simonf

Vaults 82-1 in Sweden

Double post

Any predictions now we have the full running order? I won't do a whole rundown but just a few comments:- Can definitely see Israel ending up top 5 with that draw. Croatia will also end up top 10 I think (possibly top 5 on the televote?). I think Norway will be top 10 with that draw too. Not sure what to think of France, think they will still be top 5 on Jury (like Destiny was in 2021) but I am not sure how well it will do with the televote? Sadly I dont think the UK will be top 10 but hopefully they won't be bottom 5. As for the Winner, I've said it the other day but Ukraine now have a great draw. I really do worry that they will win again for various reasons. I don't think they will be top 5 on the Jury but they can certainly top the televote again. If they do win the televote I suspect it won't be 400+ but could easily be more than 300+ However, hopefully it will still be Sweden Vs Finland. Still hoping for Sweden even with the early draw. We have had some winners being 10th-12th so it could still do it.

I reckon they will put Finland 10th/11th and Loreen 12th/13th. It will certainly be interesting if all the favourites go first half. I worry that Ukraine may do even better now, they seem to have been forgotten about but I could still see a show where they come close to winning again. I don't think they will get 400+ in the televotes but can still see them getting 300 or something. Its also interesting that Loreen is almost top 10 on itunes already but Finland is nowhere to be seen yet, could suggest she may do really well in the televote?

What do people now think about Ukraine? They were favourites for a while until Sweden and Finland came out and they've been falling odds wise since. Should we count them out? It's hard to know how well televote wise I guess. Could they beat Finland on the televote?

I'm beginning to wonder if bota will stay at number one? I'd imagine I'm good extended version makes it closer but I reckon it is going to be close this week.

How do you know that it's combined on iTunes? Livepopbars has been incorrect for the last year or two and kworb hasn't been updating?

I think Lewis will be safe number one week especially he will be number one in sales too. I honestly can't see it being a long running topper though and think I'm good will push it close over the next few weeks

It will be interesting to see what happens with Lewis tomorrow. I am sure it will zoom to #1 on itunes still but if radio stations aren't playing much chart music for a few days then it could affect it?

So what do people predict he will open with next week? I suspect he will shoot to #1 on itunes and will likely top the sales chart next week. Should we be expecting a big opening day on Spotify? He will definitely get support from the start but its really hard to judge how he will do. He could easily do 500/600,000 streams on Spotify but could do alot less. I guess even if he doesn't reach the #1 spot to begin with then the CD single could propel him there (like Before You Go). If he debuts 600,000+ he could be #1 for weeks.

I presume that I'm good has more streams too as there is also the extended mix too.

Whilst I don't doubt Lewis will reach number one it wouldn't be surprised if I'm good puts up a strong fight over the next few weeks

Oh I thought the livepopbars weren't accurate anymore? I had lbeen ooking at Kworb for accurate figures but they haven't been updating for the last two weeks.

I think they could too, although I think it will obviously depend if they can reach #1 on Spotify by Monday and if they can get a decent lead. Unfortunately we don't know what kind of lead they have on itunes at the moment. And of course, even if Lewis does reach #1 on its first week (which is quite likely) that doesn't mean it will be #1 for ages or I'm Good won't overtake at some point.

David/Bebe with I'm Good is now #1 on itunes

That sounds decent from the preview. It will be interesting to see if he can get a #1 with it? His album will reach #1 either way though.

Could afraid to feel actually end up reaching number one in a few weeks as it's climbing very quickly? I did feel lizzo had a chance originally but she won't make it now unless she is lucky with ACR with Harry.

Does anyone know if SVT are doing English commentary tomorrow for the final like they did last year?

Hopefully this will come back to Spotify soon. I read that it is a licensing issue but weird how it is still on Apple/Itunes? Its looking likely to go top 10 on itunes soon so hopefully it will be back soon.

Have they mentioned anymore about Volume 2 coming out this year?

Has there been any word if there is going to be a video? If not, if I was the label I would re-edit the studio live performance from Youtube and use that instead.

So this is finally out today, it's stayed the same length but the sample has changed (presumably they couldn't use the original). I hope this is big still, can see radio 1 supporting it.

France are favourite again? I still don't see it myself. I can definitely see them close to the top of the jury vote but is it really going to be top 5 on the televote? Am I right that it looks like Iceland has shortened again?

Alot of people seem to think they may bury Iceland so they don't win which would be a shame. I have no idea who is going to win at the moment so the order will be interesting. Shame Iceland, Malta, Cyprus and Switzerland are all first half really but obviously they still have a chance to win from the first half.

Oh this does sound big to me too! Can see it being big in Europe over the Summer. They better hurry and release it though, I've noticed that rival versions are already appearing on Spotify.