December 19, 20168 yr Yeah I don't see how Rag'N'Bone Man could do it. Doing the maths shows he will always fall slightly short. Clean Bandit are being streamed 400,000 thousand times a day, compared to Rag'N'Bone Man's 170,000. Say Rag'N'Bone Man manages to rise massively on Spotify to 200,000 streams average for the week and Clean Bandit fall down a bit to 370,000 thousand on average daily, that would mean Clean Bandit would rack up 26,000 streaming sales compared to 14,000 streaming sales for Rag'N'Bone Man. That would mean that Rag'N'Bone Man would need to sell around 13k more than Clean Bandit on downloads. Clean Bandit sold 22k pure sales last week, so if we take that down to 20k this week, 13k then starts to seem like a mountain to climb. To sell 13k more Rag'N'Bone Man would probably need to get Clean Bandit down to less than 0.5 of it in the next couple of days on iTunes seeing as the last few days the gap has been less than 0.1 on sales, even when combined. Even at that I'm being generous with the Spotify boost I'm giving Rag'N'Bone Man for the week too, seeing as he's come nowhere near to 200,000 streams the last few days. He would have to skyrocket on sales to beat Clean Bandit I think, I'm still seeing him around a good 5k behind if not more so. I feel like my £450 is safe as of yet :lol:
December 19, 20168 yr I do agree with all that for sure though if there is any week for logic and sales patterns to go out the window (with a little help from media hyping) then it's Xmas week. It's hard to pre-empt what they will get behind, if anything, or if the public will take any notice of them. But yeah, it looks pretty damn good for Clean Bandit right now! It is weird just how poorly Human is doing on streaming at the moment though, wonder why anything remotely alternative struggles so much (like Tilted too) yet are big sales hits. I guess this one just needs traction though and will pick up on streaming in the new year.
December 19, 20168 yr I'm hoping he will get the boost from the sound of 2017 if he wins that's usually announced the first week of January ain't it an a Friday though when the winner is announced. So technically he has to wait another week.
December 19, 20168 yr 6-1 on now for Clean Bandit with Rag N Bone Man at 4-1. The rest 20-1 above. I think Clean Bandit are 1-6 :D
December 19, 20168 yr I think Clean Bandit are 1-6 :D That's what Mack meant by "6-1 on". EDIT Beaten to it! Edited December 19, 20168 yr by Hollyver
December 19, 20168 yr Ahh ok, I don't understand odds :D So 6-1 is 1-6? It's all right, I know my odds from the horse racing. Yes 6-1 on means 1-6 it is a phrase that sometimes bookies use. So with some bookies, Clean Bandit are 10-1 on which would be 1-10.
December 19, 20168 yr I can now cash out for £90 at bet365... do I really care that much about the extra £15... (leaving it for now xx)
December 19, 20168 yr Author Calvin Harris is the 3rd favourite now :lol: Is he planning on releasing a surprise single tomorrow then? Why would he be in the running?
December 19, 20168 yr I think that just means that 'Rockabye' and 'Human' are the only viable challengers at this stage. (Seems to be only one bookie offering odds on Calvin according to Oddschecker anyway so it's pretty irrelevant).
December 21, 20168 yr With sales so low I was too scared to put on that much cash in case something happened randomly lol
December 22, 20168 yr Well I originally bet on Mariah getting the number 1 several weeks ago when she was already doing so well on streaming, but covered myself when I seen the way things were going a week or two ago and managed to put £10 on Clean Bandit at 25/1, so should get a nice return come Friday.
December 22, 20168 yr Given it's almost impossible for Dave Clark Five to be Christmas No. 1, why is no one putting a lay bet aginst them? You could win some very easy money e.g. a £10 lay bet against Dave Clark Five being no. 1 tomorrow would win you £3,700 via Betfair.....unless I've misunderstood things. :)
December 22, 20168 yr Given it's almost impossible for Dave Clark Five to be Christmas No. 1, why is no one putting a lay bet aginst them? You could win some very easy money e.g. a £10 lay bet against Dave Clark Five being no. 1 tomorrow would win you £3,700 via Betfair.....unless I've misunderstood things. :) How do you do that? :D
December 22, 20168 yr *Does not understand lay betting, oop* I am feeling rather tired though. :') I'll just have to make do with my stunning £9.76 winnings from Clean Bandit being #1 tomorrow, ha. (I did a stake of just £2.44 at 3/1. I certainly wish with hindsight that I'd placed more than that, but at the time of making this bet I was worried at the possibility of one of the charity singles being a runaway Christmas #1... sigh, that seems laughable now!).
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