Tweet from Election Maps UK -

 

My current polling average puts:

 

LAB at a 15 month low, w/ 36.7%

LDM at a 16 month high, w/ 9.7%

CON at a post-chequers high, w/ 39.3%

 

Don't like to read TOO much into opinion polls, but suggests that LAB are losing supporters from both sides of the Brexit divide.

Latest from Ipsos/Mori

 

Con - 39

Lab - 37

LibD - 13

 

Usual caveats (only one poll, blah, blah, blah) apply.

Slightly more details on that poll...

 

CON: 39% (+1)

LAB: 37% (-1)

LDEM: 13% (+3)

GRN: 5% (+2)

UKIP: 2% (-4)

 

via @IpsosMORI, 14 - 18 Sep

Chgs. w/ 24 Jul

 

Note that the polling started before the Lib Dem conference, not that it was exactly prominent in the news bulletins.

Slightly more details on that poll...

 

CON: 39% (+1)

LAB: 37% (-1)

LDEM: 13% (+3)

GRN: 5% (+2)

UKIP: 2% (-4)

 

via @IpsosMORI, 14 - 18 Sep

Chgs. w/ 24 Jul

 

Note that the polling started before the Lib Dem conference, not that it was exactly prominent in the news bulletins.

 

it's always interesting to see how the party conferences affect them.

Westminster voting intention:

 

LAB: 39% (+1)

CON: 37% (-2)

LDEM: 9% (+2)

UKIP: 8% (+1)

GRN: 2% (-1)

 

via @OpiniumResearch, 18 - 20 Sep

https://www.opinium.co.uk/political-polling...ptember-2018-2/

 

Over half (56%) of the public think that there should be another general election if the UK does not secure a deal with the EU by 29th March 2019

Westminster voting intention:

 

LAB: 39% (+1)

CON: 37% (-2)

LDEM: 9% (+2)

UKIP: 8% (+1)

GRN: 2% (-1)

 

via @OpiniumResearch, 18 - 20 Sep

https://www.opinium.co.uk/political-polling...ptember-2018-2/

 

Over half (56%) of the public think that there should be another general election if the UK does not secure a deal with the EU by 29th March 2019

 

Their level of indicated UKIP support is far higher than the others. :huh:

See how quiet/boring this forum gets when I hardly post. :P

 

YOuGov poll

 

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2018/09/28/voting...bour-36-24-25-/

Some more polling from BMG (28/29 September)

 

Westminster voting intention:

 

LAB: 40% (+2)

CON: 35% (-3)

LDEM: 12% (+2)

UKIP: 5% (-)

 

via @BMGResearch, 28 - 29 Sep: https://www.bmgresearch.co.uk/huffpost-bmg-...olling-results/

Chgs. w/ 22 Sep

 

and on that EU question:

 

REMAIN: 47%

LEAVE: 43%

PLEASE STOP ASKING ME THIS QUESTION/DON'T KNOW: 10%

THere does seem to be more variation between polls now...

Update :

 

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/

Tories must be BRICKING IT

 

Even their biased polls aren't doing much for them. They are over.

Tories must be BRICKING IT

 

Even their biased polls aren't doing much for them. They are over.

 

Or not, according to the latest : http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/

Or not, according to the latest : http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/

 

Update

The latest poll from Survation (9 November) shows the two largest parties still neck-and-neck. The splits for 18-24, 25-34 and 35-44 are v interesting though which shows that the Conservatives have a big problem with the under 45s!

 

https://www.survation.com/labour-narrowly-l...intention-poll/

 

Snap election now could see Corbyn as Prime Minister propped up by Nicola Sturgeon's SNP, poll finds

 

Theresa May fighting to salvage her Brexit deal ahead of crunch Commons vote

Fears rising of a snap election as Parliament looks to be in deadlock over options

Poll of polls shows as of now Tories could be largest party but out of government

 

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-64...ropped-SNP.html

Hopes!!

 

Yippee!!

Hopes!!

 

Yippee!!

 

I'm not sure where they get 43 SNP MP's from, though? They currently have 35, and they'd probably lose as many to Lab as they might gain from Tories.

Thanks to the Fixed Term Parliament Act (cheers Nick Clegg...) there won't be a snap general election. I cannot see the appetite for it from 2/3 of the HoC -

 

Secondly, even IF there were to be a snap election, the result would likely be the same hung parliament we have currently (going on recent Opinion Polls) with no party nor coalition able to command a majority.

Thanks to the Fixed Term Parliament Act (cheers Nick Clegg...) there won't be a snap general election. I cannot see the appetite for it from 2/3 of the HoC -

 

Secondly, even IF there were to be a snap election, the result would likely be the same hung parliament we have currently (going on recent Opinion Polls) with no party nor coalition able to command a majority.

 

I cannot see the opposition winning a no-confidence vote anyway - whatever the issues within the Tory party over Brexit, and others, they will surely be united in wanting to prevent an early election!

So you admit the Tories know they are done?