Even though It increasingly looks like I'm talking to myself in this thread, I can't resist pointing out that a new poll gives Labour an 8% lead! And the cuts aren't really biting yet etcetc.

You're not talking to yourself, I read the updates on the topic and they regularly make me smile :D

Likewise!

I always read too, there's not much to say other than 'lol' at the LibDems crash tbh

Labpur will be back in power soon and then Britain will be poor again

But we aren't poor now and haven't been for ages?

Labpur will be back in power soon and then Britain will be poor again

 

Are you ever going to even attempt to back up one of your points with some actual evidence? You're like Craig reincarnated except even MORE ignorant.

Labour could be on course for an overall majority in the Scottish elections - which is astounding given they use PR! The latest opinion polls there put Labour on 48%, the SNP on 33%, the Tories on 9% (!!) and the Lib Dems on 7%. That's a massive boost for Labour from the last elections in 2007, at the expense of the Tories and Lib Dems, who are both plunging. The governing SNP are actually marginally up on their 2007 percentage, but are set to lose power as a consequence of Labour mopping up other parties' votes.

Tonight's UK-wide YouGov poll puts Labour on 44%, which is the highest any poll has had them since before the Iraq war! The Tories are on 39% and the Lib Dems are on 8%. The Lib Dems have only polled above 10% in two of 15 polls since Christmas.

Good god, at THIS rate what I had thought to be a wishful thinking prediction of Labour hitting 50% before the year is out might come true! http://www.moopy.org.uk/forums/images/smilies/grin.gif

Tonight's UK-wide YouGov poll puts Labour on 44%, which is the highest any poll has had them since before the Iraq war! The Tories are on 39% and the Lib Dems are on 8%. The Lib Dems have only polled above 10% in two of 15 polls since Christmas.

 

If theoretically a General Election was to be held tomorrow and those were how the votes went, would that give Labour an overall majority in the house, and would it relegate the Liberal Democrats' seats to single figures?

If theoretically a General Election was to be held tomorrow and those were how the votes went, would that give Labour an overall majority in the house, and would it relegate the Liberal Democrats' seats to single figures?

 

Yep on both counts. Labour would get a very comfortable majority on those figures, probably of more than 50. And on a uniform swing, the Lib Dems would be down to 9 seats.

 

There's been a good joke doing the rounds on the left-wing blogosphere in the last few weeks: the Lib Dems' greatest achievement from the Coalition is that they've FINALLY achieved proportional representation, as their number of seats finally reflects the number of supporters they have in the country.

The page here gives some idea of the number of seats each party would get. Not entirely accurate obviously as it's showing a very crude uniform swing, and the projected majority will probably get halved if the Tories get the boundary changes they want when it goes down to 600 MPs.

Labour could be on course for an overall majority in the Scottish elections - which is astounding given they use PR! The latest opinion polls there put Labour on 48%, the SNP on 33%, the Tories on 9% (!!) and the Lib Dems on 7%. That's a massive boost for Labour from the last elections in 2007, at the expense of the Tories and Lib Dems, who are both plunging. The governing SNP are actually marginally up on their 2007 percentage, but are set to lose power as a consequence of Labour mopping up other parties' votes.

The SNP seem to have found their vote winner. Petrol Prices.

 

If they take up the cause properly, and campaign well [And the SNP are utterly sublime at PR] they could still win it.

A 15% deficit in the polls to a victory within 4 months? I could see a hung parliament, but I can't see an SNP victory...

They only have a minority government now, i didn't say it'd be a convincing lead.

 

Nobody thought they would win before the last election.

Ipsos-MORI poll gives Labour a 10-point lead - 43% to 33%, which is the biggest gap between the parties since the general election (the Tories had a 9-point lead briefly after the Budget last June). And apparently, this poll was done BEFORE the terrible growth figures the other day!

 

Meanwhile, the Lib Dems appear to be enjoying a dead cat bounce revival. IPSOS puts them on 13%, while they're lately averaging 10% on the daily YouGov polls. That's still terrible and would most likely see them lose up to two thirds of their seats in an election, but not quite as horrific as the single-figure scores they were almost always getting at the height of the tuition fees saga.

most likely see them lose up to two thirds of their seats in an election

 

Pah, you know as well as I do that vote share doesn't map to seats.

Angus Reid leak:

CON 32% LAB 43% LD 11%

CON 220 LAB 382 LD 24 ... LAB MAJ 114

 

Good lord - Didn't expect 11% already...

Very impressed. I knew this was going to happen when the coalition had been announced. The Lib Dems have no popularity whatsoever. After this coalition I expect them to have no existence in Parliament.