Predicting the future potentially 😂

Week 29:

1	1	Sabrina Carpenter	Short n' Sweet	376,000	750,000
2	2	Ed Sheeran	+-=÷x (Tour Collection)	241,000	340,000
3	3	Sam Fender	People Watching	197,000
4	4	Fleetwood Mac	50 Years: Don't Stop	196,000	1,660,000
5	5	The Weeknd	The Highlights	187,000	1,420,000
6	9	Oasis	Time Flies... 1994-2009	181,000	2,210,000
7	6	Chappell Roan	The Rise And Fall Of A Midwest Princess	170,000	470,000
8	7	SZA	SOS	168,000	650,000
9	8	Elton John	Diamonds	166,000	1,820,000
10	10	Charli XCX	Brat	160,000	450,000
11	11	Billie Eilish	Hit Me Hard And Soft	154,000	500,000
12	12	Tate McRae	So Close To What	152,000
13	13	Noah Kahan	Stick Season	147,000	620,000
14	14	Taylor Swift	The Tortured Poets Department	140,000	920,000
15	15	ABBA	Gold: Greatest Hits	140,000	6,040,000
16	16	Lady Gaga	Mayhem	136,000
17	17	Michael Jackson	The Essential	136,000	1,970,000
18	18	Central Cee	Can't Rush Greatness	132,000
19	23	Oasis	(What's The Story) Morning Glory	131,000	5,440,000
20	19	Arctic Monkeys	AM	131,000	2,230,000
21	20	Eminem	Curtain Call: The Hits	128,000	3,440,000
22	22	Fleetwood Mac	Rumours	126,000	2,670,000
23	21	Gracie Abrams	The Secret Of Us	124,000	260,000
24	24	Olivia Rodrigo	Guts	118,000	610,000
25	25	Linkin Park	Papercuts	117,000	290,000
26	26	Olivia Rodrigo	Sour	116,000	1,170,000
27	27	Alex Warren	You'll Be Alright Kid (Chapter 1)	107,000	130,000
28	36	Oasis	Definitely Maybe	100,000	2,900,000
29	31	Calvin Harris	96 Months	100,000	170,000
30	32	Benson Boone	Fireworks & Rollerblades	99,000	220,000
31	29	Ariana Grande	Eternal Sunshine	99,000	280,000
32	30	Kendrick Lamar	GNX	99,000	160,000
33	28	The Weeknd	Hurry Up Tomorrow	99,000
34	33	Queen	Greatest Hits	97,000	3,140,000
35	34	Pitbull	Greatest Hits	96,000	560,000
36	35	PartyNextDoor & Drake	$ome $exy $ongs 4 U	94,000
37	38	Ed Sheeran	÷	91,000	4,420,000
38	37	Post Malone	The Diamond Collection	91,000	420,000
39	39	Billy Joel	Piano Man: The Very Best Of Billy Joel	88,000	1,630,000
40	40	Fontaines D.C.	Romance	87,000	200,000

 

Where do yall think Time Flies will end up?

2 minutes ago, EmailsICantChase said:

Where do yall think Time Flies will end up?

Could end up at #3 at this rate, maybe even #2 if the boost lasts long enough. Worst case probably #4 if Fleetwood Mac do have some sort of comeback.

I guess I’m assuming we also don’t get anything absolutely huge from the likes of Taylor or Sabrina.

Sabrina is releasing but yeah no guarantees itll be SNS huge

32 minutes ago, Julian_ said:

Could end up at #3 at this rate, maybe even #2 if the boost lasts long enough. Worst case probably #4 if Fleetwood Mac do have some sort of comeback.

I guess I’m assuming we also don’t get anything absolutely huge from the likes of Taylor or Sabrina.

The promo seems to be for a Buckingham Nicks remaster

Theres a lot of rumblings about TS12, if that comes out in like October or earlier i'd call that my favorite for #1

14 minutes ago, 777666jason said:

Sabrina is releasing but yeah no guarantees itll be SNS huge

Even SNS big would mean somewhere around 360k with how many weeks MBF has to gain. Are we thinking 360k is more than what Time Flies will get?

1 hour ago, EmailsICantChase said:

The promo seems to be for a Buckingham Nicks remaster

Theres a lot of rumblings about TS12, if that comes out in like October or earlier i'd call that my favorite for #1

Even SNS big would mean somewhere around 360k with how many weeks MBF has to gain. Are we thinking 360k is more than what Time Flies will get?

Be hard to guess , but manchild hasn't been as huge as the 3 SNS tracks preceding the album , so literally anything could happen at this point

36 minutes ago, 777666jason said:

Be hard to guess , but manchild hasn't been as huge as the 3 SNS tracks preceding the album , so literally anything could happen at this point

Oh yeah, I dont think itll be SNS big, you cant reproduce the success thats created when you have the 2 biggest songs of the summer to promote your album. Her name has grown according to luminate thanks to short n sweet deluxe and fortnite and whatnot, so maybe she can have a better week 1, but that level of sustainability will be difficult/impossible. But I guess my point is if theoretically mbf gets the numbers sns got in its first 17-18 weeks (what mbf will get for this year), to me Oasis seems like theyre gonna get more than that.

Week 30:

1	1	Sabrina Carpenter	Short n' Sweet	383,000	760,000
2	2	Ed Sheeran	+-=÷x (Tour Collection)	249,000	350,000
3	4	Fleetwood Mac	50 Years: Don't Stop	204,000	1,670,000
4	3	Sam Fender	People Watching	199,000
5	6	Oasis	Time Flies... 1994-2009	197,000	2,230,000
6	5	The Weeknd	The Highlights	193,000	1,430,000
7	7	Chappell Roan	The Rise And Fall Of A Midwest Princess	174,000	470,000
8	8	SZA	SOS	172,000	650,000
9	9	Elton John	Diamonds	171,000	1,830,000
10	10	Charli XCX	Brat	164,000	450,000
11	11	Billie Eilish	Hit Me Hard And Soft	160,000	510,000
12	12	Tate McRae	So Close To What	155,000
13	13	Noah Kahan	Stick Season	152,000	620,000
14	15	ABBA	Gold: Greatest Hits	144,000	6,050,000
15	19	Oasis	(What's The Story) Morning Glory	143,000	5,450,000
16	14	Taylor Swift	The Tortured Poets Department	143,000	930,000
17	17	Michael Jackson	The Essential	140,000	1,980,000
18	16	Lady Gaga	Mayhem	138,000
19	20	Arctic Monkeys	AM	135,000	2,230,000
20	18	Central Cee	Can't Rush Greatness	133,000
21	21	Eminem	Curtain Call: The Hits	132,000	3,450,000
22	22	Fleetwood Mac	Rumours	131,000	2,670,000
23	27	Alex Warren	You'll Be Alright Kid (Chapter 1)	128,000	150,000
24	23	Gracie Abrams	The Secret Of Us	126,000	260,000
25	24	Olivia Rodrigo	Guts	122,000	620,000
26	25	Linkin Park	Papercuts	122,000	290,000
27	26	Olivia Rodrigo	Sour	120,000	1,170,000
28	28	Oasis	Definitely Maybe	109,000	2,910,000
29	29	Calvin Harris	96 Months	103,000	170,000
30	30	Benson Boone	Fireworks & Rollerblades	102,000	220,000
31	31	Ariana Grande	Eternal Sunshine	102,000	280,000
32	32	Kendrick Lamar	GNX	102,000	160,000
33	34	Queen	Greatest Hits	100,000	3,140,000
34	33	The Weeknd	Hurry Up Tomorrow	100,000
35	35	Pitbull	Greatest Hits	99,000	570,000
36	36	PartyNextDoor & Drake	$ome $exy $ongs 4 U	97,000
37	37	Ed Sheeran	÷	94,000	4,430,000
38	38	Post Malone	The Diamond Collection	94,000	430,000
39	40	Fontaines D.C.	Romance	93,000	210,000
40	39	Billy Joel	Piano Man: The Very Best Of Billy Joel	91,000	1,630,000
70	71	Sleep Token	Even In Arcadia	67,000
98	-	Myles Smith	A Minute…	53,000	60,000
-	99	Harry Styles	Harry's House	53,000	900,000

 

^think your figure for PartyNextDoor & Drake is off

Week 31:

1	1	Sabrina Carpenter	Short n' Sweet	390,000	760,000
2	2	Ed Sheeran	+-=÷x (Tour Collection)	257,000	360,000
3	5	Oasis	Time Flies... 1994-2009	213,000	2,250,000
4	3	Fleetwood Mac	50 Years: Don't Stop	212,000	1,680,000
5	4	Sam Fender	People Watching	202,000
6	6	The Weeknd	The Highlights	198,000	1,430,000
7	7	Chappell Roan	The Rise And Fall Of A Midwest Princess	177,000	480,000
8	8	SZA	SOS	176,000	660,000
9	9	Elton John	Diamonds	176,000	1,830,000
10	10	Charli XCX	Brat	169,000	460,000
11	11	Billie Eilish	Hit Me Hard And Soft	165,000	510,000
12	12	Tate McRae	So Close To What	158,000
13	13	Noah Kahan	Stick Season	156,000	630,000
14	15	Oasis	(What's The Story) Morning Glory	155,000	5,460,000
15	14	ABBA	Gold: Greatest Hits	149,000	6,050,000
16	16	Taylor Swift	The Tortured Poets Department	145,000	930,000
17	17	Michael Jackson	The Essential	145,000	1,980,000
18	18	Lady Gaga	Mayhem	139,000
19	23	Alex Warren	You'll Be Alright Kid (Chapter 1)	139,000	160,000
20	19	Arctic Monkeys	AM	139,000	2,240,000
21	22	Fleetwood Mac	Rumours	136,000	2,680,000
22	20	Central Cee	Can't Rush Greatness	135,000
23	21	Eminem	Curtain Call: The Hits	135,000	3,450,000
24	24	Gracie Abrams	The Secret Of Us	129,000	270,000
25	26	Linkin Park	Papercuts	126,000	300,000
26	25	Olivia Rodrigo	Guts	126,000	620,000
27	27	Olivia Rodrigo	Sour	124,000	1,170,000
28	28	Oasis	Definitely Maybe	118,000	2,920,000
29	29	Calvin Harris	96 Months	106,000	180,000
30	30	Benson Boone	Fireworks & Rollerblades	105,000	230,000
31	31	Ariana Grande	Eternal Sunshine	104,000	290,000
32	33	Queen	Greatest Hits	104,000	3,140,000
33	32	Kendrick Lamar	GNX	103,000	160,000
34	35	Pitbull	Greatest Hits	102,000	570,000
35	34	The Weeknd	Hurry Up Tomorrow	101,000
36	36	PartyNextDoor & Drake	$ome $exy $ongs 4 U	99,000
37	38	Post Malone	The Diamond Collection	97,000	430,000
38	37	Ed Sheeran	÷	97,000	4,430,000
39	39	Fontaines D.C.	Romance	96,000	210,000
40	40	Billy Joel	Piano Man: The Very Best Of Billy Joel	94,000	1,640,000
95	98	Myles Smith	A Minute…	55,000
-	97	Morgan Wallen	I'm The Problem	55,000
100	-	Sam Fender	Seventeen Going Under	54,000	440,000

 

Think itll get a boost when MBF is released anyway but interesting to see Ed starting to chip away at SNS

42 minutes ago, 777666jason said:

Think itll get a boost when MBF is released anyway but interesting to see Ed starting to chip away at SNS

He is but with his numbers declining it's probably too little, too late. By my numbers, he trails by 133,640 units, which means even if theres 22 weeks left, he needs to average a lead of 6075 units each week. And last week he only led by 734 units. If he were to maintain his current numbers the rest of the year, SNS would only need 34,309 units the rest of the year to pass him, which might happen as soon as MBF release week. Granted, It likely will get boosted by Play, but i dont foresee it being boosted enough to get passed a short n sweet that will have 16 or so weeks to pad the stats a little bit

6 minutes ago, EmailsICantChase said:

He is but with his numbers declining it's probably too little, too late. By my numbers, he trails by 133,640 units, which means even if theres 22 weeks left, he needs to average a lead of 6075 units each week. And last week he only led by 734 units. If he were to maintain his current numbers the rest of the year, SNS would only need 34,309 units the rest of the year to pass him, which might happen as soon as MBF release week. Granted, It likely will get boosted by Play, but i dont foresee it being boosted enough to get passed a short n sweet that will have 16 or so weeks to pad the stats a little bit

Yeah i dont see him catching her , just noticed it was interesting as she was always doing better until a couple of weeks ago

No chance of SnS being caught this year but of course Ed could do a Weeknd “Highlights” in a future quiet year.