May 13, 201312 yr YES. I definitely compared Montenegro's entry to DJ Fresh's "Louder" when I first heard it. It could so be a hit here...if it was sung in English I guess. Either way, I expect it to qualify, probably the best entry to attempt a dubstep type sound this year (and LORD KNOWS there have been enough of those this year) My ideal qualifiers would be: 01 Austria: Natália Kelly - Shine 03 Slovenia: Hannah - Straight Into Love 05 Denmark: Emmelie de Forest - Only Teardrops 06 Russia: Dina Garipova - What If 07 Ukraine: Zlata Ognevich - Gravity 08 Netherlands: Anouk - Birds 09 Montenegro: Who See, Nina Žižić - Igranka 11 Belarus: Alyona Lanskaya - Solayoh 12 Moldova: Aliona Moon - O mie 15 Belgium: Roberto Bellarosa - Love Kills What I THINK (I have no idea) will qualify: 02 Estonia: Birgit - Et uus saaks alguse 04 Croatia: Klapa s Mora - Mižerja 05 Denmark: Emmelie de Forest - Only Teardrops 06 Russia: Dina Garipova - What If 07 Ukraine: Zlata Ognevich - Gravity 08 Netherlands: Anouk - Birds 09 Montenegro: Who See, Nina Žižić - Igranka 11 Belarus: Alyona Lanskaya - Solayoh 12 Moldova: Aliona Moon - O mie 16 Serbia: Moje 3 - Ljubav je svuda The only major loss there from my ideals will be Slovenia, but I've resigned myself to the fact they won't qualify.
May 14, 201312 yr omg I just realised two Alyona's are performing next to each other in the Semi :o SO DAMN EXCITED RIGHT NOW ABOUT 2NITE WORDS CANNOT FUCKING CONVEY
May 14, 201312 yr This is how I hope the results will be! 01 Austria: Natália Kelly - Shine 02 Estonia: Birgit - Et uus saaks alguse 03 Slovenia: Hannah - Straight Into Love 04 Croatia: Klapa s Mora - Mižerja (Safura Butcher Discotits Remix) 05 Denmark: Emmelie de Forest - Only Teardrops 06 Russia: Dina Garipova - What If 07 Ukraine: Zlata Ognevich - Gravity 08 Netherlands: Anouk - Birds 09 Montenegro: Who See, Nina Žižić - Igranka 10 Lithuania: Andrius Pojavis - Something 11 Belarus: Alyona Lanskaya - Solayoh 12 Moldova: Aliona Moon - O mie 13 Ireland: Ryan Dolan - Only Love Survives 14 Cyprus: Despina Olympiou - An me thimásai 15 Belgium: Roberto Bellarosa - Love Kills 16 Serbia: Moje 3 - Ljubav je svuda There's no way Russia will fail to qualify :lol:
May 14, 201312 yr If it was all down to me, the qualifiers today would be: Belarus Denmark Ireland Russia Moldova Serbia Slovenia Ukraine Absolutely love Belarus entry. :heart: Will be voting for them today! Sing your heart out Alyona! :) http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/5/53/Alyona_Lanskaya_-_Solayoh_(cover).jpg
May 14, 201312 yr If it was all down to me, the qualifiers today would be: Belarus Denmark Ireland Russia Moldova Serbia Slovenia Ukraine Absolutely love Belarus entry. :heart: Will be voting for them today! Sing your heart out Alyona! :) http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/5/53/Alyona_Lanskaya_-_Solayoh_(cover).jpg You know there will be 10 qualifiers right? :P
May 14, 201312 yr You know there will be 10 qualifiers right? :P Jerick, you are right! Forgot about Belgium and Netherlands :rolleyes:
May 14, 201312 yr Jerick, you are right! Forgot about Belgium and Netherlands :rolleyes: Good choice! :cheer:
May 14, 201312 yr Who I want to qualify based on my Buzzvision top 10! The only songs I wouldn't want to qualify though are Lithuania and Croatia. 01 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Austria.png Austria: Natália Kelly - Shine 02 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Estonia.png Estonia: Birgit - Et uus saaks alguse 03 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Slovenia.png Slovenia: Hannah - Straight Into Love 04 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Croatia.png Croatia: Klapa s Mora - Mižerja 05 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Denmark.png Denmark: Emmelie de Forest - Only Teardrops 06 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Russia.png Russia: Dina Garipova - What If 07 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Ukraine.png Ukraine: Zlata Ognevich - Gravity 08 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Netherlands.png Netherlands: Anouk - Birds 09 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Montenegro.png Montenegro: Who See, Nina Žižić - Igranka 10 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Lithuania.png Lithuania: Andrius Pojavis - Something 11 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Belarus.png Belarus: Alyona Lanskaya - Solayoh 12 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Moldova.png Moldova: Aliona Moon - O mie 13 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Ireland.png Ireland: Ryan Dolan - Only Love Survives 14 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Cyprus.png Cyprus: Despina Olympiou - An me thimásai 15 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Belgium.png Belgium: Roberto Bellarosa - Love Kills 16 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Serbia.png Serbia: Moje 3 - Ljubav je svuda Who I think will qualify based on my predictions in the predictions thread! I'd probably change a couple now, but I'll stick with my original thoughts! 01 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Austria.png Austria: Natália Kelly - Shine 02 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Estonia.png Estonia: Birgit - Et uus saaks alguse 03 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Slovenia.png Slovenia: Hannah - Straight Into Love 04 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Croatia.png Croatia: Klapa s Mora - Mižerja 05 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Denmark.png Denmark: Emmelie de Forest - Only Teardrops 06 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Russia.png Russia: Dina Garipova - What If 07 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Ukraine.png Ukraine: Zlata Ognevich - Gravity 08 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Netherlands.png Netherlands: Anouk - Birds 09 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Montenegro.png Montenegro: Who See, Nina Žižić - Igranka 10 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Lithuania.png Lithuania: Andrius Pojavis - Something 11 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Belarus.png Belarus: Alyona Lanskaya - Solayoh 12 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Moldova.png Moldova: Aliona Moon - O mie 13 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Ireland.png Ireland: Ryan Dolan - Only Love Survives 14 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Cyprus.png Cyprus: Despina Olympiou - An me thimásai 15 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Belgium.png Belgium: Roberto Bellarosa - Love Kills 16 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Serbia.png Serbia: Moje 3 - Ljubav je svuda
May 14, 201312 yr Surely the juries will eat the Netherlands' entry up that even if the televotes are low they'll still sail through.
May 14, 201312 yr Author I really cannot see how the Netherlands could fail to go through with the juries on hand. FINAL PREDIX CERTAINTY Denmark Moldova Netherlands Ukraine VERY LIKELY Russia LIKELY Ireland BORDERLINE Belarus Belgium Croatia Montenegro Serbia UNLIKELY Cyprus Estonia Slovenia DEAD ON ARRIVAL Austria Lithuania -x- First, a qualifier: this is probably the most difficult semi to call beyond the obvious qualifiers in quite a while. I think we're definitely in for a shock or two tonight, and the new voting system plays a big part in that. Whether it'll mean the most inoffensive entries get an advantage (after all, scoring big with either the juries or the televoters now means basically nothing if you finish bottom with the other half, whereas before it would've typically at least guaranteed marks of 8 or above) or whether the effects of it have been overstated we don't know yet, but I'd be willing to bet we'll get a big shock at some point in the next few days because of it. Anyway, onto the contestants. I'll start with the obvious ones: there's no way in hell Denmark isn't qualifying, and if you seem to think it'll miss out then you either haven't been following Eurovision for very long or you're looking for attention. The same goes for the Netherlands - in a pre-50/50 age, I could've possibly seen it DNQing, but I reckon this type of music has got enough of a voting base to send it through along with inevitably huge jury marks (this is one of three contenders for the jury victor in this semi in my books, along with Denmark). Ukraine is big, mad, and stands out hugely, and I think it's through easily - but it's one of two potential big shocks in this semi. I could see a scenario where the juries turn against this. Moldova is incredibly effectively performed and I can't see a situation under which this doesn't qualify unless everything gets turned upside down by the voting change (I have it as the third jury victory contender.) Russia I've put in very likely, as I can see it qualifying but also being the most likely 'shock exit' in this semi. Why? It's performed well, yes, but I could see its very clichéd nature potentially holding it back under the new voting system. In a semi flooded with ballads, this is the most paint-by-colours one of them all, and come the end of it I think there's a chance the juries and televoters of Europe would be more likely to go for another one than this. Not to say I don't think it will qualify - it's in Very Likely for a reason - but keep your eye on this one. I think it's a shoo-in for a 'shock' bottom ten result on Saturday if it gets through anyway. Ireland is incredibly current and chart friendly, performed near the end with a memorable setting and backing dancers, and I can't see it having many troubles unless the juries turn. Onto the borderlines. Serbia is a mess, lacks a strong hook, and isn't exactly accessible to non-Balkan ears, but the demographics of this semi favour it possibly more than any other country (maybe Russia aside). Belarus has a massive disco ball to stick in the mind, has an entry with a big accessible hook, and would ordinarily be a shoo-in were it not so dated. I think it'd be through on televotes pretty easily, but it's a matter of how the juries take to it. Belgium's just a pretty simple pop song performed straight up near the end - and don't underestimate the value of that sometimes. I think it could stand out before the dog's dinner of a performance from Serbia a lot, and it has a lot of the things going for it that Lithuania did last year, an entry similarly underpredicted. Add in that he had his best performance of the week in his second jury performance after technical difficulties in the first and I find it difficult to rule this out. Croatia is pretty inaccessible to non-Balkan ears, but unlike Serbia is pretty much total catnip for those Balkan ears of the semi, being a local genre which plays specifically on cultural advantage. In a very Balkan-heavy semi, reliable big votes from everyone in the Balkans and the odd vote from outside could be enough to get it over the finish line. The same applies for Montenegro - already a big hit in the Balkans and with astronaut suits to stick in the mind for the audience at home, I've ordinarily thought of this as a certainty for qualification, but the voting system could take this out: if the juries hate this (a big likelihood), it's a goner. Onto the unlikelies. Cyprus and Estonia: dull and duller. Estonia's on early, in a native language, and people after a ballad will not be lost for alternative options more memorably presented. Cyprus is on late, in a native language, and people after a ballad will not be lost for alternative options more memorably presented (not to mention not presented at a point by which the genre of 'white female ballad' will have been overkilled for all viewers. I exaggerate, but only just.). Slovenia could've been a potential televote pick, being quite current, but the jury performance for this went terribly and I can see it being an easy DNQ. Austria is dull and was nervously performed in the jury final last night. There's so little about it to make it stand out, from a country with very few generous neighbours, that I really cannot see where the votes would come from. Lithuania could be a jury pick, but ultimately it's The Highest Heights all over again - it's presented in a very dull, underwhelming way, in the middle where it could easily get lost. Pre-semi prediction: 01 Denmark 02 Ukraine 03 Netherlands 04 Russia 05 Moldova 06 Ireland 07 Montenegro 08 Belgium 09 Serbia 10 Croatia - 11 Belarus 12 Cyprus 13 Estonia 14 Lithuania 15 Slovenia 16 Austria
May 14, 201312 yr I have an each way bet on Belgium and got odds of 200/1 so i want them to qualify and to a complete shocker and come top 4 in the final. I do think the juries winner will be the Netherlands but televoting will let it down, Denmark on the other hand i can see doing well from both the public and juries. Ireland is very chart friendly and current but i think the staging of the song will determine if it will go through or not as performances i have seen have been vocally strong but missing something in presentation. Russia will also got through i am certain of that as will Ukraine.
May 14, 201312 yr Will probably watch this tonight, don't think anything else is on until The Valleys at 10pm - so I'll squeeze this in. I don't have high hopes, usually like about 6 in each semi :lol:
May 14, 201312 yr I'm gonna say these 10 before seeing them live: Croatia Denmark Russia Ukraine Netherlands Montenegro Lithuania (I'd much rather it be Belarus but I'm going with worst case scenario). Moldova Ireland Serbia
May 14, 201312 yr Belarus has a massive disco ball to stick in the mind, has an entry with a big accessible hook, and would ordinarily be a shoo-in were it not so dated. I think it'd be through on televotes pretty easily, but it's a matter of how the juries take to it. http://cs419927.vk.me/v419927875/5565/lVJyOpdbhoM.jpg
May 14, 201312 yr I'm really hoping for a Belarus qualifier, the song really is great Also it's likely to recieve high points from Russia, Lithuania, Estonia and possibly Serbia & Montenegro
May 14, 201312 yr My final PREDICTIÓNES 01 Ukraine 02 Moldova 03 Denmark 04 Netherlands 05 Russia 06 Montenegro 07 Ireland 08 Croatia 09 Estonia 10 Serbia - 11 Belgium 12 Belarus 13 Slovenia 14 Austria 15 Cyprus 16 Lithuania
May 14, 201312 yr Final predictions: 01 Denmark 02 Ukraine 03 Moldova 04 Netherlands 05 Russia 06 Montenegro 07 Ireland 08 Serbia 09 Belarus 10 Croatia - 11 Belgium 12 Estonia 13 Lithuania 14 Slovenia 15 Austria 16 Cyprus I will probably be voting for Moldova, Ukraine, Montenegro and maybe Estonia tonight, without having seen any of the performances - if any of them are proper standout then that may sway me too.
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