Ukraine SERIOUSLY underrated there :kink:

Ukraine SERIOUSLY underrated there :kink:

Putting a bet is the only way to go :kink:

I put a relatively big bet on Ukraine at 28:1. (I don't have money at betfair.com for the 30:1.) What do you think of Turkey at 27:2 or 10:1?

 

Edit: I'm no expert on Eurovision betting, but I do know something about sports betting, and it is indeed possible to hurt the bookies badly when they offer such big odds on these sorts of things. Like, I got the (American Football) Rams at 250:1 when they won the Superbowl in their miracle year, and more impressively I got the Rams at big odds to win their division after a few games had been played and it was already a near mathematical certainty that they would win their division. I had built a computer simulation for the American Football season, so it was easy for me to spot their mistakes.

 

Edited May 16, 200916 yr by FinalCylon

Turkey is reasonably good at that rate, but I would go each-way with it.

 

Anyway I put a fiver on Ukraine to do the whole thing at 30/1 yesterday, and a fiver for UK as Winner Without Norway at about 9/1. We've come second fifteen times for god's sake... how ironic would it be? I'm thinking I should have gone Each Way now, but never mind...

Come on Turkey - I didn't realise Hadise was so high up on odds.

Betfair.com latest odds (Previous odds from last night):

 

Norway 6/5 Fav (10/9 Fav)

Greece 9/1 (7/1)

United Kingdom 11/1 (25/2)

Turkey 13/1 (27/2)

Azerbaijan 29/2 (29/2)

Ukraine 25/1 (30/1)

Iceland 26/1 (30/1)

Bosnia and Herzegovina 27/1 (22/1)

France 28/1 (25/1)

Estonia 50/1 (66/1)

Malta 80/1 (60/1)

Sweden 80/1 (90/1)

Spain 100/1 (120/1)

Finland 120/1 (100/1)

Russia 130/1 (150/1)

Denmark 130/1 (140/1)

Germany 140/1 (100/1)

Armenia 160/1 (150/1)

Albania 180/1 (200/1)

Portugal 250/1 (250/1)

Israel 300/1 (250/1)

Romania 300/1 (300/1)

Moldova 350/1 (250/1)

Lithuania 500/1 (500/1)

Croatia 550/1 (700/1)

 

 

Moldova definitely worth an each way punt at 350/1! :o

Betfair.com latest odds (Top Four Finish):

 

Their equivalent of an each way bet:

 

Norway 1/5 odds on Fav

Greece 4/5 odds on

Turkey 13/8

United Kingdom 2/1

Azerbaijan 85/40

Bosnia and Herzegovina 11/5

Ukraine 3/1

France 5/1

Iceland 11/2

Estonia 19/2

Spain 21/2

Russia 23/2

Malta 12/1

Sweden 25/2

Denmark 14/1

Finland 16/1

Armenia 16/1

Albania 16/1

Romania 18/1

Germany 20/1

Portugal 33/1

Moldova 33/1

Lithuania 40/1

Israel 40/1

Croatia 50/1

 

 

Betfair.com latest odds (Top Ten Finish):

 

Norway 1/33 odds on Fav

Greece 1/9

Azerbaijan 2/11

Bosnia and Herzegovina 1/5

Turkey 1/4

United Kingdom 1/3

Ukraine 1/2

Iceland 5/8

France 5/6

Estonia 5/4

Armenia 6/4

Russia 7/4

Malta 7/4

Sweden 3/1

Albania 3/1

Spain 9/2

Portugal 9/2

Moldova 9/2

Finland 5/1

Denmark 5/1

Germany 5/1

Lithuania 8/1

Israel 10/1

Romania 14/1

Croatia 18/1

 

They REALLY don't like Moldova :o Should I go in for a last-minute each-way punt on top ten? :heehee:

I've put a quid each on Turkey, Iceland and Lithuania :heehee: The latter only because of the ridiculously long odds obviously.

Not at all confident of Jade pulling out all the stops then Jark? :P

Don't be RIDICULOUS.

I hope Moldova get at least Top 15.

How is it at all ridiculous? :o The juries will adore Jade, and going on near the end will mean lots of televotes - certainly more than Iceland, who rather unfortunately will be forgotten by a few people :( I'm certain both will go top 10...

Even with juries and positioning in her favour, it simply isn't a very memorable song. :( Top 15.

What is 'each way' betting?

Basically betting on coming top 4. Betfair makes it simple and calls it top 4 betting, but other bookies divide your stake (the amount you bet) in two and pay different amounts due to the position it receives.

I have each way bets on UK, Ukraine, Iceland :wub: and Norway with PaddyPower.

I put 5 on Turkey to win the whole thing at 8/1 ... probably not happening, but just maybe ...

Any last minute moves in the market?

 

Betfair.com latest odds (Previous odds from 6 Hours ago):

 

Norway 11/10 Fav (6/5 Fav)

Greece 8/1 (9/1)

United Kingdom 12/1 (11/1)

Turkey 13/1 (13/1)

Azerbaijan 14/1 (29/2)

Ukraine 18/1 (25/1)

France 25/1 (28/1)

Iceland 28/1 (26/1)

Bosnia and Herzegovina 33/1 (27/1)

Estonia 66/1 (50/1)

Sweden 80/1 (90/1)

Malta 100/1 (80/1)

Germany 100/1 (140/1)

Denmark 120/1 (130/1)

Russia 140/1 (130/1)

Spain 140/1 (120/1)

Finland 150/1 (150/1)

Armenia 150/1 (160/1)

Albania 150/1 (180/1)

Portugal 250/1 (250/1)

Israel 300/1 (300/1)

Romania 300/1 (300/1)

Moldova 300/1 (350/1)

Croatia 350/1 (550/1)

Lithuania 500/1 (500/1)