May 12, 20196 yr That 2nd half is looking absolutely tragic already :lol: Tbh I've always wondered why the drawing is done this way, instead of all at once. It seems a tad weird that semi 2 finalist can statistically be royally screwed or at a big advantage depending on the draws of the big 5 and semi 1 finalists
May 12, 20196 yr If we look at when the winner has performed in the last 10 years.. 2009 * #20 2010 * #22 2011 * #19 2012 * #17 2013 * #18 2014 * #11 2015 * #10 2016 * #21 2017 * #11 2018 * #22 We can safely assume the winner will be the 17th song to perform on Saturday. (Avg. 17,1)
May 12, 20196 yr They'd have the same overall chance to be drawn anywhere no matter when they are drawn, but because of the gap in doing so it can appear as if they had less chance. Taking their chances to get a particular half after the event's halfway done will naturally appear skewed.
May 12, 20196 yr Basically, if any of the favourites are drawn in the first half, they'll be placed as close to the interval as possible! When did the last winner last perform in the single digits?
May 12, 20196 yr Basically, if any of the favourites are drawn in the first half, they'll be placed as close to the interval as possible! When did the last winner last perform in the single digits? Sertab won performing 4th for Turkey in 2003
May 14, 20196 yr Greece: 1st half Belarus: 2nd half Serbia: 2nd half Cyprus: 1st half :’) Estonia: 2nd half Czech Relublic: 1st half
May 14, 20196 yr these second half spots are vanishing quickly! would be very interesting to see lots of the big favourites from semi 2 in the first half of the final
May 14, 20196 yr Author First Half Greece Cyprus Czech Republic San Marino Slovenia Second Half Belarus Serbia Estonia Australia Iceland Only 3 spots left in the second half lol
May 14, 20196 yr Author Will Christer stick San Marino on first though? Think Czechia would be a good opener actually.
May 14, 20196 yr To be fair it's only the big five and Israel who have skewed it! That's a perfectly even draw for semi one. No major impacts from that draw, think Greece would be the main losers from that. The others would do similarly wherever they placed. Serbia could be the biggest winners from that draw. A 24/25/26th placed ballad tends to overachieve.
May 14, 20196 yr I think Australia is the show closer! I feel that in the same way it felt right for Italy 2015 to close. Or were they penultimate, was very drunk that year :lol:
May 14, 20196 yr Will Christer stick San Marino on first though? Think Czechia would be a good opener actually. It feels like SUCH an obvious opener to me @ San Marino!
May 16, 20196 yr Author GO GO GO! First Half Albania Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Germany Greece Malta North Macedonia Russia San Marino Slovenia Sweden The Netherlands Second Half Australia Azerbaijan Belarus Estonia France Iceland Israel (#14) Italy Norway Serbia Spain Switzerland United Kingdom
May 16, 20196 yr 01 Czech Republic 02 Germany 03 Albania 04 Slovenia 05 San Marino 06 North Macedonia 07 Denmark 08 Russia 09 Sweden 10 Greece 11 Malta 12 Netherlands 13 Cyprus 14 Israel 15 Estonia 16 Azerbaijan 17 Belarus 18 United Kingdom 19 Iceland 20 Serbia 21 Spain 22 Italy 23 Norway 24 France 25 Switzerland 26 Australia
May 16, 20196 yr Author 01. Czech Republic // Lake Malawi - Friend Of A Friend 02. Denmark // Leonora - Love Is Forever 03. North Macedonia // Tamara Todevska - Proud 04. San Marino // Serhat - Say Na Na Na 05. Germany // S!sters - Sister 06. Albania // Jonida Maliqi - Ktheju Tokës 07. Sweden // John Lundvik - Too Late For Love 08. Slovenia // Zala Kralj & Gašper Šantl - Sebi 09. Cyprus // Tamta - Replay 10. Russia // Sergey Lazarev - Scream 11. Greece // Katerine Duska - Better Love 12. The Netherlands // Duncan Laurence - Arcade 13. Malta // Michela - Chameleon 14. Israel // Kobi Marimi - Home 15. Estonia // Victor Crone - Storm 16. Belarus // Zena - Like It 17. Italy // Mahmood - Soldi 18. Norway // KEiiNO - Spirit In The Sky 19. Serbia // Nevena Božović - Kruna 20. Azerbaijan // Chingiz - Truth 21. United Kingdom // Michael Rice - Bigger Than Us 22. Iceland // Hatari - Hatrið Mun Sigra 23. Switzerland // Luca Hänni - She Got Me 24. Australia // Kate Miller-Heidke - Zero Gravity 25. France // Bilal Hassani - Roi 26. Spain // Miki - La Venda
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