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67 members have voted

  1. 1. Who will be #1?

    • Ariana Grande - positions
      43
    • Cliff Richard - Music... The Air That I Breathe
      10
    • Sam Smith - Love Goes
      9

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Let's see how I did with my predictions this week:

Ariana 42k

Actual sales: 27,472

I was some 15k off. Never saw her coming close to 50k with this release but thought she can do just over 40k. I definitely wasn't expecting her to do less than 30k but that's probably what this type of release with basically no build-up was going to do from the beginning.

Sam 36k

Actual sales: 23,755

Another case where I overestimated, this time by 13k. I thought Sam may have bigger pre-orders. But still, I think this result is not tragic and they can come back stronger with next era.

Cliff 21k

Actual sales: 17,515

Cliff didn't pass 20k but didn't do much less. My most accurate prediction to date being just 4k off.

M Huncho & Nafe Smallz 8,6k

Actual sales: 7,483

I didn't see this doing 10k and I was right. It even did over 1k less than I thought.

Amy Macdonald 6,8k

Actual sales: 6,591

I nearly hit the target with this one! I was mistaken by just some 200 sales.

U2 5,8k

And I think U2 can be a dark horse of the chart race and surprise us with even higher sales than what I've predicted!

Actual sales: 3,078

Yeah, my dark horse surprised us with number 27 finish and doing just over a half of what I've predicted.

The Who 4,2k

Actual sales: not enough to make the top 100

At least it was #54 on Monday and finished at #46 on the physical album chart. I'm not sure if it even did 25% of my prediction.

Elvis Costello 4,1k

Actual sales: 2,447

I predicted higher sales for this by some 1,7k. Good thing that it's not as bad as my The Who prediction. And also not as bad as my prediction below.

Dizzee Rascal 1,6k

Actual sales: 4,943

I thought people completely forgot about Dizzee in 2020 and I was expecting his album to absolutely bomb. So I'm really impressed that he did nearly 5k and was close to top 10. His sales are 3 times higher than I thought they would be.

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I am pretty shocked at how low M Huncho/Nafe Smallz' album ended up coming in there, the streaming interest seemed to fall off a cliff after '5AM' I guess - maybe I should have seen it coming from the fact the second single didn't do nearly as well.
U2 and Amy Mc Donald didnt do near aswell as I thought they would, I thought u2 would scrape top 10 and amy McDonald no lower than 7.

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