April 4, 20241 yr Well, the tragic thing is the USA are still selling billions of dollars of weaponry to Israel, despite criticising them. It's like telling an arsonist off for burning down buildings but quietly slipping them matches and lighter fluid the next day. Biden, especially, seems to have no real interest in stopping the conflict despite his protestations. Scumbag (and I don't use that lightly and have previously praised his record overall).
April 13, 20241 yr And more grim news - Iran has started to attack Israel (in retaliation for Israel striking the Iranian consulate in Syria earlier this month) Really scary stuff.
April 13, 20241 yr Drones first. That won't get a retaliation from US. However, now cruise missiles have been spotted over Iraq, so they're on their way. That is basically a declarstion of war. HOWEVER, Iran used cruise missiles against the US under Trump, and Trump didn't retaliate, so pergaps this won't turn into overt war.
April 13, 20241 yr US, UK and Jordan ans France helped Israel intercept drones and missiles. Massive attack, using sametactics as Russia va Ukraine when it uses Iranian drones. They're definitely working v closely together militarily. I reckon that with most things intercepted thanks to thr combined effort, Israel will retaliate by degrading Iranian proxies in Lebanon and Syria, avoiding a direct attack on Iran.
April 13, 20241 yr Mm I don't think so. The fact that the UK, Jordan and USA made sure nothing shows they really wanted to avoid any escalation. No one wants a wider war - not even Putin, who needs Iranian drones.
April 14, 20241 yr The condemnation of Tehran from western governments will sound pretty hollow given events of that last 6 months!
April 15, 20241 yr Feels like nobody wants a war, but we're going to get one. Can't see either of Israel or Iran backing down, think a lot will depend on how much China or Russia potentially back Iran.
April 15, 20241 yr This won't spiral into a war. Russia in east europe, due to its imminent defeat of Ukraine thanks to buying American far right politicians, namely kingpin Trump, and the South China Sea flashpoint/ a Chinese preenptive strike on US to invade Taiwan, are where to look.
April 15, 20241 yr This won't spiral into a war. Russia in east europe, due to its imminent defeat of Ukraine thanks to buying American far right politicians, namely kingpin Trump, and the South China Sea flashpoint/ a Chinese preenptive strike on US to invade Taiwan, are where to look. I don't think Russia or China want a war either, but we have Israel and Iran who don't seem to want to de-escalate. When Israel fight back, who knows how Iran will respond next. I think that's going to be the turning point, it's what Iran does when Israel retaliates.
May 9, 20241 yr So looks like (and 30000+ innocent Palestinian deaths, mass injuries and famine, not to mention the destruction of entire cities too late) Biden has finally found a bit of a backbone and said that he would not keep sending offensive weapons to Israel. There will be a huge amount of pressure for him (including the worst kind of accusations) to keep supplying, including several politicians and donors but it would make a noticeable shift in fortunes. Â Plus on a much, much smaller scale but significantly, it seems that Trinity University Dublin have agreed to stop investing in Israel, following protests by students there. :clap: Hope UK institutions follow suit if the pressure is kept on.
May 10, 20241 yr A step towards good news as the UN has in principle agreed to push forward into making Palestine a member state. Security Council will still veto it via the US so it's not a done thing but as a member of the UN that'd go some way towards legitimising their state.
May 15, 20241 yr Israel's starting to go all-out on their Rafah invasion now. :( Edited May 15, 20241 yr by Cow P
May 20, 20241 yr Iranian president dead after helicopter crash https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cpwwql21747o
May 20, 20241 yr The bombshells keep coming, the ICC is seeking arrest warrants for Yahya Sinwar and Benjamin Netanyahu for war crimes. Apparently, Putin has this too and he's still sitting pretty so may not mean immediate action, but pretty significant that an official institution has put them on the same level.
May 21, 20241 yr If he visits Washington can they arrest him or will the Americans protect him?? The odds of America arresting him probably a trillion to 1 but it could make it difficult for him to get anywhere else
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