May 22, 20241 yr I mean I'd love it, but mid way through the Euros? They seem like the sort of people who would want to avoid that.
May 22, 20241 yr Author These guys reckon there will be a snap election called today 🤣cant see it https://x.com/montie/status/1793219505658696070?s=46 These rumours that an an election is about to be called seem to crop every week and are getting tiresome. I really hope they're right for a change as at least it would stop this rubbish of constant rumours that never seem to lead anyway. If he does call it today that would make the election on the 27 June. I'd imagine he wants to avoid an election in July/August and the other option is then September/October which would clash with the US presidential race.
May 22, 20241 yr Author Definitely not happening - sticking to 'second half of the year' line at PMQs. 27 June isn't second half of the year so won't be calling a general election today. https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2...-latest-updates Edited May 22, 20241 yr by DoBelieveTheHype
May 22, 20241 yr These rumours that an an election is about to be called seem to crop every week and are getting tiresome. I really hope they're right for a change as at least it would stop this rubbish of constant rumours that never seem to lead anyway. If he does call it today that would make the election on the 27 June. I'd imagine he wants to avoid an election in July/August and the other option is then September/October which would clash with the US presidential race. Isn’t the US election set for November? Maybe our one could be first/second week of September?
May 22, 20241 yr Author Isn’t the US election set for November? Maybe our one could be first/second week of September? Yes the US election is held in November but campaigning will be in full swing with a Trump v Biden debate taking place on ABC on September 10th.
May 22, 20241 yr Yes the US election is held in November but campaigning will be in full swing with a Trump v Biden debate taking place on ABC on September 10th. Ahh right I see. Surely they won’t call one over the summer holidays though? Just thinking if that would actually benefit them.
May 22, 20241 yr All I’ll say is that our client journalists are making this sound like more of a thing that is happening than most of the rumours in the past few months. Also Cameron’s cut short his Albania trip. it’s this or the most pointless reshuffle since, er… October 22
May 22, 20241 yr Well they can't push through any more hateful legislation then if an election is called. Weren't they going to crackdown further on protests for example?
May 22, 20241 yr Author Cameron's cut short his trip to Albania to 'attend a meeting in London'. No clear indication of what that meeting is. Unless Sunak's changed his mind in the space of a few hours after he said 'second half of the year.' I've thing were looking at a national emergency rather than an election being called. Unless he's announcing a potential date now, to go to the king later in the year to ask for it? That would be an unusual move.
May 22, 20241 yr @1793268064764473813 Any bets on number 4? Yeah I'm guessing it will be a resuffle or something pointless. Hopefully i'm wrong; sooner the Tories are out the better!
May 22, 20241 yr Unless Sunak's changed his mind in the space of a few hours after he said 'second half of the year.' Rumours are 4th July; which is the 2nd half of the year
May 22, 20241 yr Author Rumours are 4th July; which is the 2nd half of the year But he wouldn't need to call the election today for the 4 July. He'd need to call it next Thursday. The list is here: https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/resear...fings/cbp-9921/ Unless his government is so incompetent it can't work out what day to call an election under the rules. If he calls it today and goes to see the King it would be for the 27th June. Edited May 22, 20241 yr by DoBelieveTheHype
May 22, 20241 yr You could get odds of 1/3 on a November/December election yesterday now its 7/1 I do think all this is election related and fit some reason he is getting rid of Jeremy hunt too but we will find out soon maybe he wants to run it by senior people first to check he isn't making a blunder
May 22, 20241 yr @1793277864478904400 Sunak calls a press conference for any old sh!te these days though Edited May 22, 20241 yr by ElectroBoy
May 22, 20241 yr Sounds like a snap election is being called, inflation figures look better today, Reform dropping slightly in the polls, probably found some money somewhere to offer a tax cut..probably see it as a way to catch Labour off guard and take their chances. Think Hunt was meant to appear on Peston tonight and he’s pulled out so something is definitely happening.
May 22, 20241 yr Author Just realised that spreadsheet goes by date of dissolution not day the election is called, so it could be 4 July if he calls it today.
May 22, 20241 yr Author https://x.com/nicholaswatt/status/1793286414651572467 What happens if he calls the election and then the no confidence threshold is reached?
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