But it doesn't really matter who she speaks to given she's going to lose to Bernie anyway.

 

Though they never actually said it would be a female VP, just that women would be in the mix for consideration. If they weren't it would be odd given she's trying to be the first female president etc. But picking a VP is about balancing the ticket and appealing to as wide a demographic as possible, so she needs a male VP. Plus I think it's pretty obvious Warren wouldn't do it even if she was asked (which I doubt she would be).

Bernie is having a little wobble.

 

I will have to see how Tuesday affects his momentum before making a new judgment.

What would you say his 16 point loss in New York did to his 'momentum'?

 

Just be careful though, you're liable to end up a little BRUISED with that sort of swift and abrupt climb down.

I am waiting to see what happens on Toosday before reevaluating my position.

Hillary has won Delaware and Maryland and will likely be confirmed as winning Pennsylvania in a bit.

 

EDIT: Confirmed. I have a fairly strong feeling it may be mathematically impossible for Sanders to win in the next primary or two. Not that that's stopped the Republican 'race', but there's little chance of Sanders persuading already committed superdelegates away, whereas if Trump doesn't make it to 1237 on the first ballot then Ted Cruz is almost certainly in.

She won 4/5, losing Rhode Island 55-43, but it was only a difference of two delegates in the end. As it stands she is +194 for the night, Bernie +129, with about 60 more still to be allotted.

Even doing worse than the polls suggest and only getting 45% in both California and New Jersey (the two big ones left) would mean she'll only need roughly 80-90 delegates from the other 12 contests to get a majority of pledged delegates.

 

Totally doable.

Are you sure she's on track for a clear majority of pledged too??

 

As that is more than Obama managed and would stop a contested convention.

Majority of pledged delegates is 2026. With today's figures so far she has 1651, with 38 delegates still to be handed out. Getting 45% of California and New Jersey could mean roughly 270-280 delegates, leaving around 80-90 for the majority.

 

All the Bernie supporters saying she won't get to a majority are banking on him trouncing her in California.

She's looking likely to fair well in Indiana, West Virginia, Kentucky and Peurto Rico as well, meaning she could only need around 250 on June 7th. She could in reality afford a slightly bigger hiccough in California and still win a majority.

The good news is Bernie's speech last night pretty much amounted to 'Yeah, it's over but I'm going to stick it out to keep the issues front and centre', which is fine and probably a good move in the long run.

Are you sure she's on track for a clear majority of pledged too??

 

As that is more than Obama managed and would stop a contested convention.

 

She won't have the 2383 needed to win outright based on pledged delegates, but she will probably have more than 50% of them (ie. more than 2026) AND a substantial vote lead, meaning superdelegates will line up behind her anyway given she will have won in every meaningful sense. It's over.

Does anyone have that link to the snazzy delegate tracker? Would be interesting to see how she's doing to target

The good news is Bernie's speech last night pretty much amounted to 'Yeah, it's over but I'm going to stick it out to keep the issues front and centre', which is fine and probably a good move in the long run.

 

Are you sure that'•s what he said? As before be was not so accommodating.

Are you sure that'•s what he said? As before be was not so accommodating.

 

Well, in every other speech he has made a point of fighting for the nomination or 'we have a path to the nomination' or some variant of that statement and sentiment. This time it was about fighting to make sure his plans and ideas are part of the Democratic manifesto in November. It's not quite an out and out admission, this is politics so of course it isn't, but it's about as close as it gets.

Does anyone have that link to the snazzy delegate tracker? Would be interesting to see how she's doing to target

 

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/electi...gets/democrats/

 

Ta very much!

It's not over - he's 92% of his target!! :o

It's not over - he's 92% of his target!! :o

 

...but Hillary is 108% of her target? :unsure:

It's not over - he's 92% of his target!! :o

Which is about 125 delegates behind where he needs to be.