simonf

I agree with you Gooddelta. It's been Sweden vs Austria so for long and who knows, may be they will storm to victory but it really wouldn't surprise me if France gets it. I keep thinking Austria is a bit close to last year's winner and pop opera doesn't always do amazing. I suspect we will get very different top 5's with the televote and jury and the scores could be more spread out than normal. It wouldn't surprise me if neither the winner of the televote or jury go over 300 points. The jury may be quite split with France and Austria. I am pretty certain the top 5 televote will be Sweden, Finland, Israel, Estonia and the fifth going to either Ukraine or something like France/Austria. I can see Israel's jury score being more than last year but the televote being less than last year too.

I like the idea and the production but I don't really like the spoken word section (isnt that from Band Aid II?) as it makes it quite jarring. Weird that the end chorus section is pretty much gone which is a shame. To be honest I feel quite sad that it doesn't include anything artists from Band Aid II.

I am still kinda sad that they have ignored Band Aid II. I get why to an extent but it doesn't feel like it will be a true ultimate mix. Although to be fair they'd probably only have included vocals by Kylie, Cliff, Bananarama and possibly Marti Pellow anyway. It will be interesting how it does, if it goes to #1 I can't see it staying there until Christmas. It will be interesting to see if this will be the last one or if they will try to do something special for the 50th.

There have been rumours that Band Aid 40 is coming but one of the rumours is that they will be picking the best artists from the previous 4 versions to make a super version. Can't imagine they will choose many lines from Band Aid 2 if true (aside from Kylie perhaps). :rolleyes:

Debuts at #1 in both Australia and New Zealand

I used to love watching Box Tops every week, shame there's probably no record of its #1s although I remember some of the big ones.

Interestingly Israel's odds have drifted a bit tonight and Croatia's odds have shortened again.

What a mess, but may be as the Netherlands are gone that could help Croatia possibly? Many said Netherlands and Croatia would split the vote so that won't happen now. Does anyone dare make any predictions about tonight? I can't call it at all and noticed no-one has done any predictions in the normal thread yet. Even if Israel win the televote, is it really going to get 400+ points like Ukraine? Certainly could get over 300 but I'm not convinced all countries will them their 12 points but who knows. It will literally depend on what the juries do. Some will boycott them but others will give them some points although I can't see them getting many 10/12s. The voting is going to be quite tense either way. I dread to think what will happen in the audience if Israel win it to be honest.

I've already seen that Italian leak in a few places. Could we actually get a shock Israel win? (or at least in the televote).

Looks like a race between Artemas Vs Hosier for number one next week? Both are very low on hot hits so once they get moved up (likely Friday?) then their numbers should increase next week

The clip certainly sounds like its going to be catchy and its already in my head. Bit of a shame he keeps needing to sampling old dance tracks though.

I have thoroughly enjoyed this thread, I remember following your chart back then so it was really interesting. Any plans to continue into the 2010s (I know you finished around 2015 but still).

I know there was never any guarantee that Dua would go to #1 anyway and she will have physicals too but Jack Harlow certainly looks like its gonna challenge next week too. Spotify will be very interesting tomorrow.

Vaults 82-1 in Sweden

Double post

Any predictions now we have the full running order? I won't do a whole rundown but just a few comments:- Can definitely see Israel ending up top 5 with that draw. Croatia will also end up top 10 I think (possibly top 5 on the televote?). I think Norway will be top 10 with that draw too. Not sure what to think of France, think they will still be top 5 on Jury (like Destiny was in 2021) but I am not sure how well it will do with the televote? Sadly I dont think the UK will be top 10 but hopefully they won't be bottom 5. As for the Winner, I've said it the other day but Ukraine now have a great draw. I really do worry that they will win again for various reasons. I don't think they will be top 5 on the Jury but they can certainly top the televote again. If they do win the televote I suspect it won't be 400+ but could easily be more than 300+ However, hopefully it will still be Sweden Vs Finland. Still hoping for Sweden even with the early draw. We have had some winners being 10th-12th so it could still do it.

I reckon they will put Finland 10th/11th and Loreen 12th/13th. It will certainly be interesting if all the favourites go first half. I worry that Ukraine may do even better now, they seem to have been forgotten about but I could still see a show where they come close to winning again. I don't think they will get 400+ in the televotes but can still see them getting 300 or something. Its also interesting that Loreen is almost top 10 on itunes already but Finland is nowhere to be seen yet, could suggest she may do really well in the televote?

What do people now think about Ukraine? They were favourites for a while until Sweden and Finland came out and they've been falling odds wise since. Should we count them out? It's hard to know how well televote wise I guess. Could they beat Finland on the televote?

I'm beginning to wonder if bota will stay at number one? I'd imagine I'm good extended version makes it closer but I reckon it is going to be close this week.

How do you know that it's combined on iTunes? Livepopbars has been incorrect for the last year or two and kworb hasn't been updating?

I think Lewis will be safe number one week especially he will be number one in sales too. I honestly can't see it being a long running topper though and think I'm good will push it close over the next few weeks

So what do people predict he will open with next week? I suspect he will shoot to #1 on itunes and will likely top the sales chart next week. Should we be expecting a big opening day on Spotify? He will definitely get support from the start but its really hard to judge how he will do. He could easily do 500/600,000 streams on Spotify but could do alot less. I guess even if he doesn't reach the #1 spot to begin with then the CD single could propel him there (like Before You Go). If he debuts 600,000+ he could be #1 for weeks.

I presume that I'm good has more streams too as there is also the extended mix too.

Oh I thought the livepopbars weren't accurate anymore? I had lbeen ooking at Kworb for accurate figures but they haven't been updating for the last two weeks.

I think they could too, although I think it will obviously depend if they can reach #1 on Spotify by Monday and if they can get a decent lead. Unfortunately we don't know what kind of lead they have on itunes at the moment. And of course, even if Lewis does reach #1 on its first week (which is quite likely) that doesn't mean it will be #1 for ages or I'm Good won't overtake at some point.