Posted March 17, 20241 yr Eurovoix is using big data to run a statistical model to predict which countries will qualify and which country will win :o Here is the first prediction: https://eurovoix.com/2024/03/16/the-model-p...urovision-2024/ Feel free to use this thread to post any predictions from statistical models you've made x
March 17, 20241 yr It's WRONG :angry: San Marino is 50% to WIN and Italy the other 50% and we ALL know it!!!!
March 17, 20241 yr Cha Cha Cha man should have released it this year, but his huge ego meant hr was obsessed with beating Loraine, ans he just fell flat on his face and made loads of bad feelin in the last contest
March 17, 20241 yr Very interesting, though my initial thoughts were that Netherlands will be top three easily in a televote semi and no way is every song getting 15 points or more.
March 18, 20241 yr The model seems flawed in that it bases a lot off previous trends. So, naturally, Croatia and Netherlands are WAY lower in the televote than they will end up. And if Tattoo is factored into their jury model, it also explains why they think Unforgettable will win the jury votes again. Which I highly doubt it will.
March 18, 20241 yr Author It also skews heavily towards present odds, so it is not very representative atm
May 5, 20241 yr Author Updated simulation after the rehearsals! A bit surprised to see Switzerland still predicted to win :o
May 5, 20241 yr I'd be surprised if they weren't higher than 11th in the televote, to be honest. If they win the JURY however, that would be a travesty, good god.
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