Posted September 3, 20168 yr Thought it might be quite fun to start hyping next year's Oscars and who might get nominated now that we're out of Summer and heading into Oscar's season. So far I think the trailers for Manchester by the Sea, The Founder, La La Land, The Light Between Oceans and Lion look great so I'd like to see them get nominations. However, TLBO has already been released in the US and isn't getting great reviews so now I'm a bit worried about its chances. I'd like to see all three of Vikander, Fassbenders and Weisz get nominations at least but it seems its chances are slipping :(
September 3, 20168 yr Author I thought I'd do some (very, very) early predictions on the nominees and winners which might be fun to look back on. BEST PICTURE Arrival Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk Fences La La Land Loving Lion Manchester by the Sea Silence The Jungle Book The Birth of a Nation BEST LEAD ACTOR Joel Edgerton - Loving Michael Keaton - The Founder Casey Affleck - Manchester by the Sea Nate Parker - The Birth of a Nation Ryan Gosling - La La Land BEST LEAD ACTRESS Alicia Vikander - The Light Between Oceans Emma Stone - La La Land Jessica Chastain - Miss Sloane Ruth Negga - Loving Viola Davis - Fences BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Armie Hammer - The Birth of a Nation John Goodman - 10 Cloverfield Lane Liam Neeson - Silence Lucas Hedges - Manchester by the Sea Steve Martin - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Aja Naomi King – The Birth of a Nation Elle Fanning - 20th Century Women Kristen Stewart - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk Michelle Williams - Manchester by the Sea Octavia Spencer - Hidden Figures BEST DIRECTOR Ang Lee - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk Nate Parker - The Birth of a Nation Jeff Nichols - Loving Damien Chazelle - La La Land Kenneth Lonergan - Manchester by the Sea
September 3, 20168 yr This HAS to be Amy Adams' year, it better be anyway. She is getting rave reviews for Arrival and Nocturnal Animals and I think both movies will be gettings tons of press and hype so she'll be benefiting from that. Not seen any clips of NA yet but she really delivers in what I've seen of Arrival. Tom Ford could get a nom for Best Director for Nocturnal Animals too. I can see Arrival being the Interstellar/Gravity/The Martian of the year tbh. Thinking DaddyCasey will get a nom and maybe a win, but then, I am biased like I am with Amy. Maybe at a push Jeremy Renner for Arrival.
September 3, 20168 yr I am leaning more towards Viola Davis who won a Tony for the same role in Fences. She was robbed last time as well. Amy Adams having two strong lead roles could be split votes and leave her without a nomination, especially if the competition is strong.
September 3, 20168 yr Great to see you start this Josh! Jahq & I will be bringing up some Oscar topics over the next couple of weeks so stayed tuned for those! I'll do some predictions later but think it'll be between Billy Lynn & Fences with Silence making a play if it makes this year! (La La Land & Arrival I can also see doing really well!) Also hope Birth Of A Nation completely fails to get anything, though I'm really starting to think the backlash is deservedly going to stop it getting anywhere near Oscar nominations hopefully.
September 3, 20168 yr Great to see you start this Josh! Jahq & I will be bringing up some Oscar topics over the next couple of weeks so stayed tuned for those! I'll do some predictions later but think it'll be between Billy Lynn & Fences with Silence making a play if it makes this year! (La La Land & Arrival I can also see doing really well!) Also hope Birth Of A Nation completely fails to get anything, though I'm really starting to think the backlash is deservedly going to stop it getting anywhere near Oscar nominations hopefully. I still think a Best Picture nomination but not direction or acting for Nate Parker. I think Roman Polanski and Woody Allen were 'lucky' that they weren't in the social media era.
September 3, 20168 yr Ok some very early predictions from me also! I'm sticking with my Birth Of A Nation full snub & I think Passengers will be delayed I think Fences may be the first movie to win the big 5 in years. EDIT: Forgot about Hell Or High Water, edited that in to a couple of the categories! BEST PICTURE Confident on at the moment unless they get delayed/completely flop 1. Fences 2. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk 3. Silence Potential winner if above stumble 4. La La Land Early reviews say yes! 5. Arrival 6. Moonlight 7. Loving 8. Manchester by the Sea 9. Nocturnal Animals 10. Hell Or High Water ALTS: Hidden Figures, Lion, 20th Century Women BEST LEAD ACTOR 1. Denzel Washington- Fences 2. Casey Affleck - Manchester by the Sea 3. Ryan Gosling - La La Land 4. Joel Edgerton - Loving 5. Joe Alywn- Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk ALTS: Andrew Garfield (Silence), Jake Gylleenhaal (Nocturnal Animals), Tom Hanks (Sully), Miles Teller (Bleed For This), Trevante Rhodes (Moonlight) BEST LEAD ACTRESS 1. Viola Davis - Fences 2. Emma Stone - La La Land 3. Amy Adams- Arrival 4. Ruth Negga- Loving 5. Annette Benning- 20th Century Women ALTS: Natalie Portman (Jackie), Amy Adams (Nocturnal Animals), Jessica Chastain (Miss Sloane), Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins), Emily Blunt (The Girl On The Train), Rebecca Hall (Christine) BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR 1. Steve Martin - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk 2. Liam Neeson - Silence 3. Mahershala Ali- Moonlight 4. Michael Shannon- Nocturnal Animals 5. Jeff Bridges- Hell Or High Water ALTS: Warren Beatty (Rules Don't Apply), John Legend (La La Land), Aaron Eckhart (Sully), Armie Hammer (The Birth of a Nation), Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea), Kyle Chandler (Manchester By The Sea) BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS 1. Kristen Stewart - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk 2. Naomie Harris- Moonlight 3. Michelle Williams - Manchester by the Sea 4. Elle Fanning - 20th Century Women 5. Dakota Fanning- American Pastoral ALTS: Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women), Aja Naomi King (The Birth of a Nation), Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures), Rachel Weisz (The Light Between Oceans), Laura Linney (Nocturnal Animals) BEST DIRECTOR 1. Denzel Washington- Fences 2. Ang Lee - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk 3. Damien Chazelle - La La Land 4. Martin Scorsese- Silence 5. Denis Villenvenue- Arrival ALTS: Barry Jenkins (Moonlight), Jeff Nichols (Loving), Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea), Tom Ford (Nocturnal Animals)
September 3, 20168 yr Arrival having 100% on Rotten Tomatoes tho *.* omg, Slaymy Adams is coming bitches. http://i.imgur.com/UrKyJNU.gif
September 13, 20168 yr Jackie has been picked up by Fox Searchlight and will now be released this year! It's meant to be fantastic and I can see this being a big contender for Natalie Portman!
September 13, 20168 yr Author Oo, very excited to see Jackie because I've seen it get great reviews, glad it's coming out sooner rather than later. I think Natalie will be a lock on for a nomination but I think they'd be more likely to give the award to Viola Davis or Amy Adams, perhaps Jessica Chastain as they're a bit more overdue.
September 13, 20168 yr Viola only has two nominations, give it to Amy tbh :smoke: she's been waiting longer.
October 1, 20168 yr *Updated Predicts BEST PICTURE 1. Fences 2. La La Land 3. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk 4. Silence 5. Jackie 6. Arrival 7. Moonlight 8. Loving 9. Manchester by the Sea 10. Nocturnal Animals ALTS (In Order): Lion, Sully, A Monster Calls, Hidden Figures, 20th Century Women, The Jungle Book, Hell Or High Water, Passengers, The Girl On The Train, Hacksaw Ridge BEST LEAD ACTOR 1. Denzel Washington- Fences 2. Casey Affleck - Manchester by the Sea 3. Ryan Gosling - La La Land 4. Joel Edgerton - Loving 5. Joe Alywn- Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk ALTS: Tom Hanks (Sully), Miles Teller (Bleed For This), Jake Gylleenhaal (Nocturnal Animals), Andrew Garfield (Silence), Trevante Rhodes (Moonlight) BEST LEAD ACTRESS 1. Emma Stone - La La Land 2. Viola Davis - Fences 3. Natalie Portman- Jackie 4. Ruth Negga- Loving 5. Amy Adams- Arrival ALTS: Annette Bening (20th Century Women) , Amy Adams (Nocturnal Animals), Jessica Chastain (Miss Sloane), Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins), Emily Blunt (The Girl On The Train), Rebecca Hall (Christine) BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR 1. Steve Martin - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk 2. Liam Neeson - Silence 3. Michael Shannon- Nocturnal Animals 4. Mahershala Ali- Moonlight 5. Aaron Eckhart- Bleed For This ALTS: Warren Beatty (Rules Don't Apply), Jeff Bridges (Hell Or High Water), John Legend (La La Land), Aaron Eckhart (Sully), John Goodman (10 Cloverfield Lane), Peter Sarsgaard (Jackie), Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea), Alden Ehrenreich (Hail, Caesar), Kyle Chandler (Manchester By The Sea) BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS 1. Kristen Stewart - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk 2. Naomie Harris- Moonlight 3. Michelle Williams - Manchester by the Sea 4. Margo Martindale- The Hollars 5. Laura Linney- Nocturnal Animals ALTS: Nicole Kidman (Lion), Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures), Elle Fanning (20th Century Women), Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women), Haley Bennett (The Girl On The Train), Rachel Weisz (The Light Between Oceans) BEST DIRECTOR 1. Denzel Washington- Fences 2. Damien Chazelle - La La Land 3. Ang Lee - Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk 4. Martin Scorsese- Silence 5. Denis Villenvenue- Arrival ALTS: Barry Jenkins (Moonlight), Pablo Larrain (Jackie), Jeff Nichols (Loving), Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea), Tom Ford (Nocturnal Animals)
October 1, 20168 yr Also I think The Birth Of A Nation is completely dead now in all categories. Especially now Fox Searchlight have picked up Jackie and Nate Parker getting worse and worse as this promotional campaign goes on
October 4, 20168 yr Live By Night (the new Ben Affleck directed/starring movie) is back in the race as an Oscar qualifying run at Christmas has just been confirmed!
October 16, 20168 yr And it looks like bye bye Billy Lynn also from the contenders, they're dropping like flies this year :drama: After seeing Manchester By The Sea, I really wouldn't be surprised to see both Affleck and Williams pick up wins!
October 16, 20168 yr Author Billy Lynn's hype does seem to have vanished overnight somehow. I think it might still gets noms for Best Picture and perhaps director for Ang Lee but not so sure on Steve Martin/Kristen Stewart anymore.
October 16, 20168 yr Reviews are really poor after its film festival premiere. Stewart and techs are its only chance I think now unless it majorly recovers!
October 16, 20168 yr Author Agree with you about Manchester by the Sea on the acting front so thought I might update my predictions (winners in bold again): BEST PICTURE “La La Land” “Fences” “20th Century Women” “Manchester by the Sea” “Lion” “Jackie” “Silence” “Loving” “Moonlight” “Arrival” BEST ACTOR Denzel Washington – “Fences” Tom Hanks – “Sully“ Ryan Gosling – “La La Land“ Casey Affleck – “Manchester by the Sea“ Joel Edgerton – “Loving“ BEST ACTRESS Jessica Chastain – “Miss Sloane” Viola Davis – “Fences” Ruth Negga – “Loving“ Natalie Portman – “Jackie“ Emma Stone – “La La Land“ BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Mahershala Ali – “Moonlight“ Michael Shannon – “Nocturnal Animals“ Liam Neeson – “Silence” Peter Sarsgaard – “Jackie“ Jeff Bridges – “Hell or High Water“ BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Kristen Stewart – “Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk” Naomie Harris – “Moonlight“ Nicole Kidman – “Lion“ Michelle Williams – “Manchester by the Sea“ Octavia Spencer – “Hidden Figures” BEST DIRECTOR Damien Chazelle – “La La Land“ Martin Scorsese – “Silence” Pablo Larraín – “Jackie“ Kenneth Lonergan – “Manchester by the Sea“ Denis Villenueve – “Arrival“
October 24, 20168 yr Viola has been submitted for Supporting Actress for the SAGs so I'm guessing that means she'll be a supporting for the other awards too.
Create an account or sign in to comment