Vernacool

I kind of agree with most of this tbh — it really does feel like one of those years where the live show is going to completely reshuffle everything. Finland especially feels very dependent on staging. If they nail the performance, I can see them smashing the televote, but I’m not 100% convinced the juries will go all in. Greece is similar for me — strong public appeal, but maybe lacking that “across-the-board” factor needed to actually win. Australia is the big question mark. Delta will deliver vocally, no doubt, and that could carry a lot of weight with juries. But whether “Eclipse” connects instantly enough with viewers is another story. It’s one of those songs that might grow on people rather than hit straight away. What’s interesting is that if you look at the Eurovision odds right now, they’re still pretty open compared to other years — no one is really running away with it. That usually means we’re in for a surprise result once everything hits the stage. Honestly wouldn’t rule out a “shock” televote landslide from an unexpected country either… we’ve seen that happen before 👀

I feel like this year is way more open than people think. There’s no obvious runaway winner, and a lot will depend on how things translate live. Finland for example feels very “moment-based” – if the staging hits, it could do really well, but I can also see it underperforming slightly with juries. Greece is interesting because it could pick up a strong televote, but I’m not fully convinced it has the broad appeal needed to win overall. Right now it feels like one of those years where a strong live performance could completely change the odds.