Maestro

Think it's fairly obvious at this point that the Pogues are not going to make it and tbh I'm not entirely convinced about Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree either at this point. 360 had a bit of a boost on Apple last week due to the tour and has re-entered on Spotify today so if it can hold that momentum for the rest of the year, it could just sneak in. KEHLANI has also suddenly had a big boost on Spotify the last couple of days and is up around 40% compared to last week which also gives it a strong chance.

Wham! hold above Mariah worldwide too (by 4k)

Spotify hate it for some reason sadly

Similar to last year iirc, maybe slightly higher. Wham! ahead of Mariah globally tho, that’s huge

Just done some research and they are not combined on Spotify. In today's daily chart for Austria, the 1984 version is at #36 and the 2014 version at #67. And on Italy's Christmas Day chart last year, the 1984 version was #109 and the 2004 version #176. I do however think the current classification on Apple Music is a bug and they could be combined there, although I have no way of proving that.

On Apple: #87 Darlene Love - All Alone on Christmas Would absolutely love it if this could chart. One of my favourite Christmas songs

Worth noting that Spotify isn't a very accurate indicator of this. On the equivalent week last year Wham! did significantly less than double Jack Harlow on Spotify but ended up 7k sales ahead in the official chart

I think we can say with near certainty that Wham! will be #1 this week

Apple: #1 Wham! - Last Christmas #2 Shakin' Stevens - Merry Christmas Everyone #4 (& #60) Mariah Carey - All I Want for Christmas is You #5 Elton John - Step into Christmas #7 Kelly Clarkson - Underneath the Tree #8 Andy Williams - It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year #9 The Pogues feat. Kirsty MacColl - Fairytale of New York #11 Leona Lewis - One More Sleep #13 Band Aid - Do They Know It's Christmas? #18 Michael Bublé - It's Beginning To Look a Lot Like Christmas #20 José Feliciano - Feliz Navidad #25 Ed Sheeran & Elton John - Merry Christmas #27 Ariana Grande - Santa Tell Me #28 Wizzard - I Wish It Could Be Christmas Everyday #30 Chris Rea - Driving Home for Christmas #32 Slade - Merry Xmas Everybody #33 Bobby Helms - Jingle Bell Rock #38 The Ronettes - Sleigh Ride #42 (& #159) Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree #44 Dean Martin - Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! #47 Paul McCartney - Wonderful Christmastime #56 Perry Como & The Fontane Sisters - It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like Christmas #57 Darlene Love - Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) #67 Frank Sinatra & the B. Swanson Quartet - Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! #69 Jona Lewie - Stop the Cavalry #70 Bruce Springsteen - Santa Claus Is Comin' to Town #71 Michael Bublé - Holly Jolly Christmas #75 Justin Bieber - Mistletoe #76 John Lennon & Yoko Ono - Happy Xmas (War Is Over) #77 Sia - Snowman #80 Britney Spears - My Only Wish (This Year) #86 Jackson 5 - Santa Claus Is Coming To Town #92 The Beach Boys - Little Saint Nick #95 East 17 - Stay Another Day #98 Michael Bublé feat. The Puppini Sisters - Jingle Bells #99 Nat "King" Cole - The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas to You) #108 Chuck Berry - Run Rudolph Run #109 John Williams - Carol of the Bells #115 Johnny Mathis - When a Child Is Born #117 Stevie Wonder - What Christmas Means To Me #122 Mariah Carey - Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) #125 Lily Allen - Somewhere Only We Know #127 Eartha Kitt - Santa Baby #137 Mud - Lonely This Christmas #139 Pretenders - 2000 Miles #140 Chris de Burgh - A Spaceman Came Travelling #148 Kelly Clarkson & Ariana Grande - Santa, Can't You Hear Me #150 Destiny's Child - 8 Days of Christmas #152 Cher - DJ Play A Christmas Song #158 The Darkness - Christmas Time (Don't Let the Bells End) #164 Elvis Presley - Blue Christmas #167 Coldplay - Christmas Lights #170 Kylie Minogue - Santa Baby #176 Michael Bublé - Let It Snow! #180 The Waitresses - Christmas Wrapping #191 Boney M. - Mary's Boy Child / Oh My Lord I think we can expect pretty big numbers in tomorrow's Spotify update. Great to see Mud, The Darkness and The Waitresses showing up on Apple. I can't believe how much Driving Home for Christmas seems to have fallen in popularity since it hit the top 10 a couple of years ago.

Apple Music seems to indicate it has a good chance: #1 Wham! #5 Shaky #6 (& #66) Mariah #8 Step into Christmas #9 Underneath the Tree #10 Pogues

Not a bad showing from Juice actually, although funny to see All Girls are the Same and Lucid Dreams still being his 2nd and 3rd highest songs. One of the songs from the album appears to just be a Kid LAROI song with Juice himself not credited.

That’s So True is already below 50k a week, so I’m pretty sure it won’t make it now. 360 actually went gold this week and has had a boost on Apple (and presumably Spotify too) from the tour so still has an outside chance imo.

Are we expecting the new Juice WRLD album to do anything. Lucid Dreams and All Girls are the Same have been comfortably back in the Spotify chart the last week, but the version with Nicki Minaj the other week did nothing

Was that Imagine Dragons song Enemy from league of legends as well? So there’s precedent for hits coming from the show

Yeah the bookies do everything possible to avoid paying out. Idk why all the markets quote odds for artists instead of songs.

Where have you seen those numbers?

Spotify too busy promoting Wrapped to update the chart

Could the Cure make it?

I have 360 on 390k and I think it will end up at 430k by the end of the year, which I imagine will be about 10k short with the cut off being 440k-ish

5 weeks left. I think I Love You, I'm Sorry and Somedays won't have quite enough to enter next week so I suspect no new entries. KEHLANI probably can't re-enter either as I suspect Brown Eyed Girl is doing enough to hold it off.

Have you revised Million Dollar Baby's sales down slightly this week, you've only given it 4k when I think it probably did 7k

Worth pointing out that most Christmas songs are back to being massively down compared to the equivalent day last year, after a brief improvement due to snow last week.

This is absolutely impossible to predict until we know how the OCC are going to handle it in regards to combining and/or resetting it.

What is the other version of Defying Gravity at #173

On Spotify, the new Band Aid is being released in an EP with the 1984, 2004, 2014 and a live performance recording from Live Aid. Clearly trying to encourage the OCC to combine them