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> Predict ● Where will 'Shout Out To My Ex' chart?
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Tinasha
post Oct 11 2016, 12:48 PM
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I know, I know...we've not heard the song yet. But these days songs chart on who the artist is just as much as they do how good the song it.


What we know...

-It's an upbeat, power anthem, which is going to be a huge talking point (already is, to a point) due to the links with Zayn.
-It's been compared to Ugly Heart in it's style.
-The video is filmed in the Spanish (I think?) desert.
-It's by the same people behind Black Magic

Little Mix are one of the few acts that can chart high in their first week in the UK right now, but are releasing on Sunday.
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Tinasha
post Oct 11 2016, 01:40 PM
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I think low top 20 in week 1, if they're lucky. But should climb top 5 in a few weeks, with any luck.
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Ryan.
post Oct 11 2016, 01:44 PM
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I went for #11-20 first week climbing to #6-10, although there is a part of me that thinks this could go off the scale and pull in incredible number for a #1 first week debut despite the release date. It is the most hyped release I've seen for a UK act potentially since Adele last year judging by the media coverage (probably forgetting someone obvious - maybe ZAYN but even his hype seemed more confined to the 1D fanbase).
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Tinasha
post Oct 11 2016, 01:53 PM
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QUOTE(Ryan. @ Oct 11 2016, 02:44 PM) *
I went for #11-20 first week climbing to #6-10, although there is a part of me that thinks this could go off the scale and pull in incredible number for a #1 first week debut despite the release date. It is the most hyped release I've seen for a UK act potentially since Adele last year judging by the media coverage (probably forgetting someone obvious - maybe ZAYN but even his hype seemed more confined to the 1D fanbase).



The thing with Little Mix is that they have it both ways. Acts like Bruno Mars/ Weeknd/JT have to ride on the fact that they have huge, but not very loyal CASUAL fanbases. Little Mix, however, have a really big, still growing core fanbase, but are also striking a chord with the general public. Still, though, I don't think streaming will allow them a huge debut.


I should have taken the "What will be its chart peak?" question out, the person voting is either confused or a troll.
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Tinasha
post Oct 11 2016, 02:36 PM
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Added first week sales. I think they can manage about 42k sales, so maybe they will make the top 10 after all.
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shindymindy
post Oct 11 2016, 02:58 PM
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I think they'll manage more than 40k first week.
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JosephCarey
post Oct 11 2016, 04:00 PM
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#21-30 week 1 (will be top 10 on sales but it will be without almost 3 full days of streaming, and the rest of the week won't make up for it)
#2-5 final peak
20-40k week 1 sales (closer to 20k)

Although I'm really hoping I'm underestimating this!
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Matt1989
post Oct 11 2016, 06:46 PM
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I went with 2-5 charting before rising to Number 1. I think the amount of hype the song is getting will definitely boost sales and lessen the impact of what is virtually a midweek release
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Tinasha
post Oct 12 2016, 07:45 AM
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Heard about this on the news today, the hype is real!
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Tinasha
post Oct 12 2016, 10:26 AM
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More preddix and discussion please.
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shindymindy
post Oct 12 2016, 10:36 AM
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I think they hype is massive for this release. It has been spoken about a lot in the media and it's only going to get bigger as the week goes by.
Streaming is what let them down big time last era so hopefully it will be a little different this time.
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Matt1989
post Oct 12 2016, 12:28 PM
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With slightly better streaming we would've got four top 10s from the Get Weird era. I kinda like the fact the girls buck the seeming modern trend of getting most of their success through streaming but it's something Mixers do need to get better at
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MrLoverboy
post Oct 14 2016, 01:27 PM
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Done! Next week: #6-#10
Chart Peak #2-#5
61-100k first week
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Jonjo
post Oct 14 2016, 02:01 PM
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Predixxxx...

#11-#20
#4
21k-40k
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Tinasha
post Oct 16 2016, 10:30 PM
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Considering how fast it's climbed isn't now up my preddix to low top 10 debut and #1 the week after possibly. Hopefully it doesn't free fall on iTunes.
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leewallace
post Oct 16 2016, 10:53 PM
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QUOTE(Joe. @ Oct 16 2016, 11:30 PM) *
Considering how fast it's climbed isn't now up my preddix to low top 10 debut and #1 the week after possibly. Hopefully it doesn't free fall on iTunes.


I'm predicting a debut of around #8 and it wouldn't surprise me if they were top 3 on sales, possibly top 2. I don't know if number one will be achievable next week as their streaming would have to be huge and in all honesty if Niall struggled to go top 10 immediately, I can see Little Mix doing something similar. I think it will peak top five which is still an incredible achievement.
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Tinasha
post Oct 18 2016, 01:01 PM
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Seems like a lot of us underestimated this.

It's on 33k after 1 day and 3 hours of sales before yesterday's streaming has even been included. It's going to be #2 minimum, but it's going to put up a good fight with James for that #1.
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Jonjo
post Oct 18 2016, 03:25 PM
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Due to inflation on Thursdays streams etc... I'm gonna be so pissed if they lose out by a ridiculously small amount like less than 3k or something laugh.gif
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Matt1989
post Oct 18 2016, 06:06 PM
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QUOTE(Joe. @ Oct 18 2016, 02:01 PM) *
Seems like a lot of us underestimated this.

It's on 33k after 1 day and 3 hours of sales before yesterday's streaming has even been included. It's going to be #2 minimum, but it's going to put up a good fight with James for that #1.


I think a lot of people (me included) thought it would enter lower because they are basically three days behind everyone else, but it seems like it was actually timed to perfection
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Tinasha
post Oct 18 2016, 06:28 PM
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QUOTE(Matt1989 @ Oct 18 2016, 07:06 PM) *
I think a lot of people (me included) thought it would enter lower because they are basically three days behind everyone else, but it seems like it was actually timed to perfection



I think either way, nobody guessed they were capable of these kinds of numbers.
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