Everything posted by Maestro
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2025 BPI Certifications
I'm amazed Homesick is platinum already, that must mean it's done ~150k this year right?
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2025 singles year to date estimates
Arm's Length got a boost on Spotify this week cos of Sam's tour, might be enough for it to hold on?
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2025 singles year to date estimates
Wouldn’t rule out Another Love either. I think Don’t Stop Me Now is out of the picture now, dropped to #7 on the metal chart this week. Difficult to know how many sales that actually is but I’d guess no more than 6.5k
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2025 singles year to date estimates
Not particularly - I have it on 125k. Wasn't really doing significant numbers until the last three weeks
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2025 singles year to date estimates
Ah yes, was only looking at the bottom 10 when writing the comment so forgot about 'Who' (and to a lesser extent 'Defying Gravity'). 'Wonderwall' is also very likely to re-enter whenever the Oasis tour starts I'd imagine, my rough current estimate has it on ~180k. I had 'Running Around' in contention to make it in a few weeks, but that seems to have collapsed now, so I think 'Don't Stop Me Now' might return in two weeks by default as you say.
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2025 singles year to date estimates
By my calculations, there is now A LOT of stuff tanking at the bottom of the top 100 with very little to replace it. I do think Shake It to the Max makes it next week at the expense of Prada as Julian alluded to last week. Also in trouble soon: Arm's Length Indigo Red Wine Supernova Shut Up and Dance Belong Together Capaldi's reign of terror should continue for a while longer as I think Someone You Loved is doing better than all of the above currently.
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2025 singles year to date estimates
Messy survives for one more week! No, it’s about 200k behind Shape of You (which went 11x platinum) this week at #2
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Streaming Services Chart Discussion; W/C 06/06/25
Most Days at #1 on UK Spotify #1 Wham! - Last Christmas - 108 Days #2 Drake feat. Wizkid & Kyla - One Dance - 101 Days #3 Dave & Central Cee - Sprinter - 87 Days #3 Alex Warren - Ordinary - 87 Days #5 Tones and I - Dance Monkey - 81 Days #6 Noah Kahan - Stick Season - 78 Days #7 Post Malone feat. 21 Savage - rockstar - 77 Days #8 Mariah Carey - All I Want for Christmas is You - 76 Days #9 Drake - God's Plan - 75 Days #10 Calvin Harris & Dua Lipa - One Kiss - 73 Days Honourary Top 10 excluding Christmas Songs: #11 The Weeknd - Blinding Lights - 70 Days #12 DaBaby feat. Roddy Ricch - ROCKSTAR - 67 Days Ordinary should move to #3 outright (#2 excluding Christmas songs) tomorrow barring a surprise jump from Sabrina
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Streaming Services Chart Discussion; W/C 06/06/25
Not as good as the Pop Smoke song of the same name
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Friday Chart Predictions
Yeah that seems like too big of a lead for Alex to overcome
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Streaming Services Chart Discussion; W/C 06/06/25
Pretty strong performance from her I thought?
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Streaming Services Chart Discussion; W/C 06/06/25
Not sure <800k is a “huge” debut - maybe for this year but not overall imo. She should still get #1 I think, especially cos I thought I read she has physicals too?
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Top 100 Singles + Albums; W/E 12/06/25
Completely collapsed on Apple this week by the looks of things. Would guess it was being propped up by good playlisting and that was withdrawn
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2025 singles year to date estimates
Prada will survive, think it did around 7k this week. 505 only did 7.5k and I'd guess around the same for Don't Stop Me Now so unless there's something I've completely missed, there'll be no new entries this week for the first time this year Another Love did chart on audio streaming for the first time this year this week
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Estimated ACR status updates 2025
What a totally not pointless reset that was for Timeless. Also RIP Close to You which dropped out by itself this week before ACR could get it
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Streaming Services Chart Discussion; W/C 06/06/25
A Spotify update would be fantastic…
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Streaming Services Chart Discussion; W/C 30/05/25
New peak for The Chain at #53
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2025 singles year to date estimates
You've downgraded your sales estimate for 'All the Stars' this week Julian? I think we could see the bottom end of the chart stagnate with songs on low sales but nothing to replace them, which didn't really happen last year with everything falling away being replaced quickly. I think 'Prada' will survive one more week with no new entries next week as I don't think '505' is close enough - outside of that it's a guessing game which oldies show up, I guess 'Don't Stop Me Now' could re-enter if stuff drops off really fast. Outside of that maybe 'Wonderwall' or 'Another Love' which has picked up a bit on Spotify recently but I would think they're quite far away by now. I would imagine that 'We are the People' has a fairly poor premium ratio, would be surprised to see it show up. I could see 'Shake It to the Max' showing up in 2 weeks time, but maybe that's optimistic on my part. I had it jumping 'Burning Down', but being passed by 'Azizam' and not quite doing enough to get ahead of 'Dirty Cash', thus staying at #54.
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Streaming Services Chart Discussion; W/C 30/05/25
Spotify YTD at the End of May: That's So True still just about holding on at the top. Some bigger differences starting to emerge compared to the OCC list - Nice to Meet You (#45), The Door and Anxiety (#48) are the biggest losers. All the Stars, Timeless, Headlock and luther are the biggest gainers on Spotify compared to the OCC. The Giver, Say My Name (Remix) and MUTT are still yet to reach the top 100 on the Spotify list, whilst Burning Down and Tell Me are outside the top 200. The top two songs on the Spotify list not in the OCC top 100 are both by Tyler, The Creator - Like Him at #60 and See You Again at #64. Happy to answer any questions if people have them
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Streaming Services Chart Discussion; W/C 30/05/25
Very unlikely - it’s charted very regularly over the past 4 years, so unless the label could give a good reason for a manual reset it won’t happen
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Streaming Services Chart Discussion; W/C 30/05/25
looks like Spotify have recalibrated playlists/auto play yesterday to cause moves like that. Are the big jumps for Fleetwood Mac also due to that or is there a specific reason for them?
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Estimated ACR status updates 2025
I get that thought in theory but it would heavily hinder songs which had very big debut weeks
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Streaming Services Chart Discussion; W/C 30/05/25
What the hell have I just listened to
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Streaming Services Chart Discussion; W/C 30/05/25
First week under a million streams on Spotify for Stick Season, ending an 83 week run, since October 2023. Previous record was 75 consecutive weeks by Blinding Lights. Lose Control is currently on 73 weeks.
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Streaming Services Chart Discussion; W/C 30/05/25
Apple: #54 Castle on the Hill #55 Shape of You #56 Perfect The best song from Divide winning