Jump to content

Featured Replies

Posted

One of the required elements of being a eurovision fan is the prediction making ritual (aside: If you want some amusing reading then you can find last year's prediction thread here and view all of the egg that ended up on various member's faces) and I've already seen a few people starting to make tentative predictions in other threads so clearly the moment for the thread is now.

 

The full spectrum of predictions are welcome from 'this country isn't qualifying' to full predictions of the final table with points.

 

Commence the predicting!

  • Replies 125
  • Views 11.4k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Here is my qualifying prediction :P

 

Semi One

Qualifying: Estonia, Belgium, Netherlands, Belarus, Greece, Russia, Finland, Albania, Romania, Georgia

Not Qualifying: Denmark, Serbia, Moldova, Macedonia, Armenia, Hungary

 

Semi Two

Qualifying: Sweden, Azerbaijan, Lithuania, Iceland, Malta, Slovenia, Norway, Israel, Switzerland, Latvia

Not Qualifying: Czech Republic, Ireland, Cyprus, Poland, Portugal, San Marino, Montenegro

 

Semi 1 - I'm hoping that Armenia & Hungary don't qualify because they don't deserve to and I'd rather see Moldova over Greece qualify but I can't see that happening.

 

Semi 2 I would like Ireland to qualify over Azerbaijan but I can't see it happening.

 

Edited by Jack89

  • Author

I will stake my (probably wildly inaccurate) semi predictions first then.

 

Semi One

Qualifying: Estonia, Belgium, Netherlands, Armenia, Greece, Russia, Hungary, Albania, Romania, Georgia

Not Qualifying: Denmark, Serbia, Finland, Moldova, Macedonia, Belarus

 

Semi Two

Qualifying: Sweden, Azerbaijan, Lithuania, Iceland, Malta, Slovenia, Norway, Israel, Montenegro, Latvia

Not Qualifying: Czech Republic, Switzerland, Ireland, Cyprus, Poland, Portugal, San Marino

 

innit

Far too early to predict order of where they finish, but I think the following will qualify:

 

Semi 1:*

Belgium

Estonia

Greece

Macedonia

Belarus

Denmark

Georgia

Romania

Russia

Hungary (although they really shouldn't!)

 

 

Semi 2:

Lithuania

Malta

Norway

Azerbaijan

Iceland

Israel

Latvia

Poland

Slovenia

Sweden

 

*It pains me that I don't think Serbia will qualify, Semi 1 seems a much more difficult one to predict yet I think it's the poorer semi of the two).

My initial predictions following the release of the running orders are:

 

Semi Final One

 

01 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Russia.png Russia

02 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Finland.png Finland

03 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Romania.png Romania

04 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Georgia.png Georgia

05 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Estonia.png Estonia

06 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Belarus.png Belarus

07 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Greece.png Greece

08 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Denmark.png Denmark

09 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Armenia.png Armenia

10 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Belgium.png Belgium

 

11 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Netherlands.png The Netherlands

12 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Moldova.png Moldova

13 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Albania.png Albania

14 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Serbia.png Serbia

15 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Hungary.png Hungary

16 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/FYR_Macedonia.png F.Y.R. Macedonia

 

Hungary and Denmark are the most unpredictable for me. Hungary could very easily end up top 5 in this semi if it clicks with the viewers, but if it doesn't then it will really struggle. I'm going for the latter at this stage. Denmark have a lot of things going against them, a lack of Nordic & Scandi friends especially Iceland and performing after a commercial break but I think they will stand out enough to qualify. I can't see anyone interrupting a runaway top 2 of Russia and Finland at the moment, I'm unconvinced Estonia will be popular enough to do so. Albania and to a lesser extent The Netherlands will be the fan favourite failures, although I can't rule out Elhaida putting in a stunning vocal performance towards the end of her song and sneaking her through, it does seem 'I'm Alive' isn't going to be instant enough though.

 

Semi Final Two

 

01 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Sweden.png Sweden

02 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Azerbaijan.png Azerbaijan

03 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Poland.png Poland

04 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Slovenia.png Slovenia

05 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Cyprus.png Cyprus

06 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Norway.png Norway

07 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Lithuania.png Lithuania

08 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Iceland.png Iceland

09 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Israel.png Israel

10 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Montenegro.png Montenegro

 

11 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Ireland.png Ireland

12 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Malta.png Malta

13 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Switzerland.png Switzerland

14 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Latvia.png Latvia

15 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Czech_Republic.png Czech Republic

16 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/San_Marino.png San Marino

17 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Portugal.png Portugal

 

This is extremely wide open, with only the top 3 and bottom 3 being confident predictions. I was going to put Israel as a DNQ but I think it will stand out enough and Latvia will be the fan favourite DNQ instead. I feel like Malta's luck may run out this year while Poland and Cyprus will be surprise successes with their great draws.

It's going to be near the top of most televotes and I can't see the juries marking it any lower than mid-table, and in a 16-country semi that should give it several sets of mid to high points. I'd love to be wrong!
  • Author

Semi One

01 Russia

02 Estonia

03 Georgia

04 Hungary

05 Greece

06 Albania

07 Belgium

08 Romania

09 Netherlands

10 Moldova

 

11 Armenia

12 Finland

13 Denmark

14 Serbia

15 Macedonia

16 Belarus

 

Semi Two

01 Sweden

02 Azerbaijan

03 Iceland

04 Lithuania

05 Slovenia

06 Israel

07 Norway

08 Malta

09 Latvia

10 Montenegro

 

11 Poland

12 Switzerland

13 Czech Republic

14 Cyprus

15 Ireland

16 Portugal

17 San Marino

After last years DEBACLE I will be entering this year's predictions thread avec CAUTION
  • Author
It's going to be near the top of most televotes and I can't see the juries marking it any lower than mid-table, and in a 16-country semi that should give it several sets of mid to high points. I'd love to be wrong!

 

Well I disagree that it'd be top of most televotes, genres out of left field that do well are usually more watered down or 'popified' versions of it (like Hard Rock Hallelujah) whereas this is just a pure punk song. Some people will get it (although I don't think the Tuesday night audience is going to be the most receptive audience to a punk rock song) but others (and I think, the majority of people outside Finland) will either think 'lol downs syndrome punks' or dislike it.

 

Jury wise, there'll be some who get it and rank it mid to high but there will be others who'll actively dislike it and put it last or near last and if you look at the data, polarising jury scores really drag down what that song ends up scoring.

  • Author
Look, last year it seemed like I was the lone voice saying Belgium weren't qualifying while others were predicting them as potential winners. Doubt me at your own risk!

Just listened through SF1, some of the songs for the first time, and these have stood out:

 

Semi Final One

01 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Moldova.png Moldova

02 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Armenia.png Armenia

03 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Belgium.png Belgium

04 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Netherlands.png The Netherlands

05 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Finland.png Finland

06 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Greece.png Greece

07 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Estonia.png Estonia

08 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/FYR_Macedonia.png F.Y.R. Macedonia

09 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Serbia.png Serbia

10 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Hungary.png Hungary

11 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Belarus.png Belarus

12 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Russia.png Russia

13 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Denmark.png Denmark

14 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Albania.png Albania

15 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Romania.png Romania

16 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Georgia.png Georgia

 

Turns out it's a very strong semi-final. The obvious big-hitter is Russia, who obliterates everything out of that stage and should be the winner of this Semifinal although there is space for surprises.

Albania gets a bit lost between Russia and that more than memorable power anthem from Georgia but should manage to scrape through. Also scraping through in the lower end of the Top 10 should be Belgium and The Netherlands, two big favourites who might also be shock eliminations on the night.

Hungary should do just about enough to snatch that 10th place, Denmark should be safe with the tried and tested MoR formula they do so well with and I can't see Estonia failing with that track, even if it didn't sound as impressive in the middle of this run-through.

I'm writing off Moldova and Armenia from the get go. The first because it's not an impressive uptempo and the latter because I just feel it's going to be such a mess on stage.

I'm not convinced people will vote for Greece's outdated ballad (although Portugal 2010 proves me wrong), and I just can't see Finland making it at all.

Macedonia and Serbia come across as deja vu tracks that bring nothing new to the table and Belarus should put on a fab show which will see them comfortably through with Romania sealing my qualifiers list.

  • 2 weeks later...

Semi Final One

1. Russia

2. Estonia

3. Greece

4. Romania

5. Belarus

6. Hungary

7. Belgium

8. Moldova

9. Georgia

10. Macedonia

------------------

11. Albania

12. Denmark

13. Armenia

14. Netherlands

15. Finland

16. Serbia

 

I am certain my top 5 here will qualify. Then it gets a bit hazy and really, any of the remaining 11 could qualify, I wouldn't even discount Finland.

 

Semi Final Two

1. Sweden

2. Azerbaijan

3. Iceland

4. Lithuania

5. Slovenia

6. Montenegro

7. Latvia

8. Norway

9. Switzerland

10. Malta

--------------

11. Israel

12. Poland

13. Czech Republic

14. Cyprus

15. Ireland

16. Portugal

17. San Marino

 

This semi feels a lot more clear cut as to what the Q's and DNQ's will be. Famous last words :lol:

 

 

Yeah, finally someone with sense. All that Macedonia in the bottom 2 bs was frankly ridiculous~
  • Author

Predictions 2.0

 

Semi One

 

01 Russia

02 Belgium

03 Estonia

04 Georgia

05 Hungary

06 Greece

07 Albania

08 Romania

09 Belarus

10 Netherlands

 

11 Armenia

12 Finland

13 Macedonia

14 Denmark

15 Serbia

16 Moldova

 

Semi Two

 

01 Sweden

02 Azerbaijan

03 Slovenia

04 Latvia

05 Lithuania

06 Iceland

07 Montenegro

08 Norway

09 Poland

10 Czech Republic

 

11 Ireland

12 Cyprus

13 Malta

14 Israel

15 Switzerland

16 Portugal

17 San Marino

 

Final

 

01 Sweden

02 Azerbaijan

03 Australia

04 Russia

05 Belgium

06 Slovenia

07 Latvia

08 Estonia

09 Italy

10 Spain

11 Georgia

12 Lithuania

13 Germany

14 Iceland

15 Hungary

16 United Kingdom

17 Greece

18 Albania

19 Romania

20 Belarus

21 Montenegro

22 Austria

23 Norway

24 Poland

25 Czech Republic

26 Netherlands

27 France

Edited by LexC

Big love for Belgium suddenly?
  • Author
Big love for Belgium suddenly?

 

A feeling in my waters that it'll be the breakout iTunes/Spotify hit out of the Tuesday night and build momentum from there.

Big love for Belgium suddenly?

 

Tbh I think people have been underrating it for ages. I have money on it to both win and come top 4.

Create an account or sign in to comment

Recently Browsing 0

  • No registered users viewing this page.