April 1, 201213 yr Author hello everyone i am back .... my predictions so far RUSSIA sure in the first 10 according to the song and diaspora ,but not the winner SWEDEN sure in the first 10 according to the song and might be the winner SERBIA sure in the first 10 according to the song and diaspora CYPRUS big surprize SPAIN big surprize NORWAY big surprize UN KINGDOM not even in the first 10 DENMARK might be in the first 4 ITALY might win according to the last years welcome ,if not this year sure the next year IRELAND not even first 10 GREECE (my country) hardly for the first 10 this year What a set of daring predictions you've got there. What an expert you are! :) (P.S. Get over this weird obsession with the thing being fixed for the Big Five. Why on earth would they want to fix it for themselves? The last thing they want to do is end up with the cost and burden of hosting...)
April 1, 201213 yr Basically he assured us that France were winning last year because they were 'the chosen ones' and that the contest is rigged every year. They finished 15th and his conspiracy theories were laughed out of the forum, but he returned - with a new account.
April 1, 201213 yr Basically he assured us that France were winning last year because they were 'the chosen ones' and that the contest is rigged every year. They finished 15th and his conspiracy theories were laughed out of the forum, but he returned - with a new account. Ha! This is well and truly worthy of a :lame:
April 1, 201213 yr His current predictions are just mirroring the odds (and we ALL know that La La Love and Quédate Conmigo are hard to predict) anyway.
April 14, 201213 yr OK I've been so bored tonight, that I've tried to work out what the points might be for each semi. Semi 1 01 | Greece - 160 02 | Romania - 145 03 | Russia - 128 04 | Moldova - 104 05 | Iceland - 100 06 | Denmark - 99 07 | Ireland - 89 08 | Cyprus - 82 09 | Finland - 68 10 | Hungary - 53 --- 11 | Israel - 44 12 | Belgium - 43 13 | Austria - 35 14 | Latvia - 21 15 | Albania - 19 16 | Montenegro - 11 17 | San Marino - 9 18 | Switzerland - 2 Semi 2 01 | Sweden - 183 02 | Ukraine - 159 03 | Serbia - 158 04 | Bosnia & Herzegovina - 135 05 | Norway - 129 06 | Turkey - 103 07 | Slovenia - 87 08 | Lithuania - 77 09 | Netherlands - 41 10 | Bulgaria - 25 --- 11 | Belarus - 24 12 | Croatia - 23 (more votes) 13 | Georgia - 23 14 | Estonia - 16 15 | Portugal - 13 16 | Slovakia - 11 (more votes) 17 | Malta - 11 18 | Macedonia - 6 Semi 1 looks quite realistic, bit of a blood bath for the last spot in semi 2 though. I did initially think that Serbia would win its semi as well, but what with opening the show and Bosnia going at the end, I think they'll take some of their votes.
April 15, 201213 yr Author There's no way on earth 9th and 10th would get so few points in the second semi! That aside it looks fairly realistic to me...
April 18, 201213 yr Is the Eurovision compilation out yet?! I've been waiting for it so I can give them each 10-20 spins before the semi-finals.
April 19, 201213 yr Why not just download the files individually from the regular sources? (I have a zip file if you're desperate).
April 19, 201213 yr How soon before it's actually released does it leak? I've downloaded most of the songs anyway, but they're all of different quality, and I want all the final versions asap!
April 19, 201213 yr It's released sometime around May1st I think... too late for me! They should just release it now!
April 19, 201213 yr Why not just download the files individually from the regular sources? (I have a zip file if you're desperate). I'm really not that desperate, and like David above me it's just easier to have them all of equal quality in a nice Andre-friendly package. Thanks for the offer of your zip file though.
May 12, 201213 yr Fair enough. Did you download the CD now? Anyway prior to the rehearsals beginning tomorrow (and since I'm not allowed to predict BJSC this month :kink: ) I'm going to do this one more time. Semi 1 01 Russia 02 Romania 03 Denmark 04 Iceland 05 Ireland 06 Cyprus 07 Austria 08 Greece 09 Finland --- 10 Albania 11 Israel --- 12 Moldova 13 Hungary 14 Latvia --- 15 Belgium 16 Switzerland 17 Montenegro 18 San Marino Denmark Iceland and Cyprus have climed since my last prediction, at the expense of Ireland and Greece notably. Albania has become a little more likely IMHO, which has simply resulted in making Israel even more borderline. Despite the apparent sea change for Latvia and San Marino I still can't se either doing anything impressive though, Latvia could just miss the bottom 5, but given it's draw between two infinitely better songs I think we can write off Valentina totally. Semi 2 01 Sweden 02 Serbia 03 Turkey --- 04 Norway 05 Bosnia & Herzegovina 06 Slovenia 07 Netherlands 08 Ukraine 09 Estonia -- 10 Croatia 11 Belarus --- 12 FYR Macedonia 13 Bulgaria --- 14 Lithuania 15 Malta 16 Portugal 17 Slovakia 18 Georgia No real change in the top 3. Despite Turkey's bad draw and the fact that I've kind of gone off it, I think it will have enough fans to see it through and indeed to smash. Norway and Bosnia have grown on me and I think will do better than I originally predicted, and despite my hatred of the Netherlands I can see it scraping through now, which will be a victory in itself. Ukraine will surely qualify but not by a great margin, and Belarus will steal a few votes from it but not enough. Having seen Macedonia live it's just going to be too dark for many people to get, and I can see Croatia making it instead, Bearus could be close, but their best friend is in the other semi. Little change at the bottom too, I think Malta could do a little better than expected though (espeically since we're voting in the semi). Final 1. Sweden 2. Italy 3. Serbia 4. Russia 5. Romania 6. Denmark 7. Spain 8. Iceland 9. Cyprus 10. Turkey 11. United Kingdom 12. Norway 13. Greece 14. Germany 15. Ireland 16. Austria 17. Bosnia & Herzegovina 18. Estonia 19. Azerbaijan 20. Netherlands 21. France 22. Ukraine 23. Croatia 24. Finland 25. Slovenia 26. Albania OK, yes, fine. Sweden will win. But it won’t be by THAT big a margin. We’ll only know it’s the winner in the last 2-3 votes, and Italy and Serbia will alternate for a good first half, maybe with Russia leading once or twice depending on the draw order. Largely thinking about the less fan-wanky Saturday night audience that (in the UK at least) is there one part for lols, one part for a pretty tune, there is a bit of a swing towards amusing songs/(likely) performances an uptempo English language numbers. If Albania scrape through they’re almost definite to be bringing up the rear, and Finland and particularly Slovenia will suffer, but I think B&H and Estonia are melodic enough to stand on their own. In terms of the autoqualifiers, France is clearly doomed but she might save her blushes and miss the bottom 5. Germany will do OK, much better than it should being that it’s dull as dishwater, and I have a feeling that Engelbert will set the tone of the evening and give a good performance but from song no. 1 he’s not going to be top 5, though it would be crushing to miss the top 10 :( Spain however will blow people away, it will be one of the performances of the night and she will be rewarded for it. At least I hope so :drama:
May 12, 201213 yr Author Slovenia second last?! As if the juries would let that happen! And I can't see Cyprus going top ten. I think you've got the top five bang on though (in whatever order)
May 12, 201213 yr I strongly believe that we'll know Sweden are the winner by two thirds of the way through at the latest, and that's even with the deliberately tense voting. I expect they'll keep whoever's destined to finish 2nd as close as possible for as long as possible before the 12's come flooding at the end.
May 13, 201213 yr One's tentative semi-final predictions. Semi 1 1. Denmark 2. Greece 3. Russia 4. Iceland 5. Moldova 6. Ireland 7. Romania 8. Moldova 9. Cyprus 10. Israel 11. Latvia 12. Albania 13. Hungary 14. Belgium 15. Austria 16. Finland 17. San Marino 18. Montenegro Semi 2 1. Serbia 2. Sweden 3. Norway 4. Ukraine 5. Bosnia & Herzegovina 6. Turkey 7. Slovenia 8. Netherlands 9. Estonia 10. Lithuania 11. Belarus 12. Croatia 13. F.Y.R Macedonia 14. Bulgaria 15. Portugal 16. Georgia 17. Slovakia 18. Malta Edited May 13, 201213 yr by LexC
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