assuming it's Clinton vs Trump, lots of opportunities for the "safe pair of hands" vs "no experience whatsoever in anything except making himself rich" argument to undercut anything Trump says. Friend of the Clinton's, interestingly, and the Republican establishment appear to be making contact with Trump lately....

 

 

Utterly remarkable - evangelicals are all starting to line up behind Trump, not Cruz, and the Republican National Committee is firing all of its ammo at Cruz, not Trump. If they both manage to suffocate Cruz in his crib...well, I can't really call it, but it's a dangerous gameplan. Trump's going to be winning everything until mid-March at this rate. Once he's had a streak that long, how capable will Rubio be of stopping him?

 

I can kind of see why - Trump vs a moderate does seem more winnable and favourable than a moderate vs Cruz. The problem is that obviously it really increases Trump's chances of winning too. Take Trump's voters and Cruz's voters and I'm pretty sure that's verging on a majority of the current Republican Party, if not already the majority.

So enough support to have Donald Trump LOL as president and defeat Bernie Sanders?

In the unlikely event it's Trump vs. Sanders, Bloomberg would probably be the favourite. I wouldn't want to call who'd be more likely to win out of Trump or Sanders though. Possibly Sanders, if only because much as he's got a long way to fall given he's relatively undefined negatively, it would be difficult for the Republicans to get his general ratings as low as Trump's - but again, we're into the twilight zone if they're both the candidates, so at that point you may as well throw all previous evidence out of the window.

 

It would literally be unprecedented for both parties to field a radical for the same presidential election. We're going back 44 years to find the last time even one did.

Did anyone see the Ch.4 programme at 9 last night, The Mad World Of Donald Trump? Alex Salmond said that if Trump gets his hand on the nuclear button then he's moving to Antarctica as the fallout of ash is least there! LOL, even one of Trump's biographers said that he has issues and such a man shouldn't be anywhere near the nuclear football. He was described as a man whom no-one has ever dared say no to.

 

I see he's pulled out of the final Iowa Republican debate as he has issues with the female moderator and called her "lightweight" after they clashed before.

Edited January 27, 20169 yr by Common Sense

Alex Salmond said that if Trump gets his hand on the nuclear button then he's moving to Antarctica as the fallout of ash is least there!

 

And that show was supposed to make people LESS likely to support Trump?

Did anyone see the Ch.4 programme at 9 last night, The Mad World Of Donald Trump? Alex Salmond said that if Trump gets his hand on the nuclear button then he's moving to Antarctica as the fallout of ash is least there! LOL, even one of Trump's biographers said that he has issues and such a man shouldn't be anywhere near the nuclear football. He was described as a man whom no-one has ever dared say no to.

 

I see he's pulled out of the final Iowa Republican debate as he has issues with the female moderator and called her "lightweight" after they clashed before.

 

didn't see the programme, but Trump harbours grudges bitterly over the slightest thing (ie someone who disagrees with him, especially women) - he still trolls Selina Scott after a negative piece she did on him back in the early 90's, which truly shows a disturbed stroppy spoilt child psyche and someone who in no way should be allowed near anything grown-ups need to control.

 

Sexist misogynistic rich brat who never grew up...

didn't see the programme, but Trump harbours grudges bitterly over the slightest thing (ie someone who disagrees with him, especially women) - he still trolls Selina Scott after a negative piece she did on him back in the early 90's, which truly shows a disturbed stroppy spoilt child psyche and someone who in no way should be allowed near anything grown-ups need to control.

 

Sexist misogynistic rich brat who never grew up...

 

Selina said he sent her more than a dozen nasty threatening letters and she warned him to stop or she'd take legal action against him. Have you heard what he said to this Fox News moderator, about the blood "coming from her eyes and somewhere else?" He was trying to blame her time of the month on her giving him a hard time!!

Selina said he sent her more than a dozen nasty threatening letters and she warned him to stop or she'd take legal action against him. Have you heard what he said to this Fox News moderator, about the blood "coming from her eyes and somewhere else?" He was trying to blame her time of the month on her giving him a hard time!!

 

frankly he is the 6-foot equivalent of what he was trying to refer to....!

The Des Moines Register - cited a lot as the golden standard for Iowa pollsters - have released their final poll before the Iowa caucuses on Monday.

 

Democratic caucus

 

Hillary Clinton - 45%

Bernie Sanders - 42%

Martin O'Malley - 3%

 

Republican caucus

 

Donald Trump - 28%

Ted Cruz - 23%

Marco Rubio - 15%

Ben Carson - 10%

Rand Paul - 5%

Chris Christie - 3%

Jeb Bush - 2% (!)

Carly Fiorina - 2%

Mike Huckabee - 2%

John Kasich - 2%

Rick Santorum - 2%

What's the margin of error like on those numbers then?

 

EDIT: I found it myself and it seems to be 4%, which isn't too bad for old HRC then.

Yeah. Not bad for Hillary, but not in the bag quite yet. If she beats Bernie in Iowa I think that's game over for him, but I think if she does she needs to be careful not to act like it's a full and total endorsement. I think the best way she could get the whole party behind her would be by choosing Elizabeth Warren as her VP. She'll probably go for Julian Castro though.

I think Clinton will just edge Iowa by a hair (like Romney-vs-Santorum 2012 margin).

 

Trump should probably take the Republican one, with maybe Rubio a surprise second - Cruz seems to have come right off the boil after his flop in the debate the other day, and there's just a few tiny signs that Rubio's clean-cut wholesome image is cutting into Cruz's support with the evangelical Christians.

The thing I find most amusing is how apparently the biggest thing that's cut into Cruz's evangelical support has been the reveal of his tax records, which have shown he doesn't tithe (10% of annual income to charity). Defeated by his own predatory capitalism *.*

What is tithe?

What is tithe?

 

A tithe is a requirement by some religions to give a percentage, usually 10%, of your income to charitable causes. I believe that Judaism, Islam, Mormonism and some forms of Christianity follow it (it isn't a requirement of Catholicism, although we are encouraged to donate to charitable causes).

Ahhh right.

 

The Bernie Bros are going all out on social media.

 

If she wins - big If - she will need Bernie as VP to unite the Femocrats after this disaster of a run.

Ahhh right.

 

The Bernie Bros are going all out on social media.

 

If she wins - big If - she will need Bernie as VP to unite the Femocrats after this disaster of a run.

Why?

As the Bernie Bros have been attacking her on everything, supported by Republicans working to get the weaker candidate elected. They qill not vote for Hillary alone after all the attacks. She would need Bernie to get them on side.

No she wouldn't - there are plenty of people who support Bernie who would be just as on board with Elizabeth Warren.

 

That said if Trump gets selected, I do think that for all the pig-headed 'I'm voting Green' reflexes there'd doubtless be if Hillary was the candidate, a lot of them will realise the contest is far too important to risk an open racist being president for that kind of self-indulgence.