1. Sweden
2. Azerbaijan
3. Iceland
4. Lithuania
5. Slovenia
6. Montenegro
7. Latvia
8. Norway
9. Switzerland
10. Malta
--------------
11. Israel
12. Poland
13. Czech Republic
14. Cyprus
15. Ireland
16. Portugal
17. San Marino

This semi feels a lot more clear cut as to what the Q's and DNQ's will be. Famous last words laugh.gif

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
ionderella
post Apr 5 2015, 09:37 PM
Post #16
ya ya ya i am lorde
********
Group: Members
Posts: 70,551
Member No.: 4,397
Joined: 25-September 07
 


Yeah, finally someone with sense. All that Macedonia in the bottom 2 bs was frankly ridiculous~
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LexC
post Apr 5 2015, 10:09 PM
Post #17
unofficially fabulous
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 12,197
Member No.: 5,342
Joined: 29-January 08
 


Predictions 2.0

Semi One

01 Russia
02 Belgium
03 Estonia
04 Georgia
05 Hungary
06 Greece
07 Albania
08 Romania
09 Belarus
10 Netherlands

11 Armenia
12 Finland
13 Macedonia
14 Denmark
15 Serbia
16 Moldova

Semi Two

01 Sweden
02 Azerbaijan
03 Slovenia
04 Latvia
05 Lithuania
06 Iceland
07 Montenegro
08 Norway
09 Poland
10 Czech Republic

11 Ireland
12 Cyprus
13 Malta
14 Israel
15 Switzerland
16 Portugal
17 San Marino

Final

01 Sweden
02 Azerbaijan
03 Australia
04 Russia
05 Belgium
06 Slovenia
07 Latvia
08 Estonia
09 Italy
10 Spain
11 Georgia
12 Lithuania
13 Germany
14 Iceland
15 Hungary
16 United Kingdom
17 Greece
18 Albania
19 Romania
20 Belarus
21 Montenegro
22 Austria
23 Norway
24 Poland
25 Czech Republic
26 Netherlands
27 France


This post has been edited by LexC: Apr 5 2015, 10:17 PM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Umi
post Apr 5 2015, 10:16 PM
Post #18
le compromis n'est qu'un synonyme d'échec
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 12,778
Member No.: 14,659
Joined: 17-August 11
   No Gallery Pics
 


Big love for Belgium suddenly?
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LexC
post Apr 5 2015, 10:19 PM
Post #19
unofficially fabulous
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 12,197
Member No.: 5,342
Joined: 29-January 08
 


QUOTE(Umi @ Apr 5 2015, 11:16 PM) *
Big love for Belgium suddenly?


A feeling in my waters that it'll be the breakout iTunes/Spotify hit out of the Tuesday night and build momentum from there.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Styles Bilinski
post Apr 6 2015, 09:01 AM
Post #20
alt er love
*******
Group: Entertainment Mod
Posts: 26,481
Member No.: 8,674
Joined: 15-April 09
 


QUOTE(Umi @ Apr 5 2015, 11:16 PM) *
Big love for Belgium suddenly?


Tbh I think people have been underrating it for ages. I have money on it to both win and come top 4.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post


7 Pages V   1 2 3 > » 
Reply to this topicStart new topic

1 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:


 

Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 17th December 2017 - 10:02 AM