March 13, 20187 yr The UK will crash and burn and everyone outside this forum will solely blame the result on Brexit and no other reason. They will also continue to blame Brexit for any non-winning result for the next decade (becoming the new "Iraq" c.2003-2008) until another convenient excuse arrives.
March 13, 20187 yr I’ll give this a whirl.. always good to laugh at in two months time Semi 1 01 Israel 02 Czech Republic 03 Estonia 04 Bulgaria 05 Austria 06 Belgium 07 Armenia 08 Cyprus 09 Azerbaijan 10 Lithuania 11 Belarus 12 Finland 13 Greece 14 Albania 15 FYR Macedonia 16 Ireland 17 Iceland 18 Croatia Semi 2 01 Sweden 02 Australia 03 Ukraine 04 Poland 05 Netherlands 06 Norway 07 Serbia 08 Romania 09 Russia 10 Hungary 11 Malta 12 Denmark 13 Georgia 14 Moldova 15 Latvia 16 Slovenia 17 Montenegro 18 San Marino There’s no denying Semi 1 is far, far superior but I feel there’s a marked difference between the quality entries and the remaining others. It felt easier to predict. My biggest fear is Finland - I think they are likely show closers and everything is being put in place to get a good result, but I’m worried this wont rise above the other bangers in the semi (also keeping myself emotionally prepared for Monsters to crash out). I expect big difference between jury and televotes between Belgium and Austria. Semi 2 seemed far easier to predict. Hungary will gain enough support from televote and jury to get them in, not to mention strong dyaspora. Malta will likely just miss out but will receive the usual friendly jury votes albeit not quite enough. I think Sweden will walk this - Australia is a bit too safe to go all the way. Edited March 13, 20187 yr by ScottyEm
March 14, 20187 yr SF1 1. FINLAND 2. ESTONIA 3. ISRAEL 4. CZECH REPUBLIC 5. IRELAND 6. BULGARIA 7. CYPRUS 8. BELGIUM 9. AUSTRIA 10. AZERBAIJAN 11. ARMENIA 12. GREECE 13. CROATIA 14. MACEDONIA 15. BELARUS 16. LITHUANIA 17. ALBANIA 18. SWITZERLAND 19. ICELAND I've gone for a 'shock' qualifier for Ireland - this is the one I'd gamble on doing well. It's beautiful and understated and I think draws comparisons to Tom Dice's "Me And My Guitar". Azerbaijan pushing Armenia out by one place would hurt in their rivalry for sure. Ironically they'd both qualify if they didn't always give each other 0. It'll be disappointing to see Macedonia go out having made so much effort for a 2nd year running. SF2 1. SWEDEN 2. AUSTRALIA 3. UKRAINE 4. RUSSIA 5. NETHERLANDS 6. POLAND 7. MALTA 8. NORWAY 9. HUNGARY 10. DENMARK 11. MOLDOVA 12. MONTENEGRO 13. ROMANIA 14. SAN MARINO 15. LATVIA 16. SERBIA 17. GEORGIA 18. SLOVENIA I'd say it's a bit more straightforward but Montenegro have the power to sneak in here I think - as do Romania even with this dross entry. Moldova hoping for a repeat of last year but will be disappointed - the first vocalist makes it incredibly cringe live. It sounds incredibly dated live. FINAL 1. FINLAND 2. ISRAEL 3. ESTONIA 4. CZECH REPUBLIC 5. SWEDEN 6. BULGARIA 7. FRANCE 8. AUSTRALIA 9. RUSSIA 10. SPAIN 11. UKRAINE 12. IRELAND 13. NETHERLANDS 14. CYPRUS 15. PORTUGAL 16. GERMANY 17. BELGIUM 18. ITALY 19. NORWAY 20. POLAND 21. HUNGARY 22. AUSTRIA 23. MALTA 24. AZERBAIJAN 25. DENMARK 26. UNITED KINGDOM I think the two things I'm gambling on really are me sticking to my guns with "Monsters" - it sounded like a winner when I first heard it - and Ireland sneaking a surprise. Israel could easily win this (as well as semi final 1) - but then so could Estonia. I've surprised myself in having Czech Republic as high as 4th. Spain on for their 3rd 10th place of the decade! Cyprus I hope will come higher than 14th. I think nothing is more nailed on than the UK in last place though this year - by quite some margin - and Denmark will fall very flat on stage having sneaked in to the final only just.
March 14, 20187 yr Gonna make some very premature predictions. Will be very interesting to see how far off these may be come May. Semi 2 felt a lot more difficult to predict honestly because all of the best songs are in Semi 1 while the second one is a lot more underwhelming. SEMI FINAL ONE 01 Estonia — "La Forza" 02 Czech Republic — "Lie To Me" 03 Bulgaria — "Bones" 04 Belgium — "A Matter Of Time" 05 Israel — "Toy" 06 Armenia — "Qami" 07 Greece — "Oneiro Mou" 08 Finland — "Monsters" 09 Cyprus — "Fuego" 10 Austria — "Nobody But You" 11 Croatia — "Crazy" 12 Azerbaijan — "X My Heart" 13 FYR Macedonia — "Lost & Found" 14 Belarus — "Forever" 15 Switzerland — "Stones" 16 Ireland — "Together" 17 Lithuania — "When We're Old" 18 Albania — "Mall" 19 Iceland — "Our Choice" SEMI FINAL TWO 01 Sweden — "Dance You Off" 02 Ukraine — "Under the Ladder" 03 Netherlands — "Outlaw In 'Em" 04 Montenegro — "Inje" 05 Russia — "I Won't Break" 06 Hungary — "Viszlát Nyár" 07 Moldova — "My Lucky Day" 08 Denmark — "Higher Ground" 09 Norway — "That's How You Write A Song" 10 Poland — "Light Me Up" 11 Latvia — "Funny Girl" 12 Serbia — "Nova Deca" 13 Georgia — "For You" 14 Australia — "We Got Love" 15 Romania — "Goodbye" 16 Malta — "Taboo" 17 San Marino — "Who We Are" 18 Slovenia — "Hvala, Ne!" Edited April 1, 20187 yr by cantthinkofaname
March 30, 20187 yr Having had some time to think it over, this is what I'd predict from the semis at this stage; Semi One Safe 01 Israel 02 Belgium 03 Bulgaria 04 Finland 05 Czech Republic 06 Estonia 07 Armenia Borderline IN 08 Cyprus 09 Lithuania 10 Austria Borderline OUT 11 Azerbaijan 12 Macedonia 13 Greece 14 Albania Struggling 15 Croatia 16 Ireland 17 Belarus 18 Switzerland 19 Iceland Semi Two Safe 01 Australia 02 Sweden 03 Ukraine Solid 04 Netherlands 05 Poland 06 Moldova Borderline IN 07 Denmark 08 Norway 09 Latvia 10 Malta Borderline OUT 11 Russia 12 Romania 13 Serbia Struggling 14 Montenegro 15 Georgia 16 Hungary 17 Slovenia Dead on Arrival 18 San Marino
April 1, 20187 yr Interesting to see a lot of ppl (and not just on here) are suggesting Azerbaijan will crash our? It’s far from groundbreaking but surely this will sail through even in this very dicey semi.
April 1, 20187 yr Updated prediction: SEMI FINAL ONE 01 Israel — "Toy" 02 Estonia — "La Forza" 03 Czech Republic — "Lie To Me" 04 Belgium — "A Matter Of Time" 05 Bulgaria — "Bones" 06 Cyprus — "Fuego" 07 Austria — "Nobody But You" 08 Greece — "Oneiro Mou" 09 Finland — "Monsters" 10 Armenia — "Qami" 11 Azerbaijan — "X My Heart" 12 Ireland — "Together" 13 Croatia — "Crazy" 14 Lithuania — "When We're Old" 15 Belarus — "Forever" 16 Switzerland — "Stones" 17 Albania — "Mall" 18 FYR Macedonia — "Lost & Found" 19 Iceland — "Our Choice" SEMI FINAL TWO 01 Sweden — "Dance You Off" 02 Ukraine — "Under the Ladder" 03 Netherlands — "Outlaw In 'Em" 04 Montenegro — "Inje" 05 Norway — "That's How You Write A Song" 06 Denmark — "Higher Ground" 07 Russia — "I Won't Break" 08 Hungary — "Viszlát Nyár" 09 Australia — "We Got Love" 10 Poland — "Light Me Up" 11 Latvia — "Funny Girl" 12 Serbia — "Nova Deca" 13 Georgia — "For You" 14 Moldova — "My Lucky Day" 15 Romania — "Goodbye" 16 Slovenia — "Hvala, Ne!" 17 San Marino — "Who We Are" 18 Malta — "Taboo" Not a lot of change but swapped Australia for Moldova, otherwise same qualifiers but different order in most places. Edited April 1, 20187 yr by cantthinkofaname
April 2, 20187 yr Wanna get some early predictions in before the running order announcement. Semi 1 IN Armenia Austria Bulgaria Cyprus Czech Republic Estonia Finland Greece Israel Lithuania OUT Albania Azerbaijan Belarus Belgium Croatia Iceland Ireland Macedonia Switzerland Semi 2 IN Australia Denmark Hungary Netherlands Norway Poland Romania Russia Sweden Ukraine OUT Georgia Latvia Malta Moldova Montenegro San Marino Serbia Slovenia
April 2, 20187 yr Based on my qualifier predictions earlier in the thread, this is my first guess at the Final results 01 Israel 02 Australia 03 Sweden 04 Belgium 05 Ukraine 06 France 07 Bulgaria 08 Netherlands 09 Finland 10 Czech Republic 11 Moldova 12 Denmark 13 Poland 14 Armenia 15 Estonia 16 Spain 17 Germany 18 Cyprus 19 Norway 20 Italy 21 Lithuania 22 Austria 23 Latvia 24 Portugal 25 United Kingdom 26 Malta
April 3, 20187 yr 01 Bulgaria — "Bones" 02 Israel — "Toy" 03 Sweden — "Dance You Off" 04 Estonia — "La Forza" 05 Czech Republic — "Lie To Me" 06 Belgium — "A Matter Of Time" 07 France — "Mercy" 08 Norway — "That's How You Write A Song" 09 Austria — "Nobody But You" 10 Italy — "Non Mi Avete Fatto Niente" 11 Finland — "Monsters" 12 Denmark — "Higher Ground" 13 Ukraine — "Under the Ladder" 14 Portugal — "O Jardim" 15 Netherlands — "Outlaw In 'Em" 16 Cyprus — "Fuego" 17 Montenegro — "Inje" 18 Greece — "Oneiro Mou" 19 Armenia — "Qami" 20 Russia — "I Won't Break" 21 Australia — "We Got Love" 22 United Kingdom — "Storm" 23 Hungary — "Viszlát Nyár" 24 Spain — "Tu Canción" 25 Germany — "You Let Me Walk Alone" 26 Poland — "Light Me Up" I don't know why but my gut is really telling me Bulgaria will take it this year. I think it will all depend on their live performance though, so I'll update this once rehearsals start.
April 3, 20187 yr Author Right here we go! While I've mostly stuck to the formula, Lex is right that dominating one vote or the other will gain more points than middling in both so I've reflected that in my overall positions. Semi Final 1 Overall - Televote - Jury Vote 01 02 01 Israel // Netta - Toy 02 01 05 Estonia // Elina Nechayeva - La Forza 03 03 04 Czech Republic // Mikolas Josef - Lie To Me 04 04 08 Cyprus // Eleni Foureira - Fuego 05 07 06 Lithuania // Ieva Zasimauskaitė - When We're Old 06 13 03 Bulgaria // Equinox - Bones 07 16 02 Belgium // Sennek - A Matter Of Time 08 05 13 Greece // Yianna Terzi - Oneiro Mou 09 06 15 Finland // Saara Aalto - Monsters 10 11 09 Ireland // Ryan O'Shaughnessy - Together 11 12 07 Albania // Eugent Bushpepa - Mall 12 09 12 Armenia // Sevak Khanagyan - Qami 13 10 14 Azerbaijan // Aisel - X My Heart 14 08 18 Belarus // Alekseev - Forever 15 17 10 Switzerland // Zibbz - Stones 16 18 11 Austria // Cesár Sampson - Nobody But You 17 14 17 Croatia // Franka - Crazy 18 15 16 F.Y.R. Macedonia // Eye Cue - Lost And Found 19 19 19 Iceland // Ari Ólafsson - Our Choice Semi Final 2 Overall - Televote - Jury Vote 01 04 01 Australia // Jessica Mauboy - We Got Love 02 03 02 Sweden // Benjamin Ingrosso - Dance You Off 03 02 04 Norway // Alexander Rybak - That's How You Write A Song 04 01 06 Ukraine // Mélovin - Under The Ladder 05 05 03 The Netherlands // Waylon - Outlaw In 'Em 06 07 07 Poland // Gromee ft. Lukas Meijer - Light Me Up 07 06 09 Moldova // DoReDos - My Lucky Day 08 08 08 Denmark // Rasmussen - Higher Ground 09 14 05 Malta // Christabelle - Taboo 10 10 11 Montenegro // Vanja Radovanović - Inje 11 09 14 Russia // Julia Samoylova - I Won't Break 12 16 10 Latvia // Laura Rizzotto - Funny Girl 13 11 16 Hungary // AWS - Viszlát nyár 14 13 13 Slovenia // Lea Sirk - Hvala, ne! 15 12 15 Serbia // Sanja Ilić & Balkanika - Nova deca 16 15 12 Romania // The Humans - Goodbye 17 17 18 San Marino // Jessika ft. Jenifer Brening - Who We Are 18 18 17 Georgia // Ethno-Jazz Band Iriao - For You And just for fun... Final Overall - Televote - Jury Vote 01 02 01 Israel // Netta - Toy 02 01 07 Estonia // Elina Nechayeva - La Forza 03 07 02 Australia // Jessica Mauboy - We Got Love 04 06 03 Sweden // Benjamin Ingrosso - Dance You Off 05 08 04 France // Madame Monsieur - Mercy 06 03 10 Norway // Alexander Rybak - That's How You Write A Song 07 05 09 Czech Republic // Mikolas Josef - Lie To Me 08 04 11 Ukraine // Mélovin - Under The Ladder 09 13 06 The Netherlands // Waylon - Outlaw In 'Em 10 21 05 Belgium // Sennek - A Matter Of Time 11 18 08 Bulgaria // Equinox - Bones 12 09 19 Poland // Gromee ft. Lukas Meijer - Light Me Up 13 10 21 Moldova // DoReDos - My Lucky Day 14 11 20 Finland // Saara Aalto - Monsters 15 14 16 Lithuania // Ieva Zasimauskaitė - When We're Old 16 16 14 Germany // Michael Schulte - You Let Me Walk Alone 17 15 17 Cyprus // Eleni Foureira - Fuego 18 12 23 Montenegro // Vanja Radovanović - Inje 19 19 15 Italy // Ermal Meta & Fabrizio Moro - Non Mi Avete Fatto Niente 20 24 12 Malta // Christabelle - Taboo 21 23 13 Portugal // Cláudia Pascoal - O Jardim 22 17 18 Greece // Yianna Terzi - Oneiro Mou 23 20 22 Denmark // Rasmussen - Higher Ground 24 22 25 Spain // Alfred & Amaia - Tu Canción 25 25 24 Ireland // Ryan O'Shaughnessy - Together 26 26 26 United Kingdom // SuRie - Storm
April 3, 20187 yr Interesting that you see Israel doing better with the jury than the televote, most people seem to have it the other way round.
April 3, 20187 yr Author Indeed, Israel is more of a default jury winner in that there's no song that screams I will landslide the jury a la Dami, Salvador whereas I could easily pick out a stand-out in Estonia than the televoters will grasp on to.
April 7, 20187 yr Semi 1 predictions: 01 Israel 02 Czech Republic 03 Estonia 04 Belgium 05 Austria 06 Cyprus 07 Bulgaria 08 Greece 09 Armenia 10 Finland ------ 11 Azerbaijan 12 Lithuania 13 Albania 14 Belarus 15 Ireland 16 FYR Macedonia 17 Switzerland 18 Croatia 19 Iceland
April 7, 20187 yr Semi Final 1 01 Azerbaijan - Aisel - X My Heart 02 Iceland - Ari Ólafsson - Our Choice 03 Albania - Eugent Bushpepa - Mall 04 Belgium - Sennek - A Matter of Time 05 Czech Republic - Mikolas Josef - Lie to Me 06 Lithuania - Ieva Zasimauskaitė - When We're Old 07 Israel - Netta - Toy 08 Belarus - Alekseev - Forever 09 Estonia - Elina Nechayeva - La forza 10 Bulgaria - Equinox - Bones 11 Macedonia - Eye Cue - Lost and Found 12 Croatia - Franka - Crazy 13 Austria - Cesár Sampson - Nobody but You 14 Greece - Yianna Terzi - Oneiro mou 15 Finland - Saara Aalto - Monsters 16 Armenia - Sevak Khanagyan - Qami 17 Switzerland - Zibbz - Stones 18 Ireland - Ryan O'Shaughnessy - Together 19 Cyprus - Eleni Foureira - Fuego Semi Final 2 01 Norway - Alexander Rybak - That's How You Write a Song 02 Romania - The Humans - Goodbye 03 Serbia - Sanja Ilić & Balkanika - Nova deca (Нова деца) 04 San Marino - Jessika feat. Jenifer Brening - Who We Are 05 Denmark - Rasmussen - Higher Ground 06 Russia - Julia Samoylova - I Won't Break 07 Moldova - DoReDos - My Lucky Day 08 Netherlands - Waylon - Outlaw in 'Em 09 Australia - Jessica Mauboy - We Got Love 10 Georgia - Iriao - For You 11 Poland - Gromee feat. Lukas Meijer - Light Me Up 12 Malta - Christabelle - Taboo 13 Hungary - AWS - Viszlát nyár 14 Latvia - Laura Rizzotto - Funny Girl 15 Sweden - Benjamin Ingrosso - Dance You Off 16 Montenegro - Vanja Radovanović - Inje 17 Slovenia - Lea Sirk - Hvala, ne! 18 Ukraine - Mélovin - Under the Ladder Bold = who I think will qualify
April 23, 20187 yr Less than a week till rehearsals kick off, here's some post running order, but pre rehearsals predictions. Semi 1 01. Israel // Netta - TOY 02. Bulgaria // EQUINOX - Bones 03. Estonia // Elina Nechayeva - La Forza 04. Cyprus // Eleni Foureira - Fuego 05. Austria // Cesár Sampson - Nobody But You 06. Czech Republic // Mikolas Josef - Lie To Me 07. Greece // Yianna Terzi - Oneiro Mou 08. Armenia // Sevak Khanagyan - Qami 09. Finland // Saara Aalto - Monsters 10. Azerbaijan // Aisel - X My Heart --- 11. Belgium // Sennek - A Matter Of Time 12. Lithuania // Ieva Zasimauskaitė - When We're Old 13. Macedonia // Eye Cue - Lost & Found 14. Albania // Eugent Bushpepa - Mall 15. Belarus // ALEKSEEV - Forever 16. Switzerland // ZiBBZ - Stones 17. Ireland // Ryan O'Shaughnessy - Together 18. Croatia // Franka - Crazy 19. Iceland // Ari Ólafsson - Our Choice The semi of death doesn't get any easier. I can see any combination of the top 15 here making it through. Switzerland, Ireland, Croatia and Iceland are all dead on arrival I believe. Semi 2 01. Sweden // Benjamin Ingrosso - Dance You Off 02. Ukraine // MELOVIN - Under The Ladder 03. Australia // Jessica Mauboy - We Got Love 04. Hungary // AWS - Viszlát Nyár 05. The Netherlands // Waylon - Outlaw In 'Em 06. Norway // Alexander Rybak - That's How You Write A Song 07. Poland // Gromee ft. Lukas Meijer - Light Me Up 08. Denmark // Rasmussen - Higher Ground 09. Russia // Julia Samoylova - I Won't Break 10. Malta // Christabelle - Taboo --- 11. Romania // The Humans - Goodbye 12. Serbia // Sanja Ilić & Balkanika - Nova Deca 13. Montenegro // Vanja Radovanović - Inje 14. Moldova // DoReDos - My Lucky Day 15. Latvia // Laura Rizzotto - Funny Girl 16. San Marino // Jessika ft. Jenifer Brening - Who We Are 17. Georgia // Ethno-Jazz Band Iriao - For You 18. Slovenia // Lea Sirk - Hvala, Ne! The top 8 I've put here feel certain to make it (devastatingly so in the case of #6), whereas the last two spots are pretty much up for grabs. Feeling San Marino, Georgia and Slovenia are definitely staying in the semi regardless.
April 24, 20187 yr Semi 1 predictions: 01 Israel 02 Czech Republic 03 Estonia 04 Belgium 05 Austria 06 Cyprus 07 Bulgaria 08 Greece 09 Armenia 10 Finland ------ 11 Azerbaijan 12 Lithuania 13 Albania 14 Belarus 15 Ireland 16 FYR Macedonia 17 Switzerland 18 Croatia 19 Iceland Semi 2 predictions: 01 Sweden 02 Australia 03 Ukraine 04 The Netherlands 05 Poland 06 Norway 07 Hungary 08 Romania 09 Denmark 10 Moldova --------------------- 11 Latvia 12 Russia 13 Georgia 14 Malta 15 Serbia 16 Montenegro 17 Slovenia 18 San Marino
April 26, 20187 yr I'm actually gutted to see most of my faves are in semi finale 1 - like all of them. I only have two songs from semi-finale 2 in my top 10 and they're 8th and 10th... :cry:
April 28, 20187 yr 02 01 07 Estonia // Elina Nechayeva - La Forza Oh f***ing CHRIST, why is this a thing :drama: I was hoping it'd be a 15th placer in the semi or something, I thought we'd suffered enough with last years winner.
April 28, 20187 yr I had a dream Australia won and I was crying for hours, Mystic Liam's subconscious to be right plz xx
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