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dancember
post Jun 23 2016, 04:20 PM
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BJSC 85
predicta discussion.



TOP 10 PREDICTIONS
predict what you think the top 10 of the final will look like

001 ♦
002 ♦
003 ♦
004 ♦
005 ♦
006 ♦
007 ♦
008 ♦
009 ♦
010 ♦

BOTTOM 10
predict what you think the bottom 10 of the final will look like

032 ♦
033 ♦
034 ♦
035 ♦
036 ♦
037 ♦
038 ♦
039 ♦
040 ♦
041 ♦

OTHER NOTABLE PREDICTIONS
state here any other predictions for any other positionings / nations

Where will the autoqualifiers place?

FARC ♦

Where will this contest's first-time qualifiers place?

Brechtoria ♦
Medhelnia ♦

Who will place higher out of the following?

Altyr Muunilinst VS D'yermaker ♦
Hendinia VS Pupok ♦
Quintessa VS Unovia ♦
Skall VS Ethanola ♦
Summericia VS Kylienips ♦
Yehesi VS Danaelanda ♦
Séyetana VS FKA π ♦
Tartford VS Botanikka ♦

--- ♦

POINTS SCORING
What will the Top 3 nations score?

001 ♦
002 ♦
003 ♦

What will the bottom nation score?

041 ♦

What nation will get the most maximum scores [18 pts], with how many?

--- ♦

VOTES COUNT
What nation will receive the most votes, with how many?

--- ♦

What nation will receive the least votes, with how many?

--- ♦

SEMI FINALS
Who won each semi final? [include points predictions if you wish]

Semi Final 01 ♦
Semi Final 02 ♦

Any other notable semi-final predictions?

--- ♦

ANYTHING ELSE?
Do you think there will be any obvious points swapping? Who do you think has the power to surprise? What is the TEA regarding the results that you can see in your mind's eye? SPILL!
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Slade
post Jun 23 2016, 04:39 PM
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Gonna do this for the first time!

TOP 10 PREDICTIONS
predict what you think the top 10 of the final will look like

001 ♦ Beaverdonia
002 ♦ New Lexico
003 ♦ Hendinia
004 ♦ N DNTN
005 ♦ Yehesi
006 ♦ Medhelnia
007 ♦ #00274E
008 ♦ Pupok
009 ♦ Aeroche
010 ♦ Séyetana

BOTTOM 10
predict what you think the bottom 10 of the final will look like

032 ♦ Danaelanda
033 ♦ Terra Avium
034 ♦ FARC
035 ♦ Cumulonimbia
036 ♦ Daehun
037 ♦ Summericia
038 ♦ Tartford
039 ♦ Altyr Muunilinst
040 ♦ Quintessa
041 ♦ Land of DW

OTHER NOTABLE PREDICTIONS

11th Cadelicia
12th The Actual Republic of Bellamia
13th Ultraviolenceland
14th Jadakissnia
15th Brechtoria
16th Unovia
17th Hushkanukia
18th Taahino
19th Skall
20th Kylienips


Where will the autoqualifiers place?

FARC ♦ 34th

Where will this contest's first-time qualifiers place?

Brechtoria ♦ 15th
Medhelnia ♦ 6th

Who will place higher out of the following?

Altyr Muunilinst VS D'yermaker ♦ D'yermak'er
Hendinia VS Pupok ♦ Hendinia
Quintessa VS Unovia ♦ Unovia
Skall VS Ethanola ♦ Skall
Summericia VS Kylienips ♦ Kylienips
Yehesi VS Danaelanda ♦ Yehesi
Séyetana VS FKA π ♦ Séyetana
Tartford VS Botanikka ♦ Botanikka

--- ♦

POINTS SCORING
What will the Top 3 nations score?

001 ♦ 340
002 ♦ 318
003 ♦ 302

What will the bottom nation score?

041 ♦ 84

What nation will get the most maximum scores [18 pts], with how many?

Pupok ♦ 5

VOTES COUNT
What nation will receive the most votes, with how many?

Beaverdonia ♦ 37

What nation will receive the least votes, with how many?

Land of DW ♦ 11

SEMI FINALS
Who won each semi final? [include points predictions if you wish]

Semi Final 01 ♦ New Lexico
Semi Final 02 ♦ Beaverdonia
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dancember
post Jun 23 2016, 04:51 PM
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QUOTE(Jade @ Jun 23 2016, 05:39 PM) *
Gonna do this for the first time!

BOTTOM 10
predict what you think the bottom 10 of the final will look like

032 ♦ Danaelanda

well it is your first attempt so I'll forgive you but sleep.gif sleep.gif sleep.gif
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Slade
post Jun 23 2016, 04:57 PM
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QUOTE(danG @ Jun 23 2016, 05:51 PM) *
well it is your first attempt so I'll forgive you but sleep.gif sleep.gif sleep.gif

kink.gif You'll most likely prove me wrong tbh. Found it hard to predict the 32-35 region, just ultimately went with songs i haven't see too much hype for.
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dancember
post Jun 23 2016, 05:12 PM
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TOP 10 PREDICTIONS
predict what you think the top 10 of the final will look like

001 ♦ BEAVERDONIA / BANG LA DECKS
002 ♦ HENDINIA / MIKE PERRY
003 ♦ NEW LEXICO / CELTIC WOMAN
004 ♦ PUPOK / HASCHAK SISTERS
005 ♦ JADAKISSNIA / OVERWERK
006 ♦ AEROCHE / KALI UCHIS
007 ♦ YEHESI / NIGHTCALL
008 ♦ MEDHELNIA / PARADE OF LIGHTS
009 ♦ #00274E / INFINITY INK
010 ♦ FSR RONTVIA / REAL LIES

BOTTOM 10
predict what you think the bottom 10 of the final will look like

032 ♦ FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF ASHTON
033 ♦ SUMMERICIA
034 ♦ DAEHUN
035 ♦ FARC
036 ♦ TERRA AVIUM
037 ♦ CUMULONIMBIA
038 ♦ QUINTESSA
039 ♦ TARTFORD
040 ♦ SYNDARE
041 ♦ LAND OF DW

OTHER NOTABLE PREDICTIONS
state here any other predictions for any other positionings / nations

Where will the autoqualifiers place?

FARC ♦ 35th

Where will this contest's first-time qualifiers place?

Brechtoria ♦ 16th
Medhelnia ♦ 8th

Who will place higher out of the following?

Altyr Muunilinst VS D'yermaker
Hendinia VS Pupok ♦
Quintessa VS Unovia
Skall VS Ethanola ♦
Summericia VS Kylienips
Yehesi VS Danaelanda ♦
Séyetana VS FKA π ♦
Tartford VS Botanikka

--- ♦

POINTS SCORING
What will the Top 3 nations score?

001 ♦ 355
002 ♦ 330
003 ♦ 310

What will the bottom nation score?

041 ♦ 070

What nation will get the most maximum scores [18 pts], with how many?

--- ♦ PUPOK, 5

VOTES COUNT
What nation will receive the most votes, with how many?

--- ♦ HENDINIA, 38

What nation will receive the least votes, with how many?

--- ♦ LAND OF DW, 9

SEMI FINALS
Who won each semi final? [include points predictions if you wish]

Semi Final 01 ♦ HENDINIA
Semi Final 02 ♦ BEAVERDONIA

Any other notable semi-final predictions?

--- ♦

ANYTHING ELSE?
Do you think there will be any obvious points swapping? Who do you think has the power to surprise? What is the TEA regarding the results that you can see in your mind's eye? SPILL!
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Winter Wombatlan...
post Jun 23 2016, 05:13 PM
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Guys, really :'(
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RobBob
post Jun 23 2016, 05:27 PM
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I haven't really had many 2nds ever so I'd take that! I don't expect to be that high but still, as far as I can remember, I only have one 2nd.
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CodySleighBell-y
post Jun 23 2016, 05:33 PM
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Okay let's do this

BJSC 85
predicta discussion.

TOP 10 PREDICTIONS
predict what you think the top 10 of the final will look like

001 ♦ Celtic Woman f/Oonagh - "Tír na nÓg" (New Lexico)
002 ♦ Mike Perry f/Shy Martin - "The Ocean" (Hendinia)
003 ♦ Bang La Decks - "Aide" (Beaverdonia)
004 ♦ Haschak Sisters - "Daddy Says No" (Pupok)
005 ♦ Kali Uchis f/Tory Lanez - "Ridin' Round (oshi redo)" (Aeroche)
006 ♦ OVERWERK - "Toccata" (Jadakissnia)
007 ♦ Plaitum - "Jagwa" (N DNTN)
008 ♦ Nightcall f/Dreamhour - "Dead V (Vocal Version)" (Yehesi)
009 ♦ Kristina Si - "Kosmos" (Hushkanukia)
010 ♦ Parade Of Lights - "Feeling Electric" (Medhelnia)

BOTTOM 10
predict what you think the bottom 10 of the final will look like

032 ♦ Youngr - "Out Of My System" (Altyr Muunilinst)
033 ♦ Real Lies - "North Circular" (FSR Rontvia)
034 ♦ Delhi 2 Dublin - "Apples" (Terra Avium)
035 ♦ KAYTRANADA - "Lite Sports" (Cumulonimbia)
036 ♦ LP - "Lost On You" (Botanikka)
037 ♦ Lemon Demon - "Touch-Tone Telephone" (Trifoski)
038 ♦ Invader Girl - "Stuck On You" (Summericia)
039 ♦ Elektra - "I Don't Do Boys" (Quintessa)
040 ♦ JR JR - "Gone (Robert DeLong Remix)" (Cor Lupus)
041 ♦ Antti Tuisku - "Pyydä Multa Anteeks Kunnolla" (Land Of DW)

OTHER NOTABLE PREDICTIONS
state here any other predictions for any other positionings / nations

011 ♦ CAPPA - "I'm Good" (D'yermak'er)
012 ♦ Jess Kent - "Get Down" (Cadelicia)
013 ♦ Billie Eilish - "Ocean Eyes (Young Bombs Remix)" (Kluminican Republic)
014 ♦ Annalisa - "Se avessi un cuore" (Unovia)
015 ♦ Beautiful Bodies - "Capture & Release" (Taahino)
016 ♦ Infinity Ink f/Yasmin - "How Do I Love You?" (#00274E)
017 ♦ trippple nippples - "LSD" (Séyetana)
018 ♦ LUH - "$ORO" (FKA π)
019 ♦ Tigertown - "Lonely Cities" (Brechtoria)
020 ♦ Ana Mena - "No Soy Como Tú Crees" (Ultraviolenceland)

021 ♦ Croatia Squad & Lika Morgan - "Make Your Move" (Danaelanda)
022 ♦ Madison Beer f/Jack & Jack - "All For Love" (Federal Republic Of Ashton)
023 ♦ LUNA - "Free Somebody" (Daehun)
024 ♦ Jesper Jenset - "High" (TARO Bellamia)
025 ♦ Color Guard - "In Your Bones" (Persephonia)
026 ♦ Juventa f/Kelly Sweet - "Superhuman (Culture Code Remix)" (Kylienips)
027 ♦ Kwamie Liv - "Higher" (Syndare)
028 ♦ Cigarettes After Sex - "Keep On Loving You" (Tartford)
029 ♦ Billie Black - "I've Waited For You" (Ethanola)
030 ♦ JONES - "Hoops" (FARC)

031 ♦ BICEP - "Just" (Skall)

Where will the autoqualifiers place?

FARC ♦ 30th

Where will this contest's first-time qualifiers place?

Brechtoria ♦ 19th
Medhelnia ♦ 10th

Who will place higher out of the following?

Altyr Muunilinst VS D'yermak'er♦ (this will be by the biggest margin)
Hendinia VS Pupok ♦
Quintessa VS Unovia
Skall VS Ethanola
Summericia VS Kylienips
Yehesi VS Danaelanda ♦
Séyetana VS FKA π ♦
Tartford VS Botanikka ♦

--- ♦

POINTS SCORING
What will the Top 3 nations score?

001 ♦ 331
002 ♦ 303
003 ♦ 286

What will the bottom nation score?

041 ♦ 079

What nation will get the most maximum scores [18 pts], with how many?

Pupok ♦ 6

VOTES COUNT
What nation will receive the most votes, with how many?

Jadakissnia ♦ 34

What nation will receive the least votes, with how many?

Land Of DW ♦ 14 (with probably a substantial fraction of its points coming from Tinnmark)

SEMI FINALS
Who won each semi final? [include points predictions if you wish]

Semi Final 01 ♦ Aeroche [100 points]
Semi Final 02 ♦ Pupok [127 points]

Any other notable semi-final predictions?

Given the low points threshold for qualification in semi 1, I imagine that the voting will be pretty split, with the more indie/inspired entries getting some leverage against the more poppy entries. Whoever got 20th must be one lucky son of a gun. (probably me)

ANYTHING ELSE?
Do you think there will be any obvious points swapping? Who do you think has the power to surprise? What is the TEA regarding the results that you can see in your mind's eye? SPILL!

Biggest Progression from semi to final: Skall (Unovia in a close second)
Biggest Regression from semi to final: Summericia (who was probably in the right semi for their song to qualify)
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FrankLuck
post Jun 23 2016, 06:12 PM
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Let me kindly remind all of you, that Land of DW qualified with at least 50 points, while the 20th in semi 1 got only 37 points.
Predicting me being deadlast virtually everywhere with noone else in the distance is just beyond f***ing r00d.
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Cameron
post Jun 23 2016, 06:33 PM
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THE BLAZE *.*
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I will take that top 10 please *.*
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CodySleighBell-y
post Jun 23 2016, 06:50 PM
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QUOTE(FrankLuck @ Jun 23 2016, 11:12 AM) *
Let me kindly remind all of you, that Land of DW qualified with at least 50 points, while the 20th in semi 1 got only 37 points.
The semi thresholds usually don't determine placing though. Even with the abnormally low qualifying threshold for semi 1, chances are the points were probably skewed towards the upper end, with probably the top 6 or so getting over 85 points. 19th there probably got 50+ points even with the skew.

It's also pretty rare that the song projected last actually DOES come last. The most recent example I can think of is "Missing Disco" and that was a year ago.

Not saying that there is a chance you'll defy the odds. Hell you might at this stage. It just... doesn't seem that likely, sorry.
QUOTE(Cameron @ Jun 23 2016, 11:33 AM) *
I will take that top 10 please *.*
I did say yesterday you might come 9th again kink.gif
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ionderella
post Jun 23 2016, 07:38 PM
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The voters in each semi don't consist of the same people so saying stuff like this is very unfounded.
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Michael Bubré
post Jun 23 2016, 08:08 PM
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Geek stats: whoever it was that came 20th in semi 1 has only the 9th song to ever qualify with 37 or fewer points, and the first to do so since BJSC 41 ;o

37 Greenfroze XVI // Manian - Welcome To The Club
37 Lievant XXXIV // Bon Iver - Calgary
36 B.a.N.G XLI // Lydia Caesar - Lottery
36 Botanikka XXXIX // Guinevere - Crazy Crazy
36 Daehun XXXIX // Brown Eyed Girls - Sixth Sense
34 N-Lazone XXXIV // Baker - All I'm Gonna Say
34 Quotosibb XXXIV // Keri Hilson - Break The Ice
34 Skall XL // AlunaGeorge - You Know You Like It

(AlunaGeorge actually went on to finish 9th in the final though, so luckily scraping through on a very low total does not necessarily mean they'll do badly in the final)
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CodySleighBell-y
post Jun 23 2016, 08:11 PM
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"You Know You Like It" is GLORIOUS
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ʟɪɴᴅs.
post Jun 23 2016, 08:50 PM
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BRAY how do you know so much about all of the stats, even like the random little details, you have them sussed?!?!! ohmy.gif
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t=SpunderfulXmas
post Jun 23 2016, 09:35 PM
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QUOTE(ℒ𝓲𝓷⻤ @ Jun 23 2016, 09:50 PM) *
BRAY how do you know so much about all of the stats, even like the random little details, you have them sussed?!?!! ohmy.gif

I think he's mentioned keeping a spreadsheet (probably more than one :') ) containing all these stats and he's probably using special formulas to work out these stats.

Stats tho biggrin.gif

Youngr and JR JR to not flop tho pirate.gif Phoebe Ryan of last month teas
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CodySleighBell-y
post Jun 23 2016, 10:00 PM
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BLESS YOU ADAM
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Michael Bubré
post Jun 23 2016, 10:14 PM
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QUOTE(ℒ𝓲𝓷⻤ @ Jun 23 2016, 09:50 PM) *
BRAY how do you know so much about all of the stats, even like the random little details, you have them sussed?!?!! ohmy.gif


Many many hours of trawling through all the old BJSC threads and putting every number I found into a spreadsheet. I had a lot of free time and nothing constructive to do with it ph34r.gif
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ionderella
post Jun 23 2016, 10:25 PM
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Past tense tho?
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Michael Bubré
post Jun 23 2016, 10:27 PM
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QUOTE(🍑💦🍌 @ Jun 23 2016, 11:25 PM) *
Past tense tho?


Well yeah I still do pretty much x but all the thread trawling was in the past lol ~
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