Everything posted by Brett-Butler
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General Election 2024 Live Thread
Apropos of nothing, but all returning officers should wear rather fancy hats when giving their declarations. Some great hat action this evening.
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General Election 2024 Live Thread
Reform could make a gain in Northern Ireland - Jim Alistair is neck and neck with Ian Paisley Jr in North Antrim, his TUV party is on a joint ticket with Reform, although awkwardly Farage personally endorsed Paisley.
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General Election 2024 Live Thread
Galloway lost his seat.
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General Election 2024 Live Thread
Reform will have at least 1 seat with Lee Anderson holding his seat. If he has more than one fellow Reform-ee by the end of the night it'll be a surprise.
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General Election 2024 Live Thread
Lib Dems win back Eastleigh, Chris Hulne's old seat.
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General Election 2024 Live Thread
Early polling suggesting that Robin Swann from the UUP could take a seat from the DUP in South Antrim. SDLP also think they may take South Down, but personally find that doubtful.
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General Election 2024 Live Thread
First Tory scalp there, Heidi Alexander is back in parliament.
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General Election 2024 Live Thread
Also defeated - any chance of PR being brought in ahead of the next General Election.
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General Election 2024 Live Thread
Labour's forecast vote up 18% in Scotland, although interestingly seems to suggest their vote is down 2% in London. Don't think they'll lose seats in London though.
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General Election 2024 Live Thread
D'oh. Me of all people should have known that!
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General Election 2024 Live Thread
A similar landslide to 1997 then, albeit with the Tories on less than that year. 13 for Reform does seem high though, I think that could fall during the night. 19 Others though, I wonder who those are?
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Password troubles
Back live. Thanks!
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General Election 2024 Live Thread
Not sure if I’ll stay through the night like previous elections, but will catch the exit poll and some of the initial results. Still think the Tory seat number will be higher than the opinion poll figures, and the pro-Gaza indies will poll better than expected, but a healthy Labour majority is a definite certainty.
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Password troubles
Think I’m having the same issue. Not getting the reset emails to log back in on my laptop. And on such a fun night too.
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UK General Election 2024
Voted this morning. As I was leaving someone at my polling station took a seizure so they had to temporarily close it whilst she got medical attention. Hopefully she was okay.
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UK General Election 2024
Whichever party rush-releases "we will make it much harder to bet on political outcomes" into their manifesto is going to get the landslide.
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UK General Election 2024
In "there was no way the other parties weren't at it too" news, Labour have now suspending one of its parliamentary candidates, Kevin Craig of Central Suffolk & North Ipswich, after he bet on himself losing the seat. This was the seat where the sitting Tory MP defected to Labour. I doubt the bookies will honour this bet now. I had expected there was likely to more stories coming out for prospective candidates, and I expect more to come out over the next few weeks, across all parties.
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OPINION POLLS 2019-2024
That poll should be treated with all the salt in the Dead Sea. Commissioned for GB News.
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UK General Election 2024
I can understand why both Labour and the Tories are in favour of keeping the Catholic Tax, for different ideological reason for each.i can also see why Reform are in favour of scrapping it, from their own ideological perspective.
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Radio 1 Playlist (14/06/24)
A rather interesting time to playlist a single called “Labour (The Cacophony)”.
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Buzzjack Voting Intention
Added a second poll for the NI contingent.
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UK General Election 2024
When they’ve lost The Telegraph, you know they’re doomed - @1800939951309156548
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UK General Election 2024
Funny anecdote about how technology has changed canvassing, and how some canvassers are trying to get around it - @1800446764602003786
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UK General Election 2024
Back where it belongs. :D
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European Parliament Elections 2024
In other aftershocks of these elections, the Belgian Prime Minister has resigned.