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How far away is Old Town Road and Someone You Loved potentially from ACR?

This week should be both their third and final declines, but of course one or both could escape it.

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So does it seem like it'll be this week for SYL and OTR then?

Should be the following this week:

 

Lil Nas X - Old Town Road

Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved

Jax Jones & Martin Solveig - All Day And Night

A nice clearout in the Top 10! Hopefully replaced by Taylor, Little Mix and likely Drake

 

I think Lil Nas X and Lewis will probably still be top 10 even on ACR. But no reason those songs couldn't still be top 10 anyway.

Extraordinary that Lewis's 4 songs have spent a combined 74 weeks on the chart before any of them have gone to ACR. Grace is on 30 weeks so not far off Feel It Still's record in this era.

 

Don't think we've had 2 of the Top 3 go to ACR in the same week before. SOS (which I presume narrowly avoided ACR itself) could go Top 5 as a result, though I guess it will more likely still be behind Old Town Road.

from my calculations even on ACR, Old Town Road will be #4... SOS #6... SLY low top 10

SOS would not climb if it hit ACR (which it most likely isn't)

 

Lewis and Lil Nas X will probably be low top 10 I'd say.

from my calculations even on ACR, Old Town Road will be #4... SOS #6... SLY low top 10

 

How do you make 'Old Town Road' to be #4 on ACR? It sold 66k last week, of which a little more than 60k was streams, so if it was on ACR it'd be on roughly 36k which would put it at #7/8.

with my calculations I have OTR at 40K for this week at #4, but it's possible I'm overestimating him cos I also had him at #1 easily for the previous 3 weeks :D then I have Hold me at around 37K and SOS at around 35K and then the rest around 30K

I'd say the lowest he can go is #6 but I'm using my own personal formula which might be well off

Edited by Bjork

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All Day and Night currently in it's equal peak could potentially go ACR while re-peaking in SCR.
with my calculations I have OTR at 40K for this week at #4, but it's possible I'm overestimating him cos I also had him at #1 easily for the previous 3 weeks :D then I have Hold me at around 37K and SOS at around 35K and then the rest around 30K

I'd say the lowest he can go is #6 but I'm using my own personal formula which might be well off

 

It's demonstrably well off. x

Billie Eilish - Bad Guy

Ellie Goulding - Sixteen

Mark Ronson - Late Night Feelings

Digga D - No Diet

Lil Dicky - Earth

Is it this week

 

BTS feat. Halsey - Boy With Luv

Daddy Yankee & Katy Perry feat. Snow - Con Calma

Kygo & Rita Ora - Carry On

Lizzo - Truth Hurts

Not3s - Wanting

Stormzy - Vossi Bop

Taylor Swift feat. Brendon Urie - ME!

 

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