The trend might have reversed according to that page.

There's a good article here about it: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/super-...-election-2016/ (with a link to the GOP one for anyone interested).

 

Basically highlights all the relevant info, where they are currently polling in each state, where they need to be to keep on track for the nomination and the number of delegates they would ideally get for that too. Sanders is behind his target in almost all of them, even the likes of Massachusetts which is one he really needs to be winning if the delegate maths want to have any chance of adding up to winning. It looks like it could end up being about 500-520 for Clinton and 360-380 for Sanders, basically.

The trend might have reversed according to that page.

Well it's not like ANYBODY SAW THAT COMING

Georgia and Virginia to Clinton, Vermont to Sanders according to ABC News.

All is as it should be!

Well, as expected there then. Massachusetts, Oklahoma and Colorado will be more interesting.

Exit polls are suggesting that things are a lot closer today for the Republicans than recent polling suggested.

 

"Too close to call" in both Virginia and Vermont.

I feel Clinton will be doing very well out of this and lose only Vermont to Sanders. Which will naturally make the whole two-horse race thing over.

 

For the Republicans, they probably have the more interesting day, as this will confirm whether we're expecting a Trump victory or not. If it is too close to call that's got to be bad news for him, right?

Very early results coming in for Georgia have Clinton 51% ahead and for Virginia, a 35% lead. Still about 98% of votes still to come through though! :lol:

Clinton has won Tennessee and Alabama too, the two closer states though (Mass and Oklahoma) haven't been called either way yet obv.

Rubio must be furious with Kasich. Losing to Trump by three points in Virginia, one of the few states where a win could've been spun as a sign he was still competitive. Kasich got nearly ten percent there.

So Sanders won Oklahoma, Minnesota, Vermont and Colorado in the end. Looks like he stopped Clinton getting the 15% needed to get any delegates in Vermont too.

Oop. Sooo Sanders still on track for nomination and winning the actual blue states.

Seems like a decent enough result for Bernie, he wasn't far off taking Massachusetts too - other than that all the states Clinton won were in the bag for her already (since the black vote is clearly not being swayed at all), whereas at least according to what I've read the Sanders victories bar Vermont were much more up in the air, and he won them all fairly comfortably. Hillary still the favourite but I don't think Bernie has completely faceplanted just yet. There are more favourable states for him from here on out.

Oop. Sooo Sanders still on track for nomination and winning the actual blue states.

Yeah, that isn't how the nomination works.

Seems like a decent enough result for Bernie, he wasn't far off taking Massachusetts too - other than that all the states Clinton won were in the bag for her already (since the black vote is clearly not being swayed at all), whereas at least according to what I've read the Sanders victories bar Vermont were much more up in the air, and he won them all fairly comfortably. Hillary still the favourite but I don't think Bernie has completely faceplanted just yet. There are more favourable states for him from here on out.

If we're talking in terms of standing a chance of nomination, even accounting for the fact they weren't favourable, he still fell far short of where he needed to be delegates-wise for each state, even in the ones he won. New Hampshire's the only one where he's met the target so far, along with probably Vermont.

The rest of March looks very favourable for Clinton as well. Polls are putting her at least 10% ahead in nearly all the remaining states this month (Maine has Bernie with a 1% lead and Nebraska hasn't been polled it doesn't look like).

But after March + the trend the states go for Bernie :/

I'm just wondering what Michael's excuse is going to be when it becomes official that Bernie isn't the nominee.

The trend is v obvious though!

 

He is winning the same states as Barack - ie the states Democrats win elections in!! Texas for example isn't going blue.