Everything posted by GreyAsh
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Padam Padam: Week 4 Chart Predictions
I’ve just done a little bit of number crunching about Kylie’s sales this week. These are her current positions: #13 overall up to Tuesday’s chart (down from #12) #13 overall on additional sales since the previous day This means that the songs above Kylie are all pulling away from her, but she is pulling away from all of the songs below her - and therefore hopefully she shouldn’t fall below number #13 at any point this week (as long as she can continue to pull away from ‘UK Rap’). At the current rate, I estimate that she would need the following: 250 cassette sales to overtake Hannah Laing to reach #12 1300 cassette sales to overtake Dave/Central Cee, Trojan Horse to reach #11 1350 cassette sales to overtake Loreen to reach #10 2400 cassette sales to overtake Rema to reach #9 So if Kylie can generate 1500 cassette sales in pre-orders, BMG should dispatch them on Thursday - if not, then save them until next week. Of course, the picture might change by the last update. Overall Kylie is in the top 2 for downloads (I’ve not seen the figures for BTS) and top 3 for sales (I’ve not seen the figures for the Sex Pistols either). In streaming ‘sales’, the picture is also looking very positive : #17 overall on the week to date. This is up from #18 the previous day as Kylie has overtaken Lewis Capaldi. #15 for streaming ‘sales’ since the previous day. ‘Padam Padam’ had a higher daily figure than both David Guetta and Dua Lipa, though she is unlikely to catch up with their weekly streaming figures before the end of the week - they had too good a head start
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
Yes, purchasing a music video off iTunes counts as a sale.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
You know me - I can always teach you a think or two 😉 I recall our ‘discussion’ about purchasing video downloads from iTunes. Talking of which - has everyone downloaded the video from iTunes?
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
To be fair, most people streaming it are not doing so just to get it into the charts. It’s doing well in the streaming charts because people want to hear it - and this is the reason why it is playlisted as well.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
Aha! I had never heard that rumour. But between us we can add quite a lot.
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Chart Campaign: Kylie Minogue 'Padam Padam' - Top 10!
If you’re looking for a way to add a few more sales each week - you can do repeat purchases on Amazon. You need to wait for a period of time before doing so (it’s about 48 hours) - but definitely worth doing, as downloads are cheaper than physicals.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
Did you know that you can download a track more than once from Amazon? I’ve never analysed it in detail but I find I CAN’T download it again straight away but I CAN purchase a download again 48 hours later.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
So Padam Padam is currently at its peak in most the important charts apart from Apple (thanks mostly to Dave) #1 (10 and 16) on iTunes. #1 (and 4) on Amazon downloads. #11 on Apple Music (peak #10) #13 on Amazon #31 on Spotify (highest climber within the top 100 - not including those climbing from outside the top 100) #1 on Big Top 40 And it is still growing.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
Ok. And so you know me in person? 🙈
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
I don’t *think* I know you - but you never know 🤷🏻♂️😅
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
…when you message a friend saying ‘are you on Buzzjack’ and it turns out they’re one of the top 5 posters here 🤦🏼♂️ I’m comparatively easy to identify on here.
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iTunes, Streaming & YouTube
New peak of 14 on Amazon!
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
New peak of 14 on Amazon!
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
The cassette bundles will make a difference… but will they push it top 10 this week? There is a lot of defeatism around, even though ‘Padam Padam’ is still growing and has so much more potential. There are two patterns for singles these days, either they debut and plummet, or they start to climb, and climb for several weeks. ‘Padam Padam’ is one of the latter songs and therefore could still have plenty of time to peak. Hopefully Kylie’s record company will make a good decision about whether to add the cassettes this week or next.
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iTunes, Streaming & YouTube
Back up to 11 on Apple; and 3 and 6 on iTunes.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
Back up to 11 on Apple; and 3 and 6 on iTunes.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
With J Hus the only new entry strong enough to be above Kylie, and the two Dave tracks in massive decline, Kylie does stand a good chance of being top 10 once the cassettes are added. Remember, she is not as frontloaded as she was last week - and she is still on the up on both Amazon and Spotify. On another note, Kylie is number 1 for the 3rd week on the Big Top 40. I’m pretty sure that chart counts downloads over a whole week. So it’s unsurprising the new releases aren’t above her, and her downloads have been consistently above Calvin Harris until they were split across 3 to 4 versions.
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Chart Campaign: Kylie Minogue 'Padam Padam' - Top 10!
Up to 15 on Amazon! I think that’s a new peak.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
Up to 15 on Amazon! I think that’s a new peak.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
And just noting that BTS haven’t made a show on the Apple Music streaming chart.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
I was going to ask about this. How much is the number 1 position on Big Top 40 influenced by downloads, and how much by streams? And if it is mostly downloads, does it just cover the past couple of days, or does it cover the past week? I was wondering whether BTS might be number 1, but I feel that if it is covering the past week, Kylie might still have the edge.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
Two Dave songs falling below it, and only 1 version of ‘Sprinter’ now included.
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Chart Campaign: Kylie Minogue 'Padam Padam' - Top 10!
One thing that we have to accept is that each one of us is just a small drop in the Ocean. We can’t single-handedly make a massive impact on the charts. Unless we are in the position to inspire many others.
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Chart Campaign: Kylie Minogue 'Padam Padam' - Top 10!
Part of the answer is this: I’m in my 40s and have decades of music and artists to choose from - and other people of my age will choose a variety of other artists. In particular, lots of people in their 40s, 30s and 20s play music from the past, not current music. Younger people are not only more likely to be streaming new/current music, but they are also more likely to be streaming the same music as each other. Hence artists that are appealing to the current ‘generation’ of music fans are likely to get a much higher number of streams.
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Chart Campaign: Kylie Minogue 'Padam Padam' - Top 10!
Yes. All paid accounts count 6 times more than free accounts (or so I’m led to believe).