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 SEMI-FINAL I [2012], BBC1, 7pm |
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  21st May 2012, 11:28 PM
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#1
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 BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 24 July 2008
Posts: 9,491 User: 6,716 
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 Good evening Ladies and Gentlemans, Mesdames et Messieurs, meine Damen und Herren! In less than 24 hours we will know the first 10 countries that will qualify from the first semi final to le grande finale in this years Eurovision Song Contest! Who will be doing a 'Stella' and who will doing a 'Russia' - 'doing a Stella' is being predicted to qualify, but end up at the bottom of the scoreboard. 'Doing a Russia' means the country have sent an awful song but qualifies anyway. Start your last predictions and rankings, because you only got some hours left! The show will start at 8pm BST (21 CET) on BBC1!  Semi 1 01.  Montenegro: Rambo Amadeus - Euro Neuro02.  Iceland: Gréta Salóme & Jónsi - Never Forget03.  Greece: Eleftheria Eleftheriou - Aphrodisiac04.  Latvia: Anmary - Beautiful Song05.  Albania: Rona Nishliu - Suus06.  Romania: Mandinga - Zaleilah07.  Switzerland: Sinplus - Unbreakable08.  Belgium: Iris - Would You?09.  Finland: Pernilla Karlsson - När jag blundar10.  Israel: Izabo - Time11.  San Marino: Valentina Monetta - The Social Network Song12.  Cyprus: Ivi Adamou - La La Love13.  Denmark: Soluna Samay - Should've Known Better14.  Russia: Buranovskiye Babushki - Party For Everybody15.  Hungary: Compact Disco - Sound of our Hearts16.  Austria: Trackshittaz - Woki mit deim Popo17.  Moldova: Pasha Parfeny - Lăutar18.  Ireland: Jedward - Waterline
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21st May 2012, 11:40 PM
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#2
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 24 July 2008
Posts: 9,491 User: 6,716
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My prediction before the show!
01 Montenegro 02 Iceland 03 Greece 04 Latvia 05 Albania 06 Romania 07 Switzerland 08 Belgium 09 Finland 10 Israel 11 San Marino 12 Cyprus 13 Denmark 14 Russia 15 Hungary 16 Austria 17 Moldova 18 Ireland Iceland got a really bad draw, but they got alot of people on their side. I think they will qualify. Russia will obviously qualify because alot of people actually enjoy this, I don't see it though. I don't think alot of people will see that the Latvian song is actually meant to be funny. San Marino will of course end at the bottom I think. Hungary is too difficult to remember, even I have forgotten how it goes even though I like it. Belgium is just boring. A bit unsure about Finland as they always struggle when they sing in their national language, this time their 2nd national language. Ireland have a good draw, and last year they came really far with a bad song (in my ears). I guess they got alot of fans out there. What I hope happens 01 Montenegro 02 Iceland 03 Greece 04 Latvia 05 Albania 06 Romania 07 Switzerland 08 Belgium 09 Finland 10 Israel 11 San Marino 12 Cyprus 13 Denmark 14 Russia 15 Hungary 16 Austria  17 Moldova 18 Ireland |
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21st May 2012, 11:42 PM
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#3
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 4 November 2009
Posts: 7,088 User: 9,886
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Want:
Albania Cyprus Denmark Finland Greece Iceland Ireland Israel Moldova Romania Predict: Albania Denmark Finland Greece Iceland Ireland Israel Moldova Romania Russia ...and some tears. Quite an open field overall I'd say. The only definite non-qualifiers are Montenegro. |
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21st May 2012, 11:45 PM
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#4
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 24 July 2008
Posts: 9,491 User: 6,716
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QUOTE(Ghosty. @ May 22 2012, 01:42 AM)  Want: Quite an open field overall I'd say. The only definite non-qualifiers are Montenegro. And San Marino. Would have been hilarious if they did, but I can't see it happen. Their biggest chance so far in Eurovision was last year and they came 16th. |
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21st May 2012, 11:53 PM
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#5
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 4 November 2009
Posts: 7,088 User: 9,886
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San Marino sound very good live and it is catchy. I personally don't think they can be totally ruled out of qualification at this stage although I will be very surprised if they do qualify!
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22nd May 2012, 12:04 AM
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#6
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 35,565 User: 44
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Slightly revised my predictions after initially thinking Moldova would fall short.
01 Romania 02 Denmark 03 Russia 04 Iceland 05 Greece 06 Cyprus 07 Ireland 08 Moldova 09 Finland 10 Latvia ------------------ 11 Belgium 12 Switzerland 13 Hungary 14 Albania 15 San Marino 16 Israel 17 Austria 18 Montenegro |
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22nd May 2012, 12:06 AM
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#7
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 Queen of Soon
Joined: 24 May 2007
Posts: 74,082 User: 3,474
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Being the absolute genius that I am I managed to arrange to have dinner with my friend tomorrow at 8pm. Continuing my stunning streak of intelligence would be scheduling another dinner for Thursday.
What a Fucking idiot. Although I shall be watching the final live 
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22nd May 2012, 12:24 AM
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#8
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BuzzJack Idol
Joined: 29 June 2006
Posts: 128,433 User: 845
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The 10 i think that will make it through are:
Ireland Romania Iceland Denmark Greece Russia Cyprus Moldova Hungary Switzerland I really hope Ireland go through. |
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22nd May 2012, 01:47 AM
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#9
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 All I See br29
Joined: 17 August 2011
Posts: 12,907 User: 14,659
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I think you made your point
 I won't be able to watch this live which is all kinds of depressing. Will tape it and watch as soon as I can though! Hopefully I can avoid coming on here and getting spoilers! Cheering for San Marino because someone has to do it Clinging on to any possible chance of qualification.
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22nd May 2012, 01:59 AM
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#10
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salty foods parch the human
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 24 October 2007 Posts: 26,020 User: 4,631
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What I think will qualify:
02 Iceland 03 Greece 04 Latvia 06 Romania 09 Finland 10 Israel 13 Denmark 14 Russia 17 Moldova 18 Ireland What I want to qualify: 02 Iceland 03 Greece 04 Latvia 06 Romania 08 Belgium 09 Finland 12 Cyprus 13 Denmark 15 Hungary 18 Ireland This is quite a strong semi actually. Cyrus, Denmark, Greece and Ireland are all highly ranked by me. |
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22nd May 2012, 05:33 AM
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#11
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 PTTP
Joined: 30 April 2012
Posts: 4,806 User: 16,865
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Want: Latvia, San Marino, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, Mother Russia, Greece, Cyprus, Iceland, Switzerland
Will be: Romania, Greece, Cyprus, Ireland, Russia, Denmark, Switzerland, Latvia, Iceland, Israel |
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22nd May 2012, 05:59 AM
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#12
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Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 83,046 User: 116
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My final semi 1 prediction;
01 Romania 02 Russia 03 Iceland 04 Denmark 05 Greece 06 Moldova 07 Ireland 08 Cyprus 09 Albania 10 Belgium Finland or Israel could take out Belgium |
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22nd May 2012, 08:00 AM
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#13
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DROTTNING!
Joined: 15 April 2006
Posts: 63,953 User: 480
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Right, I see it as the following:
Near-certain qualifiers Iceland Greece Romania Russia Likely qualifiers Cyprus Denmark Moldova Ireland Potential qualifiers Switzerland Belgium Israel Hungary Austria Unlikely qualifiers Albania Latvia Finland Write-offs Montenegro San Marino Greece, Romania and Russia are all spectacle pieces that easily stick in the head and should get more than enough televotes to secure them places in the final - some have suggested that Greece might crash out Turkey/Armenia-style, but I don't see it happening mainly as last year both of those countries didn't have many friendly votes available, whereas Greece has about 30 straight off the bat here. I can't see Eleftheria failing to qualify unless the juries really go all out on trying to keep her out of the final, but at the same time I don't think she's certain to be top four - I just think she's almost certainly going to qualify, no matter where she ends up in the top ten. I'm going to take a bit of a risk and predict Iceland to win this semi from the second performance slot - I think it's got the jury victory in this semi near wrapped up (what could contend? Denmark's the only one I can see rivalling, or maybe Belgium/Finland at a long stretch) and should do well enough in the televotes for it to average out as a semi win. Beyond that, it gets a little more risky. Ireland and Moldova should be through but it's by no means certain that the juries won't turn on Pasha/Jedward (I know they didn't last year for Jedward, but Lipstick as a song relied far less on vocals versus spectacle than Waterline. I don't think they'll turn on Jedward but it's not a certainty.). Cyprus I think will make it but I could easily see something along the lines of a Daria - Celebrate kind of failure if it all goes tits up in the final performance, and I think we all remember Bergendahlgate when it comes to making predictions for Denmark, so I'm hedging my bets there. Which leaves two qualifying places left, and I can see five countries in contention - Switzerland, Belgium, Israel, Hungary and Austria. I'm going to predict qualification for Belgium first - I think it'll completely overshadow Finland next to it, and I can see the juries lapping it up, but it's still a risk that going next to Finland might take out both (like Ireland going next to Belarus did in 2010's final). The second place is far harder to predict. Switzerland could get through but we haven't seen too many incidences of MoR pop-rock getting through in recent years, so it could be a jury pick but I think it could easily go the same way as The Highest Heights. Israel stands out big but I can't call how the juries will take to it. File Hungary next to Switzerland in the uncertainty stakes, and Austria being big, mad and memorable and two slots from the end leads me to think that it might be a shock qualifier. The juries could take it out but I reckon the televotes could easily see it through. In terms of the unlikely, Albania's three minutes of wailing will go the same way as Cyprus's entry last year I think; Latvia is LOVELY and I would have my year made if it went through, but from such an early slot I can't see it; Finland will probably be taken out by Belgium and I think it's far too subtle and inaccessible for the Eurovision stage. Montenegro and San Marino are dead on arrival. So, I see the following: 01 Iceland 02 Romania 03 Russia 04 Denmark 05 Greece 06 Moldova 07 Ireland 08 Cyprus 09 Belgium 10 Austria 11 Israel 12 Hungary 13 Switzerland 14 Latvia 15 Albania 16 Finland 17 San Marino 18 Montenegro In terms of what I want to see through? Take out Belgium and whack in Latvia, and I can give or take Finland in exchange for Ireland but don't mind either way. |
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22nd May 2012, 08:17 AM
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#14
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 Schlagerdrottningen
Joined: 23 August 2010
Posts: 31,877 User: 11,709
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Think:
Iceland Greece Albania Romania Cyprus Denmark Russia Austria Moldova Ireland Want: Iceland Latvia Albania Romania Belgium Finland Cyprus Hungary Moldova Ireland |
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22nd May 2012, 08:32 AM
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#15
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 I'm a paragon so don't perceive me
Joined: 3 February 2011
Posts: 37,420 User: 12,929        |
Think:
Russia Denmark Romania Iceland Greece Moldova Cyprus Ireland Hungary Austria (11 Finland, 12 Belgium 13 San Marino 14 Israel 15 Latvia 16 Albania 17 Switzerland 18 Montenegro) Want: Iceland Finland Romania Greece Cyprus Moldova San Marino Denmark Latvia Israel I'm preparing to weep for Pernilla but I think she has more chance of qualifying than Belgium, partly because I think it blows Belgium out of the water but maybe that's just me trying not to be realistic.  I can't see the top 5 of my 'think' list not qualifying and I think Moldova's pretty likely as well. Would LOVE to see Jedward and Russia fail but I think I'll be hoping against hope there. Hungary could scrape themselves through and I wouldn't mind. Same with Austria to some extent, although if any novelty qualifies, I'd prefer it to be San Marino, Latvia, Israel or even Montenegro over Austria, Russia and Ireland. Trust me to love all the unpopular novelty.  The only two I think have no chance whatsoever are Sinplus and Rambo, so it's looking a very open semi from 6th down to 16th. As for who'll win, I think Romania should take this semi, followed by Russia and Denmark, Iceland could do well though and I'd love for them to win the semi although I don't see it happening from the 2nd slot. |
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22nd May 2012, 09:37 AM
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#16
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I was born 7 million years ago in Sweden, Africa
Joined: 4 October 2010
Posts: 13,253 User: 11,955
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Think:
01. Romania 02. Denmark 03. Iceland 04. Cyprus 05. Russia 06. Greece 07. Ireland 08. Moldova 09. Belgium 10. Albania 11. Austria 12. Finland 13. Latvia 14. Israel 15. Hungary 16. Switzerland 17. Montenegro 18. San Marino As long as Iceland, Cyprus and Romania make it through (and Montenegro and Albania fall flat on their arses) I'm not really bothered who the other 7 qualifiers are, as it's quite a strong semi. |
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22nd May 2012, 09:50 AM
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#17
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 2 October 2007
Posts: 18,059 User: 4,443
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LETS GET AUSTRIA THROUGH!
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22nd May 2012, 09:51 AM
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#18
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DROTTNING!
Joined: 15 April 2006
Posts: 63,953 User: 480
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WOKI WOKI WOKI
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22nd May 2012, 10:10 AM
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#19
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DROTTNING!
Joined: 15 April 2006
Posts: 63,953 User: 480
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Because of a bus accident yesterday apparently Albania won't be broadcasting the first semi live tonight, which means they'll be just using a jury vote.
Which means Montenegro might be on track for NUL POINTS! *.* |
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22nd May 2012, 10:21 AM
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#20
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 23 December 2010
Posts: 24,411 User: 12,608
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Here's who I think will qualify:
01 Montenegro 02 Iceland 03 Greece 04 Latvia 05 Albania 06 Romania 07 Switzerland 08 Belgium 09 Finland 10 Israel 11 San Marino 12 Cyprus 13 Denmark 14 Russia 15 Hungary 16 Austria 17 Moldova 18 Ireland And as long as Cyprus qualifies I'll be happy! And I've made my decision on who I think is going to win the whole thing, I'm going for Romania! If they get a late draw in the final, I think they will do it. They are gaining momentum at exactly the right time with the bookies and we know Elena can sing it great. You heard it here first!
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