I've always thought it was likely that Remain would prevail, given that most of the establishment & business community was batting for them. For me though, the economic arguments never carried much weight, it was always about the freedom to control our own destiny.

 

I originally predicted 51-49 in favour of leave, but in the light of recent polls, it seems more likely to be 52-48 in favour of Remain.

 

In a strange way, a loss would be less disappointing for me if the polls had never been close, as then my hopes would not have been raised.

 

I also predict a probable chorus of triumph from the Remain camp, followed over the next few months by 'We told you so' from the Brexit camp when the EU reveals the plans it has been hiding in order to avoid influencing the referendum against them.

 

I have never been happier to be wrong! my original prediction was almost spot on.

 

 

The latest election odds from William Hill (other bookmakers are available) -

 

Remain - 1/8

Leave - 5/1

 

Looks quite decisive as things stand. Bookies tend to be well informed about these kind of things.

 

I guess they'll be as glum as the Remain camp this morning - I just wish I'd taken those 5-1 odds though...

And my prediction and comments were 99.9% correct. I was 0.1% out.

 

Never underestimate peoples stupidity and racism.

 

Hope youre equally as happy about the massive drops in the pound and british shares. Not to mention the emergency pep talk by the bank of england trying to steady investor nerves.

 

Welcome to Little England. Goodbye UK.

And my prediction and comments were 99.9% correct. I was 0.1% out.

 

Never underestimate peoples stupidity and racism.

 

Hope youre equally as happy about the massive drops in the pound and british shares. Not to mention the emergency pep talk by the bank of england trying to steady investor nerves.

 

Welcome to Little England. Goodbye UK.

 

Did it ever occur to you that accusing people of racism for supporting Brexit might be counter-productive?

 

As for the markets, fat-cat traders always exploit uncertainty - they soon stabilise however.