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Opening odds from DanBet.

 

4/1 NDNTN: Hervé x Zebra Katz – Tear The House Up

4/1 Altyr Muunilinst: Rae Morris - Cold (feat Fryars)

6/1 Mdice: Coming Out Crew - Free Gay & Happy

6/1 Aeroche: Howling - Howling (Âme Remix)

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8/1 D'yermak'er: LOLO - Gangsters (XY Constant Remix)

8/1 Persephonia: Quirke - Break A Mirrored Leg

8/1 Ramrynia: Kitty Pryde - •.¸.•SECOND♥LIFE•.¸.•

10/1 Kylienips: SomethingALaMode - On My Mind (feat DWNTWN)

10/1 Trifoski: Blawan - Getting Me Down

12/1 Daehun: Alison Wonderland - I Want U

12/1 Fljótavík: Hercules & Love Affair - I Try To Talk To You (feat John Grant)

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14/1 FSR Rontvia – Andreas Bourani – Auf Uns

14/1 Isconia: Sultan & Ned Shepard - All These Roads (feat Zella Day & Sam Martin)

14/1 Hendinia: Sophia Del Carmen – Lipstick

18/1 Cumulonimbia: Max Richter - Spring 1 [Ade Laugee Remix]

18/1 Syndare: Ulla Nova - Kid from London

20/1 Yehesi: Galavant - World of Dreams (feat Mary Jane Smith)

22/1 Aquafina – Hilda – Worry

22/1 The Federal Republic of Ashton: Albin - Din Soldat (feat Kristin Amparo)

28/1 FARC – Luha – Lullaby

28/1 Séyetana: Archis – Blood

32/1 Danaelanda: Ferreck Dawn & Redondo - Love Too Deep (Club Edit)

32/1 Allecian: Felix Cartal - Let It Go (feat Lily Elise)

34/1 ProJ: Metronomy – Reservoir

34/1 Utopia: Brett – Golden

36/1 Florina: Nina Yasmineh – Prophecy

36/1 Oslol: Meow – Skeletons

38/1 Skall: Phoria – Emanate

38/1 Kluminican Republic – TastyTreat - Nobody Else

40/1 Cadelicia: Kito & Reija Lee - Starting Line

40/1 Unovia: Mélat – Balance

40/1 Bignia-Zaragovina: RHODES - Your Soul

42/1 Republic Of Adonia: Alex Adair - Make Me Feel Better

42/1 Desbuanda: Heathers - Lions, Tigers, Bears

44/1 Singerpurear: Friendly Fires – Hurting

44/1 Sandénia: K Stewart - Tell Me 'Bout That

44/1 Jamvale: Monarchy - Living Without You

46/1 Bellamia: Lewis Watson – Stay

46/1 Harmonica: Sizzy Rocket – Girls

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48/1 Sandebörg: Cris Cab - Liar Liar

48/1 Ajanaeda: Healyum - Feels Good (Jaw Remix)

48/1 Juranabaijan: Little Dragon - Klapp Klapp

48/1 Ethanola: Mamacita - No eres tú

50/1 Pendulous Republic of Nørk: Полина Гагарина – Нет

52/1 Terra Avium: Miami Horror - Colours In The Sky (feat. Cleopold)

54/1 Tinnmark: Ji Nilsson – Heartbreakfree

54/1 Espen: Jokers Of The Scene - Channels For Success

56/1 Euphoriffith: Out Of Office – Break Of Dawn 2008

58/1 Greenfroze: Hang The DJ - Dark Dark In The Night

62/1 Zechonia: Tuomas Holopainen – The Last Sled

62/1 Palmyra: Wallis Bird - Hardly Hardly

66/1 Quintessa: Daniel Steinberg - Let Me Down (Tube & Berger Remix)

72/1 Tartford: Humate - Love Stimulation

76/1 Jukianië: Lisa Lois – Smoke

80/1 Botanikka: Era Istrefi / Mixey - E Dehun

100/1 Elëdan: Ben Frost – Sola Fide

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thermolandia first on my to-annihilate list i guess then
!!!!!!!

 

this is going much better than even i quietly hoped for this month :3

 

(that would be a wonderful top 10)

 

I love how you are continually surprised by your never ending list of SMASHES.

On't hand I am in no way accepting of such odds for Rae. Mainly because I have been burned too many times now, but also because it really doesn't sound like a winner at all.
I love how you are continually surprised by your never ending list of SMASHES.

 

the streak has to end sometime, i wonder if ben / rich felt this way when they got on a hot streak! its not like i'm sending obvious smashes (well IMO)

I love how you are continually surprised by your never ending list of SMASHES.

so much envy in one sentence~

#doctorbitchhype
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the streak has to end sometime, i wonder if ben / rich felt this way when they got on a hot streak! its not like i'm sending obvious smashes (well IMO)

 

I can usually pretty much precisely call how my entries will do weirdly. I predicted 8th for Sweet California and 1st for RAM and look what happened! I'm always completely honest, if I think my entry will win I'll put it top of the odds (I'm never faux modest or bigheaded, I just say what I see regardless of how twatty I might look putting myself on top of my own odds). But obviously I've been completely wrong on occasion. I thought Spin My World/Headhunted would be huge and they DNQ'd, I thought Not A Love Song would come bottom ten and it won!

 

What used to happen is I'd be on a hot streak and as soon as I got an AQ I'd send something random that would never qualify ordinarily for the sake of variety and the streak would come to a crashing halt! I never really capitalised on trying to keep a run of form up by sending obvious smashes! Because some of my hits certainly weren't obvious, and some of my flops seemed like they would be massive hits. You just can't call this contest sometimes :lol: So now I just stick to the tried and tested method of 'send my favourite song of the time and hopefully it will become a favourite for somebody else'.

Might I say I think Rich was the first person to have put RuPaul firmly at the top of his odds/predicta in BJSC63 as well, and it was one of the last set of odds iirc. :o

 

Rich the octopus really

Well judging from Rich's rather accurate set of odds from before, I'm not sure if I like his predictions for my entry this month :(.
  • Author
I think it's just about gauging reactions as the two weeks of each contest go by. You can see the hype start to ooze out of personal charts, semi results discussion, odds and prediction threads and general chatter in other parts of the forum. My first sets of odds are always stabs in the dark based on either what I think will do well based on the sound of the track or limited hype/support that I might have noticed. My final sets of odds always take everything else into account and are therefore far more accurate.

3/1 Altyr Muunilinst: Rae Morris - Cold (feat Fryars)

4/1 NDNTN: Hervé x Zebra Katz – Tear The House Up

6/1 Mdice: Coming Out Crew - Free Gay & Happy

 

6/1 Kylienips: SomethingALaMode - On My Mind (feat DWNTWN)

7/1 Aeroche: Howling - Howling (Âme Remix)

8/1 Ramrynia: Kitty Pryde - •.¸.•SECOND♥LIFE•.¸.•

9/1 Persephonia: Quirke - Break A Mirrored Leg

10/1 Fljótavík: Hercules & Love Affair - I Try To Talk To You (feat John Grant)

10/1 FARC – Luha – Lullaby

12/1 Hendinia: Sophia Del Carmen – Lipstick

14/1 Aquafina – Hilda – Worry

16/1 Daehun: Alison Wonderland - I Want U

16/1 Syndare: Ulla Nova - Kid from London

17/1 Isconia: Sultan & Ned Shepard - All These Roads (feat Zella Day & Sam Martin)

18/1 D'yermak'er: LOLO - Gangsters (XY Constant Remix)

18/1 Trifoski: Blawan - Getting Me Down

20/1 Yehesi: Galavant - World of Dreams (feat Mary Jane Smith)

20/1 FSR Rontvia – Andreas Bourani – Auf Uns

20/1 Séyetana: Archis – Blood

22/1 Bignia-Zaragovina: RHODES - Your Soul

25/1 Danaelanda: Ferreck Dawn & Redondo - Love Too Deep (Club Edit)

26/1 Cumulonimbia: Max Richter - Spring 1 [Ade Laugee Remix]

28/1 Allecian: Felix Cartal - Let It Go (feat Lily Elise)

29/1 Florina: Nina Yasmineh – Prophecy

30/1 The Federal Republic of Ashton: Albin - Din Soldat (feat Kristin Amparo)

30/1 Oslol: Meow – Skeletons

30/1 Kluminican Republic – TastyTreat - Nobody Else

32/1 Skall: Phoria – Emanate

34/1 ProJ: Metronomy – Reservoir

35/1 Utopia: Brett – Golden

37/1 Elëdan: Ben Frost – Sola Fide

38/1 Unovia: Mélat – Balance

38/1 Cadelicia: Kito & Reija Lee - Starting Line

40/1 Sandénia: K Stewart - Tell Me 'Bout That

40/1 Jamvale: Monarchy - Living Without You

42/1 Republic Of Adonia: Alex Adair - Make Me Feel Better

42/1 Desbuanda: Heathers - Lions, Tigers, Bears

45/1 Singerpurear: Friendly Fires – Hurting

48/1 Sandebörg: Cris Cab - Liar Liar

50/1 Espen: Jokers Of The Scene - Channels For Success

52/1 Harmonica: Sizzy Rocket – Girls

52/1 Greenfroze: Hang The DJ - Dark Dark In The Night

53/1 Palmyra: Wallis Bird - Hardly Hardly

55/1 Quintessa: Daniel Steinberg - Let Me Down (Tube & Berger Remix)

56/1 Euphoriffith: Out Of Office – Break Of Dawn 2008

58/1 Zechonia: Tuomas Holopainen – The Last Sled

60/1 Jukianië: Lisa Lois – Smoke

60/1 Botanikka: Era Istrefi / Mixey - E Dehun

65/1 Bellamia: Lewis Watson – Stay

69/1 Ethanola: Mamacita - No eres tú

70/1 Pendulous Republic of Nørk: Полина Гагарина – Нет

74/1 Ajanaeda: Healyum - Feels Good (Jaw Remix)

75/1 Terra Avium: Miami Horror - Colours In The Sky (feat. Cleopold)

80/1 Tinnmark: Ji Nilsson – Heartbreakfree

100/1 Tartford: Humate - Love Stimulation

100/1 Juranabaijan: Little Dragon - Klapp Klapp

On't hand I am in no way accepting of such odds for Rae. Mainly because I have been burned too many times now, but also because it really doesn't sound like a winner at all.

 

Even I think it sounds like a winner! (Which probably means it won't be actually, but I predicted the winner last time sooo)

I really thought I sent a smash this month but the odds from everyone are suggesting a fine line between a Q & DQ :(

3/1 Mdice: Coming Out Crew - Free Gay & Happy

4/1 Ramrynia: Kitty Pryde - •.¸.•SECOND♥LIFE•.¸.•

4/1 Altyr Muunilinst: Rae Morris - Cold (feat Fryars)

5/1 Bignia-Zaragovina: RHODES - Your Soul

6/1 D'yermak'er: LOLO - Gangsters (XY Constant Remix)

6/1 NDNTN: Hervé x Zebra Katz – Tear The House Up

8/1 Hendinia: Sophia Del Carmen – Lipstick

10/1 Isconia: Sultan & Ned Shepard - All These Roads (feat Zella Day & Sam Martin)

-------------------

11/1 Séyetana: Archis – Blood

11/1 FARC – Luha – Lullaby

12/1 Syndare: Ulla Nova - Kid from London

13/1 Kylienips: SomethingALaMode - On My Mind (feat DWNTWN)

14/1 Kluminican Republic – TastyTreat - Nobody Else

15/1 Fljótavík: Hercules & Love Affair - I Try To Talk To You (feat John Grant)

15/1 Aeroche: Howling - Howling (Âme Remix)

16/1 Skall: Phoria – Emanate

16/1 Aquafina – Hilda – Worry

17/1 Yehesi: Galavant - World of Dreams (feat Mary Jane Smith)

18/1 Cumulonimbia: Max Richter - Spring 1 [Ade Laugee Remix]

20/1 Daehun: Alison Wonderland - I Want U

20/1 Oslol: Meow – Skeletons

23/1 Trifoski: Blawan - Getting Me Down

23/1 FSR Rontvia – Andreas Bourani – Auf Uns

25/1 Jukianië: Lisa Lois – Smoke

25/1 The Federal Republic of Ashton: Albin - Din Soldat (feat Kristin Amparo)

26/1 ProJ: Metronomy – Reservoir

28/1 Danaelanda: Ferreck Dawn & Redondo - Love Too Deep (Club Edit)

28/1 Harmonica: Sizzy Rocket – Girls

30/1 Persephonia: Quirke - Break A Mirrored Leg

30/1 Allecian: Felix Cartal - Let It Go (feat Lily Elise)

33/1 Tinnmark: Ji Nilsson – Heartbreakfree

35/1 Ajanaeda: Healyum - Feels Good (Jaw Remix)

35/1 Utopia: Brett – Golden

36/1 Unovia: Mélat – Balance

38/1 Bellamia: Lewis Watson – Stay

38/1 Republic Of Adonia: Alex Adair - Make Me Feel Better

40/1 Terra Avium: Miami Horror - Colours In The Sky (feat. Cleopold)

40/1 Cadelicia: Kito & Reija Lee - Starting Line

40/1 Jamvale: Monarchy - Living Without You

42/1 Greenfroze: Hang The DJ - Dark Dark In The Night

45/1 Ethanola: Mamacita - No eres tú

48/1 Sandénia: K Stewart - Tell Me 'Bout That

48/1 Singerpurear: Friendly Fires – Hurting

50/1 Euphoriffith: Out Of Office – Break Of Dawn 2008

53/1 Quintessa: Daniel Steinberg - Let Me Down (Tube & Berger Remix)

55/1 Desbuanda: Heathers - Lions, Tigers, Bears

55/1 Sandebörg: Cris Cab - Liar Liar

58/1 Pendulous Republic of Nørk: Полина Гагарина – Нет

60/1 Juranabaijan: Little Dragon - Klapp Klapp

60/1 Tartford: Humate - Love Stimulation

60/1 Palmyra: Wallis Bird - Hardly Hardly

60/1 Florina: Nina Yasmineh – Prophecy

70/1 Botanikka: Era Istrefi / Mixey - E Dehun

70/1 Zechonia: Tuomas Holopainen – The Last Sled

70/1 Espen: Jokers Of The Scene - Channels For Success

80/1 Elëdan: Ben Frost – Sola Fide

Let me just say I do not get the Free Gay Happy hype. AT. ALL. It's just a dated feel-good gay-themed song. Nothing very special about it SOZ

I miss OH EIGHT

 

old Полина would've probably been a SUREFIRE TOP TEN SMASH back then

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