Sunday Chart Predictions

Predicting the 26/04 to 02/05 chart

 

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Stronger sales for Wiz and OMI is what I'm talking about

After such spectacular sales and streaming numbers last week, there's no doubt that Wiz Khalifa and OMI will keep their slots in the Top 2. New entries to this week's chart should include Clean Bandit's 'Stronger', Michael Calfan's 'Treasured Soul', Conor Maynard's 'Talking About', former Westlife member Markus Feehily's 'Love Is A Drug' and Cameron Dallas' 'She Bad'. Despite its slow start, Iggy Azalea should earn her seventh Top 20 entry with 'Trouble'.

 

It's expected to be another week of low sales in the albums, but there's plenty of competition, particularly from new entries in the shape of Alabama Shakes' Sound & Colour, Josh Groban's Stages and Passenger's Whispers II. Elsewhere in the Top 40, new entries may come from Amber Run, FM, Passion Pit, Squarepusher, Stacey Solomon and Yelawolf.

 

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Please note new changes to the Sunday Chart Predictions thread topic:

 

Tuesday/Thursday - There will be no mids from MW for Tuesday and Thursday, however they may come from other sources - this is not always guaranteed. You can still post your own predictions for the week to generate chat to the topic.

 

Wednesday - Radio 1 Chart Top 40 mid update will be posted with links to Radio 1 and any other chart info from MW and OCC from 3:30pm to 4pm

 

Friday - Final Mid update from MW from 11am onwards. Sales info is a separate issue will be available from 2pm onwards if available.

 

To keep everyone in the loop of all chart action please refer to the iTunes thread topic.

Tuesday Update Top 40 Only

 

Singles

 

1 Wiz Khalifa feat. Charlie Puth (40.1k)

2 Omi (28.8k)

3 Clean Bandit (16.3k) *

4 Jess Glynne (11.3k)

5 Michael Calfan (9.6k) *

 

6-10

9 Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars

 

11-20

13 Iggy Azalea feat. Jennifer Hudson

16 Conor Maynard *

 

21-30

23 Markus Feehily *

24 Meghan Trainor

 

31-40

36 Taylor Swift [style]

 

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

 

Albums

 

1 Josh Groban (6.1k) *

2 Paul Simon (4.3k)

3 Alabama Shakes (3.8k) *

4 James Bay (2.7k - 35 copies ahead)

5 Ed Sheeran (2.7k)

 

6-10

10 Taylor Swift

 

11-20

12 Hozier

13 Amber Run *

14 Noel Gallagher High Flying Birds

15 Passenger *

16 Jessie Ware

19 Maroon 5

20 As It Is *

 

21-30

22 Olly Murs

23 Killers

26 Catfish & The Bottlemen

27 Stacey Solomon *

30 FM *

 

31-40

31 Jack Savoretti

33 Imagine Dragons

36 Madonna

38 Passion Pit *

Official Singles/Albums Chart Update Top 100

Source: OCC

Sales data missing from Morrisons for Tuesdays

 

Top 100 Singles

 

1 Wiz Khalifa feat. Charlie Puth (59.4k)

2 Omi (44.3k)

3 Clean Bandit (21.8k) *

4 Jess Glynne (17.7k)

5 Nick Jonas (14.5k) *

 

Radio 1 Top 40 Singles Print Version

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Top 100 Albums

 

1 Josh Groban (9.2k) *

2 Paul Simon (5.9k)

3 Alabama Shakes (4.9k) *

4 Ed Sheeran (4.1k - 105 copies ahead)

5 James Bay (4.0k)

 

Radio 1 Top 40 Albums Print Version

 

Click on the above relevant links

Thursday Update Top 40 Only

 

Singles

 

1 Wiz Khalifa ft. Charlie Puth - See You Again (73.4k)

2 OMI - Cheerleader (56.7k)

3 Clean Bandit - Stronger (26.4k) *

4 Jess Glynne - Hold My Hand (21.8k)

5 Nick Jonas - Jealous (18.2k)

 

6-10

8 Kygo ft. Conrad - Firestone

9 Michael Calfan - Treasured Soul *

10 Major Lazer & DJ Snake ft. MO - Lean On

 

11-20

12 Iggy Azalea ft. Jennifer Hudson - Trouble

 

21-30

22 Meghan Trainor - Dear Future Husband

25 Kodaline - The One

26 Conor Maynard - Talking About *

 

31-40

35 Taylor Swift - Style

36 Markus Feehily - Love is a Drug *

39 Jack Ü ft. Justin Bieber - Where Are U Now *

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Albums

 

1 Josh Groban - Stages (12.8k) *

2 Paul Simon - The Ultimate Collection (7.5k)

3 Alabama Shakes - Sound & Colour (5.8k) *

4 Ed Sheeran - x (5.2k)

5 James Bay - Chaos and the Calm (5.1k)

 

6-10

7 Passenger - Whispers II *

 

11-20

12 Hozier - Hozier

14 Noel Gallagher's High Flying Birds - Chasing Yesterday

17 Maroon 5 - V

18 Jessie Ware - Tough Love

19 The Killers - Direct Hits

20 Olly Murs - Never Been Better

 

21-30

21 Amber Run - 5AM *

22 Royal Blood - Royal Blood

23 Ella Henderson - Chapter One

26 Catfish and the Bottlemen - The Balcony

27 Kendrick Lamar - To Pimp a Butterfly

28 Drake - If You're Reading This, It's Too Late ^

29 As It Is - Never Happy Ever After *

 

31-40

31 Imagine Dragons - Smoke and Mirrors

32 Sufjan Stevens - Carrie & Lowell

34 Stacey Solomon - Shy *

35 Madonna - Rebel Heart ^

36 Jack Savoretti - Written in Scars ^

37 Clean Bandit - New Eyes ^

40 FM - Heroes and Villains

Friday Update Top 40 Only

 

Singles

 

1 Wiz Khalifa ft. Charlie Puth - See You Again

2 OMI - Cheerleader

3 Clean Bandit - Stronger *

4 Jess Glynne - Hold My Hand

5 Nick Jonas - Jealous

 

6-10

8 Kygo ft. Conrad - Firestone

9 Major Lazer & DJ Snake ft. MO - Lean On

 

11-20

11 Iggy Azalea ft. Jennifer Hudson - Trouble

14 Michael Calfan - Treasured Soul *

 

21-30

24 Meghan Trainor - Dear Future Husband

26 Kodaline - The One

 

31-40

31 Conor Maynard - Talking About *

35 Taylor Swift - Style

36 Jack Ü ft. Justin Bieber - Where Are U Now *

38 Markus Feehily - Love is a Drug *

 

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Albums

 

1 Josh Groban - Stages (15.3k) *

2 Paul Simon - The Ultimate Collection (9.0k)

3 Ed Sheeran - x (6.7k)

4 Alabama Shakes - Sound & Colour (6.6k) *

5 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour (6.3k)

 

6-10

8 Passenger - Whispers II *

 

11-20

12 Hozier - Hozier

14 Noel Gallagher's High Flying Birds - Chasing Yesterday

17 Maroon 5 - V

18 Yelawolf - Love Story *

19 Jessie Ware - Tough Love

20 The Killers - Direct Hits

 

21-30

21 Olly Murs - Never Been Better

22 Royal Blood - Royal Blood

23 Ella Henderson - Chapter One

24 Kendrick Lamar - To Pimp a Butterfly

25 Catfish and the Bottlemen - The Balcony

27 Amber Run - 5AM *

29 Sufjan Stevens - Carrie & Lowell

30 Drake - If You're Reading This, It's Too Late ^

 

31-40

31 Imagine Dragons - Smoke and Mirrors

33 Clean Bandit - New Eyes ^

35 Madonna - Rebel Heart ^

36 As It Is - Never Happy Ever After *

37 Stacey Solomon - Shy *

39 Jack Savoretti - Written In Scars ^

Mint Royale @MintRoyale · 5m 5 minutes ago

Another dismal chart week. Josh Groban number 1 album, unless Paul Simon hauls him in. Exciting. FFS.

Mint Royale @MintRoyale · 6m 6 minutes ago

Stacey Solomon album at 27. Didn’t even realise.

Mint Royale @MintRoyale · 3m 3 minutes ago

Wiz Khalifa Feat Sam Smith Soundalike still number 1.

Mint Royale @MintRoyale · 41s 41 seconds ago

Rihanna’s American Oxygen lounging at 82. BBHMM no longer top 40. DOES ANYONE CARE.

Didn't think I'd ever see the day Rihanna struggled to get the first few singles of a new album campaign up near the top end of the charts. Having heard the former of them it's passable compared to what's come before so I'm not really surprised.

 

And I won't hear a bad word said against Josh Groban. I follow him on Twitter and he's wonderfully - maybe endearingly - self deprecating.

 

Stacey Solomon is signing her album at my local HMV this Thursday...

I went fishing....

 

Mint Royale ‏@MintRoyale 4m4 minutes ago

@GrechMartin Calfan 5 (might not stay top 10) Conor 16 (should be top 20). Also Markus Feehily at 23.

 

:lol:

Good start for Michael Calfan in the top 5 but sadly won't hold on, I'd love to see Treasured Love just scrape into the top 10 but I can see it peaking between 11-15 but I guess it depends on how well he holds up this week on iTunes.

 

If he can hold on to the top 10 as Dr Kucho did last week he could just do it!

 

Oh dear for Conor, can't see him staying on in the top 20 as he's already dropping on iTunes :lol:

Conor at best is going to do a 'What Are You Waiting For', or even a 'Living Without You' as I suspected.

Interesting that Josh Groban is #1 in albums! He should stay put; his sales will hardly be front loaded and I doubt many of them are pre-orders either.

:lol: at the best of the recent Rihanna tracks doing the worst chart wise :banghead:

Interesting that Josh Groban is #1 in albums! He should stay put; his sales will hardly be front loaded and I doubt many of them are pre-orders either.

 

 

Was on the One show last night, must be over here doing promo at least!

So hope Markus can cling on to top 40 this week

It's crazy how much Rihanna's failed to capitalise on the massive success of FourFive Seconds - I'm guessing it's a combo of BBHMM not connecting well and the campaign becoming sloppy.

 

Possible tidal backlash as well?

Or them just releasing songs too quickly! 'Four Five Seconds' is still riding high in the charts and airplay when they released both the new tracks! I'm quietly confident she'll deliver the hit that everyone's desperate for! (But FFS is one of my very favourites from her now :wub:)

It's crazy how much Rihanna's failed to capitalise on the massive success of FourFive Seconds - I'm guessing it's a combo of BBHMM not connecting well and the campaign becoming sloppy.

 

Possible tidal backlash as well?

 

Her era has been hugely mishandled. International artists doing on air releases just don't work that well in the UK. Beyonce and Gaga haven't had a number 1 since 2010, Taylor never, though Rihanna managed with Diamonds, it just isn't the same here as it is in America. I think they need to go back to holding back their singles and making sure they've picked up airplay before releasing. Neither BBHMY or AO are the most commercial of Rihanna tracks but I'm almost certain they would have gone top 10/5 if handled properly.

Edited April 21, 201510 yr by Joe.

Rihanna has got away with releasing absolute rubbish and relying on her name to sell it for a very long time now, it was bound to fall back on her eventually.

Her era has been hugely mishandled. International artists doing on air releases just don't work that well in the UK. Beyonce and Gaga haven't had a number 1 since 2010, Taylor never, though Rihanna managed with Diamonds, it just isn't the same here as it is in America. I think they need to go back to holding back their singles and making sure they've picked up airplay before releasing. Neither BBHMY or AO are the most commercial of Rihanna tracks but I'm almost certain they would have gone top 10/5 if handled properly.

 

I guess if all releases were OA/OS then we wouldn't have that kind of issue and I think the longevity of 'Shake if Off' and 'FourFive Seconds' do show some value to not holding back releases but I do see what you mean. I also think if she had come to the UK to do any promo she could've won it back, maybe performing BBHMM somewhere even with an OA/OS surely would've gone top 10?! Also I think rushing into AO without trying to make its predecessor more successful has harmed them both as they're both still overshadowed by FFS :lol:

 

Oh dear we waited 2 and a half years for this haha

Rihanna has got away with releasing absolute rubbish and relying on her name to sell it for a very long time now, it was bound to fall back on her eventually.

 

Just this era though.