So 1D looking to sell at least 200,000 this week and with xmas sales kicking in could they beat Emeli to the best selling album of the year or will someone else get it

So 1D looking to sell at least 200,000 this week and with xmas sales kicking in could they beat Emeli to the best selling album of the year or will someone else get it

 

Anyone but OD, I say!

I'd say 1D could easily get it if their sales hold up. They should go at least top 5 on the YTD chart I think.

I think there is a chance they will but i am also expecting Micheal Buble to overtake Emeli as i think he will gain sales over Emeli in the next few weeks and he always sells well at Christmas.

I think that they have a chance.

 

I hope that we will have mllion seller in Uk cause sales looksnow so horrible.

No

No

 

It's a possibility though, no? They're onto sell at least 200k this week I'd say, and with four or so weeks left of the year, they can probably shift at least enough to make the top 5, and quite possibly enough for #1 depending on their final total this week and how well they hold up over Christmas.

i'm really not sure Emeli is unlikely to go much above 700,000 whereas the best selling albums xmas week and the week after with itunes albums can do 200-300 a week

I hope NOT. Emeli is likely to sell 750-800k this year and 1D's last albums have sold this amount but over a longer period.

Not sure but just added another to Emeli's total!

No.

 

Even starting with an impressive first day 100k, 1D sales already have shown their hugely frontloaded pattern. Emeli should do over 700k untill the end of the year.

If 1D sell 20k/day already on week 1 they should normaly get down to a 100k-ish 2nd week. Then, they will have 3 weeks to sell the remaining 400k to stand a chance in beating Emeli... It seems at least highly unlikely to happen.

 

Perhaps the YTD will look like:

 

1. Emeli (750k)

2. Buble (550k - ish)

3. 1D, Robbie, Bruno, Rod (500k- ish)

7. Les Miserables, Eminem (450k- ish)

 

Robbie, 1D, or even Gary Barlow could do something more, but not too much more imo.

 

 

 

 

Your forgetting that at this time of year esp the weeks beginning 9/12 & 16/12 will see 'rises' in sales for most of the top 40 because it's the 2 biggest shopping weeks of the year though next week 1D might show a sales decease from the heights of this weeks 250k, it'll fall to 140k or so then increase to 200k hopefully the 2 big weeks in question esp with a tv performance!!

I hope NOT. Emeli is likely to sell 750-800k this year and 1D's last albums have sold this amount but over a longer period.

 

Emeli won't get even close to 700k - she's 66k short, and only selling ~5k week now. With just 5 weeks to go, she'd need to be averaging more like 14k...

Your forgetting that at this time of year esp the weeks beginning 9/12 & 16/12 will see 'rises' in sales for most of the top 40 because it's the 2 biggest shopping weeks of the year though next week 1D might show a sales decease from the heights of this weeks 250k, it'll fall to 140k or so then increase to 200k hopefully the 2 big weeks in question esp with a tv performance!!

 

Album sales are lower than that now. Even if sales increase for xmas, 1D have to be the most frontloaded act around right now. I would be shocked if 1D could shift 200k for 3 weeks with any album. :mellow: I do not remember the sales pattern of the previous 1D albums (?) but there is every reason to believe it is going to be even steeper this time. (huge 1st day sales, a lot of 'promo song' downloads, higher celeb status and so on).

 

Midnight Memories needs the following sales pattern to have a shot : (220-120-160-160-50)

Whereas a more likely (imo) would be: (220-120-100-80-30)

 

Hopefully in bold for no reason. :teresa:

So in its third week (which is xmas week) you think its sales will drop to 80k?? I doubt that even in this era when less people buy cds through the year but at xmas my local hmv etc is crammed with people buying them as presents still and the more people out buying presents in places like hmv the more sales there will be. - itll probabaly slump below 30k in the first week of january.

 

In 2 weeks time its sales will be steady over 100k imo, even more than that maybe!

No, I don't think so.

So in its third week (which is xmas week) you think its sales will drop to 80k?? I doubt that even in this era when less people buy cds through the year but at xmas my local hmv etc is crammed with people buying them as presents still and the more people out buying presents in places like hmv the more sales there will be. - itll probabaly slump below 30k in the first week of january.

 

In 2 weeks time its sales will be steady over 100k imo, even more than that maybe!

 

Agreed, may do 150k+ the week before Christmas.

1D always have HUGE drops, haven't they? I don't think they'll beat Emeli Sande

1D have to be the most frontloaded act around right now.

 

 

1D always have HUGE drops, haven't they? I don't think they'll beat Emeli Sande

 

Not really at all. This was the weekly sales for their album last year:

 

Week 1 – 155,316 (#1)

Week 2 – 72,497 (#2)

Week 3 – 73,825 (#2)

Week 4 – 75,956 (#3)

Week 5 – 90,602 (#6)

Week 6 – 98,949 (#7)

 

So apart from the standard heavy drop-off in week 2 (and even then, a 50% dropoff isn't THAT bad by today's standards, and most of the drop was probably accounted for by preorders), no sign whatsoever of them being frontloaded. Staying over 70k for 6 weeks in a row is pretty great in the current sales climate, even at Xmas.

Edited November 29, 201311 yr by Danny

First of all when is the last chart of the year? 29/12 or 5/1. Last year One Direction in 5 weeks sold 468 k, and 567 k in 6 weeks. So if Emeli will sell 700k this year, 1D will need sell 50% more - in 5 weeks or 23% in six weeks - than they sold last year. So if we have 5 charts more this year Emeli will be no.1 if 6, I think One Direction will be no.1.