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I think the fact it is so different to the rest of a Eurovision line-up is going to make it a lot of people's favourites, even if a lot of people will hate it. It doesn't stand out so much in the context of a Portuguese semi where so many things are of a similar genre, but in a Eurovision semi with everyone have fireworks here and holograms there I think it might just hit the sweet spot.
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I wouldn't mind that prediction being accurate one bit.

Let's try this again. Here's how I think it might go.

 

[ Pos. | Jury | Telev. | Country | Artist | Song ]

 

Semi Final 1

01 03 01 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Sweden.png Sweden ∙ Robin Bengtsson — I Can't Go On

02 01 03 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Belgium.png Belgium ∙ Blanche — City Lights

03 02 04 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Azerbaijan.png Azerbaijan ∙ Dihaj — Skeletons

04 05 07 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Australia.png Australia ∙ Isaiah — Don't Come Easy

05 06 08 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Latvia.png Latvia ∙ Triana Park — Line

06 18 02 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Moldova.png Moldova ∙ SunStroke Project — Hey, Mamma!

07 10 06 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Poland.png Poland ∙ Kasia Moś — Flashlight

08 08 11 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Iceland.png Iceland ∙ Svala — Paper

09 04 13 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Portugal.png Portugal ∙ Salvador Sobral — Amar Pelos Dois

10 14 05 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Greece.png Greece ∙ Demy — This Is Love

11 11 09 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Armenia.png Armenia ∙ Artsvik — Fly with Me

12 07 16 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Finland.png Finland ∙ Norma John — Blackbird

13 09 15 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Czech_Republic.png Czech Republic ∙ Martina Bárta — My Turn

14 12 12 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Cyprus.png Cyprus ∙ Hovig — Gravity

15 16 10 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Montenegro.png Montenegro ∙ Slavko Kalezić — Space

16 13 14 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Albania.png Albania ∙ Lindita — World

17 15 17 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Georgia.png Georgia ∙ Tamara Gachechiladze — Keep the Faith

18 17 18 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Slovenia.png Slovenia ∙ Omar Naber — On My Way

Semi Final 2

01 01 01 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Bulgaria.png Bulgaria ∙ Kristian Kostov — Beautiful Mess

02 02 02 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Hungary.png Hungary ∙ Joci Pápai — Origo

03 03 05 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/FYR_Macedonia.png Macedonia ∙ Jana Burčeska — Dance Alone

04 04 07 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Denmark.png Denmark ∙ Anja Nissen — Where I Am

05 10 04 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Israel.png Israel ∙ Imri — I Feel Alive

06 14 03 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Russia.png Russia ∙ Yulia Samoylova — Flame Is Burning

07 06 09 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Estonia.png Estonia ∙ Koit Toome and Laura — Verona

08 05 12 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Netherlands.png Netherlands ∙ O'G3NE — Lights and Shadows

09 08 10 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Switzerland.png Switzerland ∙ Timebelle — Apollo

10 11 08 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Norway.png Norway ∙ JOWST feat. Aleksander Walmann — Grab the Moment

11 16 06 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Romania.png Romania ∙ Ilinca and Alex Florea — Yodel It!

12 09 11 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Serbia.png Serbia ∙ Tijana Bogićević — In Too Deep

13 07 15 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Belarus.png Belarus ∙ NAVI — Story of My Life

14 13 14 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Ireland.png Ireland ∙ Brendan Murray — Dying to Try

15 15 13 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Austria.png Austria ∙ Nathan Trent — Running on Air

16 12 16 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Croatia.png Croatia ∙ Jacques Houdek — My Friend

17 17 18 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Lithuania.png Lithuania ∙ Fusedmarc — Rain of Revolution

18 18 17 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Malta.png Malta ∙ Claudia Faniello — Breathlessly

19 19 19 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/San_Marino.png San Marino ∙ Valentina Monetta and Jimmie Wilson — Spirit of the Night

Edited by jafetsigfinns

  • Author

Lex's overthought Semi 1 predictions. Points in brackets are public first, jury second.

 

01 Belgium 326 (156+170)

 

An effective, catchy, striking pop song that's got the potential to work on an affective level and is being staged by people who know what they're doing. People have raised concerns about Blanche's "shyness" being an issue but that's less of an obstacle to overcome on screen rather than in a club/theater environment. If they can make her look like a vulnerable manic pixie dream girl caught in the city lights then this will fly up both televote and jury scores.

 

02 Sweden 263 (137+126)

 

Again, an effective pop song that does what it does very well and has proven to be able to score well from the opening slot. I'd put this as a safer qualifier than Belgium actually because Belgium could, in theory, f*** it up and not do as well whereas this is already basically ready to go and has been since February. If that does happen then I'd expect to see them take the win in stead.

 

03 Armenia 208 (131+77)

 

Has a lot of friends in this semi and, like with Bulgaria, I've really grown to appreciate how much this does actually manage to build to a climax while still staying pretty subtle. Plus they're in the ideal draw position of two from the end and with a good qualification record.

 

04 Latvia 189 (112+67)

 

Pimp slot and what should be killer staging. They don't have as many/any "friends" in the truest sense but this is the type of thing that the Nordics are going to eat up with a spoon plus they'll probably get lower points from a lot of the countries to (or at least so goes the model I made to coincide with this prediction *.*). Juries won't love it as much but that's mostly because they'll have bigger priorities elsewhere.

 

05 Australia 169 (55+114)

 

That draw is tough, only an idiot would deny that. That said though, Isaiah is a capable enough performer, the song is good and well structured enough to get Australia enough votes to qualify reasonably comfortably. It's still going to be mostly carried by the juries though, they could potentially be outside of the top 10 on the televote.

 

06 Greece 141 (93+48)

 

Greece always have a comparative advantage and I don't think this year is going to be any different. For all that it's basic and simplistic, coming after a run of Finland-Azerbaijan-Portugal will be making people itchy for a good and proper uptempo pop song which this will deliver for them. Juries will recognize its limitations but they are just as likely to be swayed in that way too so they won't loathe it as much as not be phased by it.

 

07 Moldova 130 (90+40)

 

Like Greece but on a slightly smaller scale. This is almost exactly what your viewer tuning in to the semi finals because they want to watch Eurovision will be looking for and will flock to in a big way.

 

08 Iceland 130 (50+80)

 

(I swear I didn't make that tiebreak on purpose)

You don't break a domestic televoting record without a song that is provably able to score well on a televote. I know people will say it was because she's a name but big names have tried in Iceland before and been thwarted/not lived up to the hype, especially with somebody whose biggest hits were reasonably long ago. That said this will get more love from the same juries that really got behind Love Injected (because it's essentially just Love Injected via some 80s synth) will be backing this as well.

 

09 Albania 116 (48+68)

 

My tip for the "surprise" qualifier (even to me, as I did not think this would be as high as it ended up in the aforementioned model). There's a decent amount of neighbourly support here from Greece, Cyprus, Montenegro, Slovenia, Italy and the caucus states to a lesser extent. Plus nothing says "jury catnip" like those vocals which will be able to make up for any potential lack in the televote from a not so great draw.

 

10 Montenegro 106 (72+34)

 

I think this, like Greece later on in the show, or like Zoe or Nadav Guedj or Bojana Stamenov is the type of thing that your Eurovision Tuesday night viewer will be wanting to be entertained with. They've hired a stage director who knows how to present a song in a suitably dramatic way and it'll get a good amount of support from the likes of Australia and the west who will be impressed by the camp nature of the whole thing. Juries won't take to it but Montenegro always get more than they deserve from the jury scores thanks to *cough* shenanigans *cough* for which there's Albania, Czechia, Armenia and Azerbaijan here to back them up to the point where they will sneak through.

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------

 

11 Poland 105 (45+60)

 

Unlike the Polish songs that have soared up the televote, Kasia isn't really that big a star/had that big a hit in Poland domestically before they arrive so the televote that was really activated for Colour Of Your Life and My Slowanie won't be as strong here (in what's not really a brilliant semi for them anyway). The juries will go for it but Albania will be more appealing to them in the "dramatic ballad" stakes I feel.

 

12 Portugal 104 (41+63)

 

The thing is with Portugal is that it is both not that different from what's around it in the semi and hugely polarizing at the same time. The general reaction to this song has been a "love it or hate it" reaction and since juries are, in essence, just people watching a music competition, I think it stands to reason that the jury results will be quite polarized for this one. And under the jury ranking that really dulls your jury score down (although not as drastically in a semi where there's less songs so we're talking a slightly smaller scale here). Plus, in the Portuguese final that for all that it was a crock of shit, was at least different flavours of shit (you had your western pop song, your bouncy folksy number, your campy soul pop, your soft rock number ect) and with a big amount of momentum from the youtube views ect, it still only managed to come second on its televote. The transitive property remains therefore that Portugal weren't all that fussed about it. Draw wise it's between what we imagine will be the big stage production of Azerbaijan and what we know will be the big bombastic production of Greece which will lead to it being "memory holed" once the whole semi is done. And while I hear the "it'll stand out for being so different" argument, I think that supposes that this is more left field than it actually is. It is just a calm, male ballad that's got some 50s/60s style orchestral flourishes on it. Hardly an art installation is it? Plus add in the fact that Portugal isn't a country that can count on votes from anywhere other than Spain and maybe Italy at a push in this semi and that people might/will just think he's a bit wierd and my overall conclusion is that this will be another admirable misfire.

 

13 Finland 101 (33+68)

 

Basically like Portugal only a bit more gloomy and frumpy.

 

14 Slovenia 84 (38+46)

 

Will do better than expected, especially with quite a good draw but we're talking 14th at an absolute maximum here.

 

15 Azerbaijan 82 (42+40)

 

Not many people have pegged this but with most of the ex-USSR countries, Malta and San Marino in the other semi they really have only got Georgia and Moldova in this semi to support them. And, based on the Amsterdam performance, Dihaj is a weak performer both vocally and seemingly on the stage presence front which at least Samra was able to manage to overcome. I've got this down as the "accidental" non qualifier at the moment.

 

16 Czech Republic 73 (20+53)

 

Actually being a competently composed and performed song will stop it coming last through decent jury support but there's too much of a televote handicap to leapfrog over the likes of even Finland and Portugal

 

17 Georgia 61 (28+33)

 

It's USP is being eaten up by other songs, it's got a horrible draw and it's extremely thin on friends. Unfortunately sinking without trace, but won't be coming last

 

18 Cyprus 58 (27+31)

 

Will get completely swallowed up and memory holed by Armenia and Latvia at the end of the show and unfortunately just isn't enough of a memorable song to stand out in this bloodbath of a semi.

Now for the final

 

[ Pos. | Jury | Telev. | Country | Artist | Song ]

 

Eurovision Final

01 01 02 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Bulgaria.png Bulgaria ∙ Kristian Kostov — Beautiful Mess (287 + 312 = 599)

02 05 01 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Italy.png Italy ∙ Francesco Gabbani — Occidentali's Karma (164+ 376 = 540)

03 02 05 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Hungary.png Hungary ∙ Joci Pápai — Origo (257 + 159 = 416)

04 04 03 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Sweden.png Sweden ∙ Robin Bengtsson — I Can't Go On (182 + 231 = 413)

05 03 04 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Belgium.png Belgium ∙ Blanche — City Lights (192 + 170 = 362)

06 07 06 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Azerbaijan.png Azerbaijan ∙ Dihaj — Skeletons (130 + 129 = 259)

07 06 09 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/FYR_Macedonia.png Macedonia ∙ Jana Burčeska — Dance Alone (149 + 107 = 256)

08 08 13 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/France.png France ∙ Alma — Requiem (125 + 73 = 198)

09 09 12 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Australia.png Australia ∙ Isaiah — Don't Come Easy (112 + 83 = 195)

10 13 10 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Poland.png Poland ∙ Kasia Moś — Flashlight (87 + 94 = 181)

11 18 07 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Israel.png Israel ∙ Imri — I Feel Alive (50 + 124 = 174)

12 11 15 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Latvia.png Latvia ∙ Triana Park — Line (96 + 63 = 159)

13 10 16 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Denmark.png Denmark ∙ Anja Nissen — Where I Am (102 + 56 = 158)

14 24 08 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Russia.png Russia ∙ Yulia Samoylova — Flame Is Burning (11 + 110 = 121)

15 22 11 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Greece.png Greece ∙ Demy — This Is Love (31 + 90 = 121)

16 14 19 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Estonia.png Estonia ∙ Koit Toome and Laura — Verona (77 + 43 = 120)

17 15 20 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Iceland.png Iceland ∙ Svala — Paper (75 + 34 = 109)

18 12 24 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Portugal.png Portugal ∙ Salvador Sobral — Amar Pelos Dois (93 + 13 = 106)

19 20 17 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Norway.png Norway ∙ JOWST feat. Aleksander Walmann — Grab the Moment (42 + 49 = 91)

20 16 22 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/United_Kingdom.png United Kingdom ∙ Lucie Jones — Never Give Up On You (67 + 21 = 88)

21 21 18 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Ukraine.png Ukraine ∙ O.Torvald — Time (33 + 44 = 77)

22 17 23 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Netherlands.png Netherlands ∙ O'G3NE — Lights and Shadows (57 + 15 = 72)

23 19 21 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Switzerland.png Switzerland ∙ Timebelle — Apollo (45 + 26 = 71)

24 26 14 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Moldova.png Moldova ∙ SunStroke Project — Hey, Mamma! (3 + 66 = 69)

25 23 25 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Germany.png Germany ∙ Levina — Perfect Life (22 + 6 = 28)

26 25 26 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Spain.png Spain ∙ Manuel Navarro — Do It For Your Lover (5 + 0 = 5)

 

  • 2 weeks later...
[Deleted]

Edited by ascensionmusic

Pre-rehearshal weeks prediction

 

Semi 1

 

01 Sweden

02 Georgia

03 Australia

04 Albania

05 Belgium

06 Montenegro

07 Finland

08 Azerbaijan

09 Portugal

10 Greece

11 Poland

12 Moldova

13 Iceland

14 Czech Republic

15 Cyprus

16 Armenia

17 Slovenia

18 Latvia

 

Semi 2

 

01 Serbia

02 Austria

03 FYR Macedonia

04 Malta

05 Romania

06 The Netherlands

07 Hungary

08 Denmark

09 Ireland

10 San Marino

11 Croatia

12 Norway

13 Switzerland

14 Belarus

15 Bulgaria

16 Lithuania

17 Estonia

18 Israel

 

Bold = qualifiers

Edited by Jerick

Final pre-rehearsal predictions:

 

SEMI-FINAL ONE

 

Overall Prediction - Televote Prediction - Jury Prediction

 

Certain Qualifiers

01 01 01 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Sweden_zpsnezpmv8t.png Sweden: Robin Bengtsson - I Can't Go On

02 02 04 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Portugal_zps7vkbxaog.png Portugal: Salvador Sobral - Amar Pelos Dois

03 06 02 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Belgium_zpsgqlbvvca.png Belgium: Blanche - City Lights

04 04 06 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Armenia_zpsjiyrkjce.png Armenia: Artsvik - Fly With Me

 

Likely Qualifiers

05 12 03 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Australia_zps5o2nr036.png Australia: Isaiah - Don't Come Easy

06 10 07 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Azerbaijan_zpssqath9zp.png Azerbaijan: Dihaj - Skeletons

07 03 15 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Greece_zpsantwlpxn.png Greece: Demy - This Is Love

 

Borderline Qualifiers

08 05 14 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Moldova_zpskrmsiqs0.png Moldova: Sunstroke Project - Hey Mamma

09 11 08 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Albania_zpsdptvyrbq.png Albania: Lindita - World

10 17 05 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Finland_zpsarga4ohv.png Finland: Norma John - Blackbird

11 09 13 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Latvia_zpslxnj1hdo.png Latvia: Triana Park - Line

12 07 16 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Poland_zpsjexo9jyj.png Poland: Kasia Moś - Flashlight

13 13 10 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Cyprus_zpswtpv5guj.png Cyprus: Hovig - Gravity

 

Unlikely Qualifiers

14 16 09 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Iceland_zpsg8alb0bx.png Iceland: Svala - Paper

15 08 18 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Montenegro_zps0neryit0.png Montenegro: Slavko Kalezić - Space

16 14 12 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Georgia_zpsz2krdsa5.png Georgia: Tamara Gachechiladze - Keep The Faith

 

Certain Non-Qualifiers

17 18 11 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Czech%20Republic_zpstrlogfyw.png Czech Republic: Martina Bárta - My Turn

18 15 17 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Slovenia_zpsdiaeju0y.png Slovenia: Omar Naber - On My Way

 

SEMI-FINAL TWO

 

Overall Prediction - Televote Prediction - Jury Prediction

 

Certain Qualifiers

01 01 01 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Bulgaria_zpsk1esazjf.png Bulgaria: Kristian Kostov - Beautiful Mess

02 04 06 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Israel_zpsyievgvoi.png Israel: IMRI - I Feel Alive

03 03 09 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Estonia_zps3ufzgkx8.png Estonia: Koit Toome and Laura - Verona

 

Likely Qualifiers

04 11 02 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Denmark_zps6s4bn5ae.png Denmark: Anja - Where I Am

05 08 05 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Serbia_zpsatium691.png Serbia: Tijana Bogićević - In Too Deep

06 12 03 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/The%20Netherlands_zpswvdcz8wq.png The Netherlands: OG3NE - Lights And Shadows

07 02 15 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Romania_zpsltozjcj6.png Romania: Ilinca ft. Alex Florea - Yodel It!

 

Borderline Qualifiers

08 13 04 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Norway_zpsgrplia4j.png Norway: JOWST - Grab The Moment

09 06 12 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Belarus_zps0zigzyi1.png Belarus: Naviband - Story Of My Life

10 07 11 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Austria_zpscoqaobgf.png Austria: Nathan Trent - Running On Air

11 05 14 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Hungary_zpsecmt8vsa.png Hungary: Joci Pápai - Origo

12 14 07 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Switzerland_zpspu8xjwlq.png Switzerland: Timebelle - Apollo

13 09 13 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/F.Y.R.%20Macedonia_zpsyp4hiqjd.png F.Y.R. Macedonia: Jana Burčeska - Dance Alone

 

Unlikely Qualifiers

14 16 08 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Ireland_zpswircvipr.png Ireland: Brendan Murray - Dying To Try

15 10 16 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Croatia_zpsdc9ptlqf.png Croatia: Jacques Houdek - My Friend

16 18 10 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Malta_zpsgggu5dck.png Malta: Claudia Faniello - Breathlessly

 

Certain Non-Qualifiers

17 15 18 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Lithuania_zpsiib7l7s3.png Lithuania: Fusedmarc - Rain Of Revolution

18 17 17 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/San%20Marino_zpsx3s6g8dc.png San Marino: Valentina Monetta & Jimmie Wilson - Spirit Of The Night

 

I can't wait for rehearsals to hopefully make things clearer, there's so much up in the air!

01 Greece

02 Sweden

03 Armenia

04 Belgium

05 Moldova

06 Latvia

07 Finland

08 Australia

09 Iceland

10 Albania

--

11 Azerbaijan

12 Slovenia

13 Portugal

14 Cyprus

15 Poland

16 Montenegro

17 Georgia

18 Czech Republic

 

01 Bulgaria

02 Romania

03 Israel

04 Belarus

05 Estonia

06 The Netherlands

07 Denmark

08 Serbia

09 Switzerland

10 Macedonia

---

11 Croatia

12 Hungary

13 Norway

14 Lithuania

15 Austria

16 Ireland

17 San Marino

18 Malta

 

Seeing as I haven't done any pre-rehearsal full predictions, here's my takes that I've been working on. Main point of interest that I haven't seen put forward yet is that Slovenia will do better than expected and I wouldn't even rule them out given they're the closest semi 1 has to a big dramatic finisher. I'm with Lex on Portugal too.

IN

01 Sweden

02 Latvia

03 Moldova

04 Greece

05 Australia

06 Finland

07 Belgium

08 Portugal

09 Azerbaijan

10 Albania

 

OUT

11 Poland

12 Montenegro

13 Armenia

14 Iceland

15 Cyprus

16 Georgia

17 Czech Republic

18 Slovenia

 

---

 

IN

01 Bulgaria

02 Romania

03 The Netherlands

04 Estonia

05 Israel

06 Macedonia

07 Belarus

08 Serbia

09 Hungary

10 Ireland

 

OUT

11 Austria

12 Switzerland

13 Norway

14 Croatia

15 Denmark

16 San Marino

17 Malta

18 Lithuania

 

Semi 1 felt easier to predict than Semi 2, going to be an exciting couple of weeks!

Main point of interest that I haven't seen put forward yet is that Slovenia will do better than expected and I wouldn't even rule them out given they're the closest semi 1 has to a big dramatic finisher.

Same thought here, that's why I have them as a qualifier in my pre-rehearshal prediction yesterday.

  • Author

My tentative pre-rehearsal predictions

 

Semi One

 

01 Sweden

02 Armenia

03 Belgium

04 Greece

05 Australia

06 Latvia

07 Azerbaijan

08 Moldova

09 Iceland

10 Albania

 

11 Poland

12 Portugal

13 Finland

14 Slovenia

15 Montenegro

16 Georgia

17 Czech Republic

18 Cyprus

 

Semi 2

 

01 Bulgaria

02 Netherlands

03 Romania

04 Israel

05 Denmark

06 Belarus

07 Estonia

08 Norway

09 Serbia

10 Austria

 

11 Macedonia

12 Croatia

13 Hungary

14 San Marino

15 Switzerland

16 Lithuania

17 Malta

18 Ireland

Albania suddenly getting in everyone's top 10s, you've started off a hype train Lex
  • Author
Albania suddenly getting in everyone's top 10s, you've started off a hype train Lex

 

What can I say, I have that kind of power over people!

IN

01 Sweden

02 Latvia

03 Moldova

04 Greece

05 Australia

06 Finland

07 Belgium

08 Portugal

09 Azerbaijan

10 Albania

 

OUT

11 Poland

12 Montenegro

13 Armenia

14 Iceland

15 Cyprus

16 Georgia

17 Czech Republic

18 Slovenia

 

---

 

IN

01 Bulgaria

02 Romania

03 The Netherlands

04 Estonia

05 Israel

06 Macedonia

07 Belarus

08 Serbia

09 Hungary

10 Ireland

 

OUT

11 Austria

12 Switzerland

13 Norway

14 Croatia

15 Denmark

16 San Marino

17 Malta

18 Lithuania

 

Semi 1 felt easier to predict than Semi 2, going to be an exciting couple of weeks!

 

Swap Austria with Ireland and I agree!

 

Gonna take a stab in the dark, I'm awful at predictiing Eurovision but we'll see how I do :kink:

 

Semi 1

01 Armenia: Artsvik - Fly With Me

02 Sweden: Robin Bengtsson - I Can't Go On

03 Greece: Demy - This Is Love

04 Finland: Finland - Norma John - Blackbird

05 Belgium: Blanche - City Lights

06 Azerbaijan: DiHaj - Skeletons

07 Latvia: Triana Park - Line

08 Australia: Isaiah - Don't Come Easy

09 Moldova: Sunstroke Project - Hey Mamma

10 Portugal: Salvador Sobral - Amar Pelos Dois

 

11 Poland: Kasia Mos - Flashlight

12 Albania: Lindita - World

13 Iceland: Svala - Paper

14 Cyprus - Hovig - Gravity

15 Montengro: Slavko Kalezic - Space

16 Czech Republic: Martina Barta - My Turn

17Georgia: Tamara Gachechiladze - Keep The Faith

18 Slovenia: Omar Naber - On My Way

 

Bit of a curveball with Armenia winning the semi, but not TOO far out of the realms of possibility that I'm being ridiculous I hope :lol:

 

 

Semi 2

 

01 Bulgaria: Kristian Kostov - Beautiful Mess

02 Netherlands: OG3NE - Lights And Shadows

03 Romania: Ilinca ft. Alex Florea - Yodel It

04 Denmark: Anja - Where I Am

05 Israel: IMRI - I Feel Alive

06 Estonia: Koit Toome & Laura - Verona

07 Macedonia: Jana Burčeska - Dance Alone

08 Belarus: Naviband - Story Of My Life

09 Serbia: Tijana Bogcevic - In Too Deep

10 Norway: JOWST - Grab The Moment

 

11 Switzerland: Timebelle - Apollo

12 Austria: Nathan Trent - Running On Air

13 Hungary: Joci Papai - Origo

14 Croatia: Jacques Houdek - My Friend

15 Malta: Clauda Faniello - Breathlessly

16 Ireland: Brendan Murray - Dying To Try

17 Lithuania: Fusedmarc - Rain Of Revolution

18 San Marino: Valentina Monetta & Jimmie Wilson - Spirit Of The Night

 

I am probably being optimistic in the cases of OG3NE and Anja, they both have that 90s sound but they're both fab and sure to be performed well so eh, I thought I'd think a bit outside the box as you can never take the obvious with Eurovision :lol: I hope I'm wrong about Apollo and Paper, the former has a better chance imo but it's in the more competitive semi so I'm just unsure it will quite make it :(

Final predictions:

 

SEMI-FINAL ONE

 

Overall Prediction - Televote Prediction - Jury Prediction

 

Certain Qualifiers

01 01 01 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Sweden_zpsnezpmv8t.png Sweden: Robin Bengtsson - I Can't Go On

02 02 05 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Portugal_zps7vkbxaog.png Portugal: Salvador Sobral - Amar Pelos Dois

03 04 06 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Armenia_zpsjiyrkjce.png Armenia: Artsvik - Fly With Me

 

Likely Qualifiers

04 11 02 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Belgium_zpsgqlbvvca.png Belgium: Blanche - City Lights

05 06 08 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Cyprus_zpswtpv5guj.png Cyprus: Hovig - Gravity

06 07 07 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Azerbaijan_zpssqath9zp.png Azerbaijan: Dihaj - Skeletons

07 03 13 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Moldova_zpskrmsiqs0.png Moldova: Sunstroke Project - Hey Mamma

 

Borderline Qualifiers

08 14 03 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Australia_zps5o2nr036.png Australia: Isaiah - Don't Come Easy

09 15 04 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Finland_zpsarga4ohv.png Finland: Norma John - Blackbird

10 05 15 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Greece_zpsantwlpxn.png Greece: Demy - This Is Love

11 09 11 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Latvia_zpslxnj1hdo.png Latvia: Triana Park - Line

 

Unlikely Qualifiers

12 10 12 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Albania_zpsdptvyrbq.png Albania: Lindita - World

13 12 10 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Georgia_zpsz2krdsa5.png Georgia: Tamara Gachechiladze - Keep The Faith

14 08 16 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Poland_zpsjexo9jyj.png Poland: Kasia Moś - Flashlight

15 17 09 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Iceland_zpsg8alb0bx.png Iceland: Svala - Paper

16 13 17 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Slovenia_zpsdiaeju0y.png Slovenia: Omar Naber - On My Way

 

Certain Non-Qualifiers

17 18 14 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Czech%20Republic_zpstrlogfyw.png Czech Republic: Martina Bárta - My Turn

18 16 18 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Montenegro_zps0neryit0.png Montenegro: Slavko Kalezić - Space

Some semi predictions ~

 

Semi 1

01 Sweden: Robin Bengtsson - I Can't Go On

02 Portugal: Salvador Sobral - Amar Pelos Dois

03 Armenia: Artsvik - Fly With Me

04 Finland: Norma John - Blackbird

05 Australia: Isaiah - Don't Come Easy

06 Cyprus: Hovig - Gravity

07 Azerbaijan: Dihaj - Skeletons

08 Moldova: Sunstroke Project - Hey Mamma

09 Belgium: Blanche - City Lights

10 Greece: Demy - This Is Love

-x-

11 Poland: Kasia Moś - Flashlight

12 Latvia: Triana Park - Line

13 Albania: Lindita - World

14 Iceland: Svala - Paper

15 Georgia: Tamara Gachechiladze - Keep The Faith

16 Czech Republic: Martina Bárta - My Turn

17 Montenegro: Slavko Kalezić - Space

18 Slovenia: Omar Naber - On My Way

 

 

Semi 2

01 Bulgaria: Kristian Kostov - Beautiful Mess

02 Romania: Ilinca ft. Alex Florea - Yodel It

03 Israel: IMRI - I Feel Alive

04 Estonia: Koit Toome & Laura - Verona

05 Belarus: Naviband - Story Of My Life

06 Netherlands: OG3NE - Lights And Shadows

07 Denmark: Anja - Where I Am

08 Hungary: Joci Papai - Origo

09 Austria: Nathan Trent - Running On Air

10 Serbia: Tijana Bogcevic - In Too Deep

-x-

11 Norway: JOWST - Grab The Moment

12 Switzerland: Timebelle - Apollo

13 Macedonia: Jana Burčeska - Dance Alone

14 Croatia: Jacques Houdek - My Friend

15 Malta: Clauda Faniello - Breathlessly

16 Lithuania: Fusedmarc - Rain Of Revolution

17 Ireland: Brendan Murray - Dying To Try

18 San Marino: Valentina Monetta & Jimmie Wilson - Spirit Of The Night

 

Final predictions:

 

SEMI-FINAL TWO

 

Overall Prediction - Televote Prediction - Jury Prediction

 

Certain Qualifiers

01 01 01 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Bulgaria_zpsk1esazjf.png Bulgaria: Kristian Kostov - Beautiful Mess

02 03 07 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Israel_zpsyievgvoi.png Israel: IMRI - I Feel Alive

03 06 05 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Estonia_zps3ufzgkx8.png Estonia: Koit Toome and Laura - Verona

 

Likely Qualifiers

04 11 02 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Denmark_zps6s4bn5ae.png Denmark: Anja - Where I Am

05 04 10 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Austria_zpscoqaobgf.png Austria: Nathan Trent - Running On Air

06 05 09 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Hungary_zpsecmt8vsa.png Hungary: Joci Pápai - Origo

 

Borderline Qualifiers

07 12 03 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/The%20Netherlands_zpswvdcz8wq.png The Netherlands: OG3NE - Lights And Shadows

08 08 08 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Serbia_zpsatium691.png Serbia: Tijana Bogićević - In Too Deep

09 02 16 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Romania_zpsltozjcj6.png Romania: Ilinca ft. Alex Florea - Yodel It!

10 07 11 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Belarus_zps0zigzyi1.png Belarus: Naviband - Story Of My Life

11 17 04 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Norway_zpsgrplia4j.png Norway: JOWST - Grab The Moment

12 09 12 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/F.Y.R.%20Macedonia_zpsyp4hiqjd.png F.Y.R. Macedonia: Jana Burčeska - Dance Alone

 

Unlikely Qualifiers

13 18 06 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Malta_zpsgggu5dck.png Malta: Claudia Faniello - Breathlessly

14 10 17 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Croatia_zpsdc9ptlqf.png Croatia: Jacques Houdek - My Friend

15 13 14 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Switzerland_zpspu8xjwlq.png Switzerland: Timebelle - Apollo

 

Certain Non-Qualifiers

16 15 13 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/San%20Marino_zpsx3s6g8dc.png San Marino: Valentina Monetta & Jimmie Wilson - Spirit Of The Night

17 16 15 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Ireland_zpswircvipr.png Ireland: Brendan Murray - Dying To Try

18 14 18 http://i1186.photobucket.com/albums/z369/RC741/Flag%20Icons/Lithuania_zpsiib7l7s3.png Lithuania: Fusedmarc - Rain Of Revolution

 

Haven't seen a full run through unlike with semi one so I'm going off reports for Switzerland here. I've seen some of Austria's jury performance too which sounded quite off key for the money note but seems to have gone under the radar so I'm presuming it wasn't a big deal in the context of the whole performance, nevertheless I've marked his jury score lower than I would've done.

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