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Semi 1

 

Kylienips: Medina - Gutter

Elëdan: Deepside Deejays – Never Be Alone

FYR Vojvodina-on-the-Wold: Monarchy - We Were Young

Fljótavík: Human Life - Wherever We Are

Greenfroze: Mimi Blix – Forever

Herzebania: Greyson Chance - Unfriend You

Numayania - The Young Professionals – D.I.S.C.O.

People's Republic of Jester (ProJ): Lora - No More Tears

Danaelanda: Elena - Disco Romancing

Batidas: Andain – Promises

Lievant: Emma Acs - Fever

Espen: Frida Gold - Wovon sollen wir träumen

Caerfyrddia: Cecilie Fleur - Alle De Lykkelige Kærester

Kopečka: Sisse Marie - Dirty Hands

Unoshake: Christina Grimmie - Liar Liar

Utopia: Gregory & The Hawk - Boats & Birds

Isconia: Lana Del Rey - Video Games

Letland: Yuksek feat. Amanda Blank – Extraball

Tinnmark: Gabrielle – Ring Meg

Fervorosia: Pendulum – Witchcraft

Kluminican Republic: Azuro feat. Elly - Ti Amo

Dalisska: Late Night Alumni - You Can Be The One

New Caprica: RAC - If You Forget Me (ft. Liset Alea)

JRK-Off: SingerSen – Drunk

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Both FYR Vojvodina and Kylienips don't think I'll get through :( But it was bound to happen anyway, I'm sure everyone gets at least one country who thinks they won't get through.
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As much as people try to deny it, of COURSE odds and predictas are at least partly based on your personal taste, blind faith is a very strong thing indeed. Although you also have to consider that 23 people with different tastes are voting as well!

 

Look at a slightly random song/unexpected to do well by most which is way higher in one set of odds than all of the others and then correlate it to see if said poster gives decent points to the song in the final - they pretty much always will! Likewise if a song is widely expected to do well but one person gives it odds of 50/1 out of the blue - it probably means that they hate it :lol:

Tbh, as much as Ti Amo is a favourite, I think all the dance this contest could backfire on it (and other dance entries). I so can't see it not qualifying at all though :o

I think It's probably fair to say most of the attention will be on Semi ! when the results are revealed tomorrow.

 

Part of me is relieved that I'm in Semi 2 but the rest of me is excitedd to see if my Semi 1 faves get through

Semi 1

 

Kylienips: Medina - Gutter

Elëdan: Deepside Deejays – Never Be Alone

FYR Vojvodina-on-the-Wold: Monarchy - We Were Young

Fljótavík: Human Life - Wherever We Are

Greenfroze: Mimi Blix – Forever

Herzebania: Greyson Chance - Unfriend You

Numayania - The Young Professionals – D.I.S.C.O.

People's Republic of Jester (ProJ): Lora - No More Tears

Danaelanda: Elena - Disco Romancing

Batidas: Andain – Promises

Lievant: Emma Acs - Fever

Espen: Frida Gold - Wovon sollen wir träumen

Caerfyrddia: Cecilie Fleur - Alle De Lykkelige Kærester

Kopečka: Sisse Marie - Dirty Hands

Unoshake: Christina Grimmie - Liar Liar

Utopia: Gregory & The Hawk - Boats & Birds

Isconia: Lana Del Rey - Video Games

Letland: Yuksek feat. Amanda Blank – Extraball

Tinnmark: Gabrielle – Ring Meg

Fervorosia: Pendulum – Witchcraft

Kluminican Republic: Azuro feat. Elly - Ti Amo

Dalisska: Late Night Alumni - You Can Be The One

New Caprica: RAC - If You Forget Me (ft. Liset Alea)

JRK-Off: SingerSen – Drunk

 

 

I don't think I've ever predicted myself to qualify before. I hope I didn't jinx it. :P

Semi 2

 

Quotosibb: Faithless ft. Estelle - Why Go?

FSR Rontvia: Ria – Over You

FNT Nickodonia: Samuel y Patricia – Vive

Budtar: Zoë Badwi - Accidents Happen

Allecian: Bright Light Bright Light – Disco Moment

Ashton: The DNC feat Miss Amani – Electric

Torchwood: Alex Saidac – We Shine

Farahtyn: Supermarkets feat Danny Saucedo

Zechonia: The Raveonettes – Apparitions

Lorikeet: CocknBullKid – Yellow

Ojnoj: Francesca Battistelli - Emily (It's Love)

Botanikka: 2NE1 – I Am The Best

Quintessa: Julie Atherton - Portrait Of A Princess

Aquafina: Keemo - Beautiful Lie

B.a.N.G: Ciara ft. Usher - Turn It Up

Yuxhaaq: JoJo - Marvin's Room (Can't Do Better)

Persephonia: The 2 Bears - Bear Hug

Hendinia: Neon Hitch – Bad Dog

Fanadminaj: Deirdre McLaughlin - Fire in the Dark

Juranabaijan: Kill Hannah - Crazy Angel

Bignia-Zaragovina: Pia Toscano - This Time

ChrIseland: Akcent - My Passion

Unovia: Oh My! - Kicking and Screaming

N-Lazone: Nause - Made Of

 

Decided to have a go. Don't think this reflects my votes in any way.

Both FYR Vojvodina and Kylienips don't think I'll get through :( But it was bound to happen anyway, I'm sure everyone gets at least one country who thinks they won't get through.

 

Yours is one of the songs I think could well do it, but I sort of went a little on the side of songs I like/want to see through when making my predictions, even though that method is often completely useless.

 

Quotosibb: Faithless ft. Estelle - Why Go?

Botanikka: 2NE1 – I Am The Best

 

If these crash out I will NOT be happy :angry:

Kylienips: Medina - Gutter

Elëdan: Deepside Deejays – Never Be Alone

FYR Vojvodina-on-the-Wold: Monarchy - We Were Young

Fljótavík: Human Life - Wherever We Are

Greenfroze: Mimi Blix – Forever

Herzebania: Greyson Chance - Unfriend You

Numayania - The Young Professionals – D.I.S.C.O.

People's Republic of Jester (ProJ): Lora - No More Tears

Danaelanda: Elena - Disco Romancing

Batidas: Andain – Promises

Lievant: Emma Acs - Fever

Espen: Frida Gold - Wovon sollen wir träumen

Caerfyrddia: Cecilie Fleur - Alle De Lykkelige Kærester

Kopečka: Sisse Marie - Dirty Hands

Unoshake: Christina Grimmie - Liar Liar

Utopia: Gregory & The Hawk - Boats & Birds

Isconia: Lana Del Rey - Video Games

Letland: Yuksek feat. Amanda Blank – Extraball

Tinnmark: Gabrielle – Ring Meg

Fervorosia: Pendulum – Witchcraft

Kluminican Republic: Azuro feat. Elly - Ti Amo

Dalisska: Late Night Alumni - You Can Be The One

New Caprica: RAC - If You Forget Me (ft. Liset Alea)

JRK-Off: SingerSen – Drunk

SF2

 

Quotosibb: Faithless ft. Estelle - Why Go?

FSR Rontvia: Ria – Over You

FNT Nickodonia: Samuel y Patricia – Vive

Budtar: Zoë Badwi - Accidents Happen

Allecian: Bright Light Bright Light – Disco Moment

Ashton: The DNC feat Miss Amani – Electric

Torchwood: Alex Saidac – We Shine

Farahtyn: Supermarkets feat Danny Saucedo - Crash And Survive

Zechonia: The Raveonettes – Apparitions

Lorikeet: CocknBullKid – Yellow

Ojnoj: Francesca Battistelli - Emily (It's Love)

Botanikka: 2NE1 – I Am The Best

Quintessa: Julie Atherton - Portrait Of A Princess

Aquafina: Keemo - Beautiful Lie

B.a.N.G: Ciara ft. Usher - Turn It Up

Yuxhaaq: JoJo - Marvin's Room (Can't Do Better)

Persephonia: The 2 Bears - Bear Hug

Hendinia: Neon Hitch – Bad Dog

Fanadminaj: Deirdre McLaughlin - Fire in the Dark

Juranabaijan: Kill Hannah - Crazy Angel

Bignia-Zaragovina: Pia Toscano - This Time

ChrIseland: Akcent - My Passion

Unovia: Oh My! - Kicking and Screaming

N-Lazone: Nause - Made Of

You think one of the major favourites will crash out?

 

I saw it in your personal chart, and when I first heard it, didn't click with me at all. Maybe I could have voted for it, by default :lol: I bet in a month's time I like it, like I did with Foster The People.

 

And I see Klumzee didn't highlight my track so... touche :D

Kylienips: Medina - Gutter

Elëdan: Deepside Deejays – Never Be Alone

FYR Vojvodina-on-the-Wold: Monarchy - We Were Young

Fljótavík: Human Life - Wherever We Are - fingers crossed!

Greenfroze: Mimi Blix – Forever

Herzebania: Greyson Chance - Unfriend You

Numayania - The Young Professionals – D.I.S.C.O.

People's Republic of Jester (ProJ): Lora - No More Tears

Danaelanda: Elena - Disco Romancing

Batidas: Andain – Promises

Lievant: Emma Acs - Fever

Espen: Frida Gold - Wovon sollen wir träumen

Caerfyrddia: Cecilie Fleur - Alle De Lykkelige Kærester

Kopečka: Sisse Marie - Dirty Hands

Unoshake: Christina Grimmie - Liar Liar

Utopia: Gregory & The Hawk - Boats & Birds

Isconia: Lana Del Rey - Video Games

Letland: Yuksek feat. Amanda Blank – Extraball

Tinnmark: Gabrielle – Ring Meg

Fervorosia: Pendulum – Witchcraft

Kluminican Republic: Azuro feat. Elly - Ti Amo

Dalisska: Late Night Alumni - You Can Be The One

New Caprica: RAC - If You Forget Me (ft. Liset Alea)

JRK-Off: SingerSen – Drunk

 

 

That's my attempt, it's very much who I think rather than who I want...

Just to see how accurate at predicting we are as a group, I've added all of the predictions together and these are the 14 qualifiers we think will qualify:

 

Semi Final 1:

 

Batidas: Andain – Promises

Danaelanda: Elena - Disco Romancing

Elëdan: Deepside Deejays – Never Be Alone

Espen: Frida Gold - Wovon sollen wir träumen

Fljótavík: Human Life - Wherever We Are

Greenfroze: Mimi Blix – Forever

Isconia: Lana Del Rey - Video Games

Kluminican Republic: Azuro feat. Elly - Ti Amo

Kopečka: Sisse Marie - Dirty Hands

Kylienips: Medina - Gutter

Numayania: The Young Professionals – D.I.S.C.O.

People's Republic of Jester (ProJ): Lora - No More Tears

Tinnmark: Gabrielle – Ring Meg

UnoShake: Christina Grimmie - Liar Liar

 

Semi Final 2:

 

Allecian: Bright Light Bright Light – Disco Moment

Ashton: The DNC feat Miss Amani – Electric

B.a.N.G.: Ciara ft. Usher - Turn It Up

Bignia-Zaragovina: Pia Toscano - This Time

Botanikka: 2NE1 – I Am The Best

Budtar: Zoë Badwi - Accidents Happen

ChrIseland: Akcent - My Passion

Farahtyn: Supermarkets feat Danny Saucedo - Crash And Survive

FSR Rontvia: Ria – Over You

Hendinia: Neon Hitch – Bad Dog

Lorikeet: CocknBullKid – Yellow

Ojnoj: Francesca Battistelli - Emily (It's Love)

Torchwood: Alex Saidac – We Shine

Unovia: Oh My! - Kicking and Screaming

 

Analysis

 

Semi Final 1 had a much higher deviation of predictions with all but one country, Fervorosia, being predicted to qualify by someone. Fljótavík was predicted to qualify by all but at the other end of the qualifications, Caerfyrddia and UnoShake were tied for 14th place. The tie was broken by who had the highest average odds - UnoShake had 22/1, Caerfyrddia 26/1 ( :( ).

 

Semi Final 2 is due to have a far more definite outcome with all 14 qualifiers getting far more predictions than the non-qualifers. Allecian, Ashton, Bignia, Budtar, Rontvia and Hendinia were predicted to qualify by everyone whilst ChrIseland, who came 14th received twice the amount of predictions as the 15th placed song. Five songs received no predictions to qualify in this semi, thus confirming the disparity in quality between the two semis.

Sorry Ghosty for messing that up! :D

 

:lol:, no worries! I've added your predictions in just now :D

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That's incredibly interesting to see, considering I do now know the 28 qualifiers :o

 

All I can say is that tonight should throw up some surprises...

That's incredibly interesting to see, considering I do now know the 28 qualifiers :o

 

All I can say is that tonight should throw up some surprises...

 

Well, as is understandable I suppose, all the major favourites and most of the stalwart countries who have taken part for a while are predicted to get through, so there could easily be some huge shocks as there are some dark horses amongst the predicted non-qualifers.

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