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I still can't see past Sweden or Italy as potential winners. Maybe Serbia or Russia as long shots. I just think that Romania will suffer with the juries France 2010 style (except not as bad, and with more televotes), although I reckon it'll still be top five.
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What I think;

 

Iceland

Greece

Latvia

Romania

Belgium

Cyprus

Denmark

Russia

Moldova

Ireland

 

Iceland are certain, it's a powerful number following Montenegro who seem most likely to finish at the bottom. Greece are also certain because they are Greece doing what they do best with a track that is far better than the Armenian & Turkish entries that crashed out last year. Taking a risk with Latvia here, it was a process of elimination and I think they could just sneak through in 10th as it certainly has a charm to it. Romania are certain with their big dance number which will probably win the semi and Belgium have a slight edge over Finland I'd say, I think the audience will find it more accessible. Cyprus have a similar thing going to Greece but they aren't near each other so shouldn't take too many votes from each other and I don't think one is significantly better than the other. Denmark's ballad has a very good slot and they should easily be through. Russia - I don't totally see the appeal but it's obviously making it through. Not so sure about Moldova, personally I think it's terrible but I can see it just scraping through in about 9th. Jedward are pretty certain to be through, I've seen the jury rehearsal and thought it was all very good - some people preferred Lipstick but there are also a fair few that prefer Waterline.

 

What I'd rather happen;

 

Iceland

Greece

Latvia

Romania

Belgium

Israel

San Marino

Cyprus

Denmark

Ireland

 

Sadly I don't think San Marino can get away with such a novelty entry although they won't come bottom by any means. Israel probably won't have wide enough appeal to qualify either and I don't know what the juries will think of it.

Just putting it out there now that Aphrodisiac is the best song in the whole contest.

Incorrect.

If we're talking FUN then it's Zaleilah or NOTHING. Aphrodisiac is the sound of Greece hitting the autopilot so they don't have to SHIT THEMSELVES over the prospect of winning.
If we're talking FUN then it's Zaleilah or NOTHING. Aphrodisiac is the sound of Greece hitting the autopilot so they don't have to SHIT THEMSELVES over the prospect of winning.

 

HA!

 

Yeah, must say I do have a tiny guilty spot for Romania as well. Although I'm not sure how you can acse Aphrodisiac of being GENERIC when you are team EUOPHORIA. It's like Release Me all over again.

Euphoria is HARDLY generic! Sure, maybe MUSICALLY, but show me ANOTHER dance anthem which packs in that much heartbreaking emotion!
I don't understand this 'hype' with Euphoria. Very unlistenable song.

Edited by AlexRange

YOU MAKE ME DANCE DANCE LIKE A MANIAC

 

In all seriousness I supposed I'd better do the standard WANT/WILL lists:

 

WILL:

 

Iceland

Greece

Latvia

Romania

Belgium

Cyprus

Denmark

Hungary

Moldova

Ireland

 

WANT

 

Iceland

Greece

Latvia

Romania

Israel

Cyprus

Denmark

Austria

Moldova

Ireland

What I think will qualify:

 

Montenegro (16th)

Iceland (5th)

Greece (2nd)

Latvia (10th)

Albania (8th)

Romania (1st)

Switzerland (17th)

Belgium (11th)

Finland (9th)

Israel (14th)

San Marino (15th)

Cyprus (6th)

Denmark (3rd)

Russia (4th)

Hungary (13th)

Austria (18th)

Moldova (12th)

Ireland (7th)

 

I think Albania could achieve a Lithuania 2011 style result. I do feel there's about 7 places already sewn up tonight.....and the remaining 3 places could go almost anywhere, it's pretty hard to call.

 

It is a very strong semi overall, there could be a few shockers....things never go as smoothly as you predict. :lol:

Edited by Sabrewulf

All of you confidently predicting a Latvia qualification - I WANT to believe, but where are the votes going to come from?! :(
I can't believe I still haven't heard a single eurovision song this year with the exception of the UK and Montenegro :o

I don't think Latvia is by any means a certain qualification....but I wouldn't be that surprised if it qualified.

 

It's amongst a bunch of songs all scrabbling for 8th, 9th and 10th and I find it really hard to call it. It's so much easier to predict the qualifiers that will walk it.

I can't believe I still haven't heard a single eurovision song this year with the exception of the UK and Montenegro :o

I can't say I've MISSED you spaffing yourself silly over whatever generic cock rock Eastern Europe have sent this year/the Armenian entry regardless of who's singing it.

well it's a damn shame politics had to rear its ugly face and make Armenia withdraw
well it's a damn shame politics had to rear its ugly face and make Armenia withdraw

 

So good you said it twice. Seriously though there was a lot more to it than that, but I still believe Azerbaijan are in the wrong and they shouldn't be hosting the contest.

---

Anyhoo, BANDWAGONS FTW :cheer:

 

WILL

02 Iceland

03 Greece

04 Latvia (sadly)

05 Albania

06 Romania

12 Cyprus

13 Denmark

14 Russia

17 Moldova

18 Ireland

 

(I can see Greece missing out though, there has to be a shock somewhere, and they did LITERALLY phone it in this year)

 

WANT

02 Iceland

05 Albania

06 Romania

09 Finland

10 Israel

12 Cyprus

14 Russia

15 Hungary

16 Austria (just for lolz)

17 Moldova

 

Is anyone liveblogging the third dress rehearsal btw?

ESC Xtra are blogging the third dress rehearsal, Ireland's just finished! Looking forward to seeing the fake qualifiers :kink:
Clearly SOMEONE'S just allergic to a bit of PURE HOT VOX!

Ignore it, they dismissed the vast majority of 2.0 material as largely terrible whilst adoring Freederm and Sweet 7 and thus couldn't recognise a VOX *.* MOMENT if it had a neon sign so big it made Vegas look understated.

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