Everything posted by Harve
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Coronavirus Part 4
From where? Loughborough? England has one of the worst, if not the worst, outbreaks per capita in the world, and the amount of travel isn't enough to explain recent cases, even if every single traveller carried the virus.
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what is your favourite WINNER of all time
In no particular order: A-WA - Habib Galbi Belanger - Take Me Home Clare Maguire - Elizabeth Taylor (Mulholland Edition) Frida Sundemo - Indigo Kate Boy - Northern Lights Röyksopp - The Girl And The Robot TR ST - Sulk Unicorn Kid - Need U (actually there is a particular order in the form of my top 500 entries but for the purposes of this thread there is no particular order)
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Coronavirus Part 4
France is 1m now I think. At least that's how it is in school (but everyone wears masks). On the other hand, I've been to markets and a beach bar/club where there isn't much distancing and little mask wearing. I can only hope that them being outside is the reason why we haven't seen a second wave yet, as indoor places tend to be much stricter. Like the difference hygiene protocol between Burger King and a café terrasse, or a supermarket and a market, is insane.
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2020 United States Presidential Election Thread
Ideally the scale of the victory will be too big to fix. MI, PA and AZ seem to have reasonably fair elections and these are three of the four tipping point states. I'm more worried about chaotic result not being known for days or even weeks due to a massive increase in postal voting, with Trump claiming victory based on partial data, with widespread belief in a fix developing as the full picture begins to emerge.
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2020 United States Presidential Election Thread
> Wanting Biden to win to stop the world's second largest democracy re-electing a fascist. > Wanting Biden to win to show up Michael on Buzzjack.com after his tedious spite for moderates and inability to accept Sanders' defeat led him to incessantly prophetise doom when nothing is guaranteed. Both equally valid reasons imo!!!
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Coronavirus Part 4
While it doesn't help that he's so very often wrong and offensive, I don't think he puts much thought into what he's saying whereas Vidcapper knew full well what he was doing.
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Coronavirus Part 4
Vidcapper has been banned no? And PeaceMob only comes on occasionally. With the other two I don't think being deliberately inflammatory is their raison d'être, even if inflammatory is what they can be.
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🌪️ BJSC 125 - FINALE RESULTS 🌪️
Yes I hadn't thought of that! The semi participants collectively weed out the tracks they're not so keen on, but these could have been more popular with voters from the other semi. It's generally not a problem because the numbers voting in each semi are (meant to be) equal, so the effect should cancel each other out. The only issue might be that tracks in the 'wrong semi' are hindered in the final, even if they make it. I'm not gonna try and change my bias with this, but it's interesting to get confirmation that I do indeed have them. I'm gonna paste the entry list into LibreOffice without the country names, as I used to, though, as I'm certain I have a bias there that's a bit more unfair.
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🌪️ BJSC 125 - FINALE RESULTS 🌪️
I'll happily take either of the top two but it's gotta be Ultraviolenceland I reckon.
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🌪️ BJSC 125 - FINALE RESULTS 🌪️
A lot of the alternative-ish entries (read: Persephonia entries) I either adore or find them fine but have no desire to listen to again, even tho on paper I should love them all! Apologies for the fickleness.
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🌪️ BJSC 125 - FINALE RESULTS 🌪️
I vaguely remember that! I found the contest as a whole way more predictable then though. Like Mdice just sent the latest pop-friendly blog-pushed track - and there only seemed to be a limited number of standouts per month - and you knew where it was gonna finish.
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🌪️ BJSC 125 - FINALE RESULTS 🌪️
Speaking of Aeroche that track REALLY needs to finish top 3, although I really like two of the tracks above it (spoiler x)
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🌪️ BJSC 125 - FINALE RESULTS 🌪️
I'm lowkey surprised you've only just looked at this now! The one thing I want to know that sadly isn't measurable is to what extent songs perform better or worse depending on which country name is attached to them. Like a lot of Skall tracks would be flopping regardless and this comes from a place of curiosity and not bitterness but I'm convinced that some would have done marginally better if they were sent by Aeroche as success begets success.
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🌪️ BJSC 125 - FINALE RESULTS 🌪️
Will be interesting to see if semi 2 tracks start rising up the rankings in the second half! I think I'm slightly more likely to vote for a track that belonged to the same semi as me. You get more time to get to know a track and once a track is in my votes, I'm sometimes reluctant to push it down in favour of newcomers. But I try to recognise and overcome my biases.
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🌪️ BJSC 125 - FINALE RESULTS 🌪️
edit: oops massive image The Witches of Eastwick are the best witches x
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OPINION POLLS 2019-2024
We've seen how, over the last six years, they've twisted the results of the last two referendums so you know they will. I think the problem with PR first and foremost is public salience, which is actually needed before building and sustaining support.
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Coronavirus Part 4
The SNP have generally been avoiding Westminster since remote voting was abolished and it all became a farce as Scotland is still in lockdown. They did come down this week to defeat the government on the abuse bill though.
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Jónsi - Shiver
l8JcHv4GKqg You have it more on the second track, Swill. Also the album is apparently featuring Robyn and Elizabeth Fraser, which I'm definitely looking forward to!
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Coronavirus Part 4
I think my country is okay on the aggregate, and I think the relaxing of the lockdown in particular has been done in a very sensible way, but I'll admit that there's been a real cockup with the app - only 1.5 million people have the app still installed and fewer still are actively using it because it absolutely destroys your battery. Until widespread app use can be guaranteed then low tech methods are probably more effective - exchanging contact information and time of entry/exit when going to a restaurant, hairdressers etc. Locally at least we also have quite detailed tracing where if there was case of the virus in a school, then only the cases's class would need to go into quatorzaine, rather than the entire school, because we track movement within the building from classroom to classroom and recreation is staggered.
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Should Scotland get an indyref2?
Latest Panelbase independence poll: Yes: 50% No: 43% Don't Know: 7% Excluding DK: Yes: 54% No: 46% Pls stretch that 8 point gap further.
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Coronavirus Part 4
If we take NYC's fatality rate estimate and apply it to UK deaths then this would mean that over 8 000 000 people in Britain have had the virus (300 000 cases have been officially detected).
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Coronavirus Part 4
The number of new cases falling more slowly than the number of deaths is probably because of a change in who is being tested. At the beginning of the epidemic, the testing capacity just wasn't there and a large proportion of tests were being performed on those being admitted to hospital, with more milder cases not being detected. Those being admitted to hospital are disproportionately older people at a greater risk of death, which will have artificially raised the death rate. Now that testing has been expanded, a greater proportion of all cases are detected, including those with mild forms of the disease.
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Coronavirus Part 4
You are talking about two different viruses.
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Coronavirus Part 4
Outbreaks are currently accelerating in parts of Brazil, Mexico, India and Arizona. Let's not post blatantly false info.
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Coronavirus Part 4
I'm not sure I trust everything about China's data but I do believe some things that suggest they contained it better than many European countries are broadly true. Unlike, say, the UK, I believe the virus has been indeed mostly contained to one province, and unlike France, community transmission has been eradicated more decisively, which would make China's situation a lot better than what catastrophists were claiming in March (my colleague was talking about hundreds of thousands of deaths there).