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Also, I don't really know how to explain it, but we don't know for sure that the pop-bars on iTunes are fully representatitve (if that's the correct word). Like, we're assuming it's done the simple way, where each sale in the past 24 hours contributes exactly the same to the pop-bars. This may not be the case. They might've done it so that a sale one hour ago contributes more to the popularity bar than a sale 23 hours ago. The advantages of doing it that way is that the popularity bars are more "current" at any given time, as more recent sales are given more weight than the sales almost a day ago. The main disadvantage is that it's more complicated, but there's far more complicated things on iTunes than weighted popularity bars.

 

To be fair, the figures that RIOS gets are usually quite accurate, which suggests most of his assumptions are reasonable, but we just don't know, and should keep them in mind.

The pop bars are 48 hours, not 24.

 

As someone mentioned the other day, it took 'The Wanted' 48 hours to disappear from the iTunes rundown, not 24.

 

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I can see Katy overtaking JLS by the end of the week, but they will probably still manage number 1 with physical sales added

 

& have a bit of promo this week - GMTV, 5 o'clock show & James Cordens World Cup Live

Looks like the downloads for JLS were front loaded, which is not surprising. Katy Perry HAS TO overtake them :wub:
Kelly :up: to #6! :w00t: She's holding on very well, I hope she'll move higher officially, it deserves a higher peak than #9. -_-
Just downloaded California Gurls.. id rather have that as number 1 this week :):).. The lead isin't that massive tbh !
The pop bars are 48 hours, not 24.

 

As someone mentioned the other day, it took 'The Wanted' 48 hours to disappear from the iTunes rundown, not 24.

 

 

Well, that's another example of an assumption that we made in the past, which was wrong.

 

We can't go around stating that the pop-bars are equally weighted, when we don't know this for fact. We can assume it, but we need to make it clear it's an assumption, and should take it into account if we're going to do some maths with the pop-bars.

am guessing 60/70k this week for Katy Perry

and 85/95 for JLS

JLS popbar is already stalling compared to this morning :cheer:

 

If we agree it's a 48h rolling chart, then the only way for it to stall only after 24h is that its sales are decreasing quite abruptly already!

There's still hope ! :D :D

There we go, massive boost for YBC will come in the form of the top 10 boost. I knew it'd happen. Hopefully it can still get to at least top 5 but I still wouldn't rule out going as high as #2 :D
There we go, massive boost for YBC will come in the form of the top 10 boost. I knew it'd happen. Hopefully it can still get to at least top 5 but I still wouldn't rule out going as high as #2 :D

 

It would help if it got combined with the other version, but obviously it won't be.

iTunes Update

 

[01] 01| JLS - The Club Is Alive

[02] 02| Katy Perry ft. Snoop Dogg - California Gurls

[03] 03| B.o.B. ft. Hayley Williams - Airplanes

[05] 04| Eminem & Rihanna - Love The Way You Lie

[04] 05| Enrique Iglesias ft. Pitbull - I Like It

[07] 06| Kelly Rowland ft. David Guetta - Commander

[06] 07| Kylie Minogue - All The Lovers

[08] 08| Lady GaGa - Alejandro

[09] 09| Example - Kickstarts

[23] 10| Yolanda Be Cool & DCup - We No Speak Americano

 

[10] 11| K'naan - Wavin' Flag

[14] 12| 3OH!3 ft. Ke$ha - My First Kiss

[12] 13| Eliza Doolittle - Pack Up

[11] 14| Tinie Tempah ft. Labrinth - Frisky

[13] 15| Eminem - Not Afraid

[15] 16| David Guetta & Chris Willis ft. Fergie & LMFAO - Gettin' Over You

[16] 17| Jason DeRulo - Ridin' Solo

[19] 18| Skepta - Rescue Me

[18] 19| Scissor Sisters - Fire With Fire

[21] 20| Usher ft. Will.i.am - OMG

 

[20] 21| Sean Kingston & Justin Bieber - Eenie Meenie

[22] 22| Rihanna - Te Amo

[17] 23| Marco Calliari - We No Speak Americano

[31] 24| Shakira ft. Freshlyground - Waka Waka (This Time For Africa)

[24] 25| Alicia Keys - Try Sleeping With A Broken Heart

[25] 26| Alexandra Burke ft. Pitbull - All Night Long

[28] 27| Train - Hey, Soul Sister

[27] 28| Ke$ha - Your Love Is My Drug

[26] 29| B.o.B. ft. Bruno Mars - Nothin' On You

[29] 30| Aggro Santos & Kimberley Wyatt - Candy

 

[32] 31| Plan B - Prayin'

[30] 32| Pixie Lott - Turn It Up

[33] 33| N-Dubz ft. Bodyrox - We Dance On

[36] 34| Justin Bieber ft. Usher - Somebody To Love

[34] 35| Plan B - She Said

[37] 36| Edward Maya & Vika Jigulina - Stereo Love

[46] 37| Yolanda Be Cool & DCup - We No Speak Americano (UK Radio Edit)

[38] 38| Robyn - Dancing On My Own

[53] 39| Lee Ryan - I Am Who I Am

[35] 40| Shout For England ft. Dizzee Rascal & James Corden - Shout

 

Selected Others

 

[43] 41| Drake - Find Your Love

[80] 51| Kelis - 4th Of July (Fireworks)

[71] 58| Scouting For Girls - Famous

[76] 73| Adam Lambert - Whataya Want From Me

[82] 78| Diana Vickers - The Boy Who Murdered Love

[**] 90| Kelis - 4th Of July (Fireworks)

[95] 92| 30 Seconds To Mars - Closer To The Edge

[113] 99| Esmée Denters ft. Justin Timberlake - Love Dealer

 

[112] 107| Florence + The Machine - Cosmic Love

[149] 146| JLS ft. Chipmunk - Only Tonight

[210] 147| Wiley - Electric Boogaloo (Find A Way)

[297] 156| Ciara ft. Ludacris - Ride

[160] 160| Pendulum - Witchcraft

[207] 200| Usher ft. Nicki Minaj - Lil' Freak

 

[***] 207| Kylie Minogue - All The Lovers

[236] 217| Marina & The Diamonds - Oh No!

[277] 251| Jason DeRulo - What If

[***] 262| Tired Pony - Dead American Writers

JLS feat. Chipmunk - Only Tonight ? Surprised people are buying it when its basically just the album version with an added verse by Chipmunk

 

 

Oh come on Eliza, get top 10 now!!!
who is to say it's not a 36 hour rolling chart? It could be anything.

Katy has closed the gap a little bit :) Hope Airplanes can help close the gap also...

JLS HAVE GMTV, JAMES CORDEN, 5.00 show.. so Jls have got it in the bag

Great to see Katy moving closer towards JLS! I think there is a slight possibility she could grab the #1 for a third week. ^_^
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