Wow would have been a 27 point lead for Labour if they kept their old methodology

 

Preach!!

All the polls today showed a similar theme, reform up big and Labour down a little. Possible that reform are taking some Labour voters.

 

https://x.com/survation/status/1798751741057409248?s=46

 

https://x.com/politlcsuk/status/1798740100454764928?s=46

Thanks to Nazi Farage

Sad to see so many people who clearly only care about personality and not policy. No one who cares about policy could vote for Reform.

Football match politics. He'll fade closer to the date as always. This may actuslly allow Labour to tske the Clatham seat though.

Well the Labour leads are stupidly high over 20 points. If they are under 15 will start worrying. But yes Reform are prob taking some of the anti Tory vote from Labour. But as long as the Tories don't recover themselves (very unlikely with Sunak) and no Reform/Tory deals - could only be for a few gammony Tory MPs then nothing to worry about. Can't see anyone apart from Farage winning a seat.

The nominations close tomorrow at 4pm, so if there is a deal to be reached between Sunak and Farage he's cutting it fine.

The nominations close tomorrow at 4pm, so if there is a deal to be reached between Sunak and Farage he's cutting it fine.

 

There'll be no deal this time.

 

The five way Workers Party / Reform / Labour / Tory / Lib Dem split could through up some very interesting results in even some of our safer seats. Could see Reform polling quite well in my area (north east) and even more complicated with Greens polling not far behind the Lib Dems and obviously PC and SNP in the devolved nations.

 

Think a lot of seats are going to be won with 30-40% of the vote rather 45-55%. Might even see seats won with 20-30% in some areas of the country.

Candidates can withdraw in the week after nominations close. There is still time for Farage’s fascists to pull out of Tory seats.

Analysis of the local election results is best to see where voters came from to vote reform because they stood in some seats where the tories were dominating and took them close and in Labour areas were less successful!

But if they did stand candidates down en masse then that would not really help the Tories much as people want the Tories out full stop. Would also ruin Reform'/Farage's brand as they pledged 100% not to do it. Hence why Farage himself is standing in Clacton - in 2019 he didn't stand anywhere.

 

Their goal is not to help the Tories win, it's post election strategy is to infiltrate the Tories 100% with Farage as next leader of a demoralised Tory party or if that doesn't work, replace the Tories.

Edited June 6, 20241 yr by Smint

But if they did stand candidates down en masse then that would not really help the Tories much as people want the Tories out full stop. Would also ruin Reform'/Farage's brand as they pledged 100% not to do it. Hence why Farage himself is standing in Clacton - in 2019 he didn't stand anywhere.

 

Their goal is not to help the Tories win, it's post election strategy is to infiltrate the Tories 100% with Farage as next leader of a demoralised Tory party or if that doesn't work, replace the Tories.

 

100% this

 

Farage is angling to become prime minister

 

This is a Mosley moment for British politics!

Farage is going go get it, unless Lab and Tories comr together and vote evil Tory!! Worth itto keep Super Fash away from politics.

It's for the Mail and therefore published on that paper's site but Deltapoll's has the Tories on just 39 seats.

Edited June 8, 20241 yr by DoBelieveTheHype

The polls coming out now had most of the fieldwork BEFORÈ D Day, so it'll have to be the batch after these ones to see the damage.

Yougov article showing the most popular policies with the public.

 

https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/4965...-people-support

 

1. LD (tackling river sewage) - 87% support

2. LD (cutting VAT on kids' toothbrushes and toothpaste) - 83%

3. LD (free school meals for all primary school kids in England) - 74%

4. Lab (GB energy) - 74%

5. Con (raising OAP income tax threshold) - 73%

6. Lab (tackling NHS waiting lists) - 68%

7. LD (mental health professionals in schools) - 67%

8. Lab (charging VAT on private school fees) - 61%

9. Con (expanding levelling-up programme) - 61%

10. Con (low-level offenders receiving points on driving licence) - 58%

11. Lab (nuclear deterrent triple lock) - 53%

12. Con (amending Equality Act so sex based rights apply to biological sex) - 50%

13. Con (cutting university degrees) - 49%

14. Con/Lab (maintaining tax levels) - 46%

15. LD (making 10 Premier League football matches free) - 46%

16. Con (national service) - 39%

17. Lab (reducing voting age to 16) - 32%

 

 

Great for LD!

"The most recent poll, by Deltapoll, which was carried out online from Thursday June 6 to Saturday June 8 among 2,010 adults in Britain, gives Labour a 25-point lead over the Conservatives.

 

The figures are Labour 46%, Conservative 21%, Reform 12%, Lib Dems 9%, Green 5%, SNP 4%, Plaid Cymru 1% and other parties 1%.

 

An average of all polls that were carried out wholly or partly during the seven days to June 10 puts Labour on 43%, 21 points ahead of the Conservatives on 22%, followed by Reform on 14%, the Lib Dems on 10% and the Greens on 6%."

 

https://www.edp24.co.uk/news/national/24377...ction-campaign/

@1800211448234467631

Surprised the tories haven’t dropped but encouraging nonetheless. Eww at Reform but expected.