December 3, 201113 yr Odds from KlumBet: 4/1 Unovia >> The Charlies - Monster (Eat Me) 5/1 Numayania >> Cazzi Opeia - My Heart In 2 7/1 Greenfroze >> Rachel Platten - 1000 Ships 7/1 Ojnoj >> Young London - Let Me Go 8/1 UnoShake >> Oh My! - Dirty Dancer 8/1 Elëdan >> Elizaveta - Dreamer 10/1 Batidas >> Kyla La Grange - Heavy Stone 10/1 Allecian >> WooWoos - Fizzy Lettuce 12/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold >> Queen Of Hearts - Shoot The Bullet 13/1 FSR Rontvia >> Adaline - Whiter/Straighter 13/1 Skall >> AlunaGeorge - You Know You Like It 16/1 Kopecka >> Washington - Holy Moses 16/1 Ramrynia >> Katie Sky - Sweet Sweet Melody 20/1 Séyetana >> Cady Groves - This Little Girl 20/1 Hendinia >> Icona Pop - Nights Like This 22/1 Farahtyn >> Rebecca and Fiona - Jane Doe 25/1 Ashton >> Stan Walker & Static Revenger - Light It Up 25/1 Isconia >> Jess Mills - End Credits 26/1 Caerfyrddia >> The Modern - Sometimes 28/1 Fljótavík >> Yadi - Sahara Heart 31/1 Kluminican Republic >> Unicorn Kid - True Love Fantasy 32/1 Sangria >> Renáta Tolvai & Gergo Rácz - Can't Let You Go 34/1 Mdice >> Glass Candy - Warm In The Winter 37/1 Daehun >> T-ara - Roly-Poly 37/1 Budtar >> Ester Dean - Take You To Rio 40/1 Espen >> Moddi - Smoke 42/1 ChrIseland >> Jessie and The Toy Boys - Let's Get Naughty 45/1 Tinnmark >> Of Monsters And Men - Little Talks 50/1 Persephonia >> The Rapture - How Deep Is Your Love?
December 3, 201113 yr Final odds from Betvia: 3/1 Numayania: Cazzi Opeia - My Heart In 2 4/1 Unovia: The Charlies - Monster (Eat Me) 4/1 Greenfroze: Rachel Platten - 1000 Ships 6/1 Ojnoj: Young London - Let Me Go 6/1 UnoShake: Oh My! - Dirty Dancer 7/1 FYR-Vodjvodnia-On-The-Wold: Queen Of Hearts - Shoot The Bullet 9/1 Eledan: Elizaveta - Dreamer 9/1 Batidas: Kyla La Grange - Heavy Stone 10/1 Allecian: WooWoos - Fizzy Lettuce 12/1 FSR Rontiva: Adaline - Whiter/Straightener 12/1 Kopecka: Washington - Holy Moses 15/1 Seyetana: Cady Groves - This Little Girl 15/1 Skall: AlunaGeorge - You Know You Like It 18/1 Farathyn: Rebecca & Fiona - Jane Doe 18/1 Mdice: Glass Candy - Warm In The Winter 20/1 Ramyrnia: Katie Sky - Sweet Sweet Melody 20/1 Fljótavík: Yadi - Sahara Heart 22/1 Ashton: Stan Walker ft. Static Revenger - Light It Up 22/1 Isconia: Jess Mills - End Credits 25/1 Daehun: T-ARA - Roly Poly 28/1 Caerfyrddia: The Modern - Sometimes 30/1 ChrIseland: Jessie & The Toy Boys - Naughty (Let's Get) 33/1 Hendinia: Icona Pop - Nights Like This 35/1 Sangria: Renáta Tolvai & Gergo Rácz - Can't Let You Go 36/1 Kluminican Republic: Unicorn Kid - True Love Fantasy 38/1 Tinmark: Of Monsters & Men - Little Talks 40/1 Espen: Moddi - Smoke 40/1 Budtar: Ester Dean - Take You To Rio 45/1 Persephonia: The Rapture - How Deep Is Your Love?
December 4, 201113 yr 3/1 Greenfroze >> Rachel Platten - 1000 Ships 5/1 Skall >> AlunaGeorge - You Know You Like It 11/2 Elëdan >> Elizaveta - Dreamer 7/1 UnoShake >> Oh My! - Dirty Dancer 9/1 Numayania >> Cazzi Opeia - My Heart In 2 9/1 Ojnoj >> Young London - Let Me Go 10/1 Unovia >> The Charlies - Monster (Eat Me) 14/1 Allecian >> WooWoos - Fizzy Lettuce 15/1 Kluminican Republic >> Unicorn Kid - True Love Fantasy 16/1 Kopecka >> Washington - Holy Moses 17/1 FSR Rontvia >> Adaline - Whiter/Straighter 20/1 Hendinia >> Icona Pop - Nights Like This 20/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold >> Queen Of Hearts - Shoot The Bullet 22/1 Daehun >> T-ara - Roly-Poly 49/2 Fljótavík >> Yadi - Sahara Heart 25/1 Ramrynia >> Katie Sky - Sweet Sweet Melody 30/1 Caerfyrddia >> The Modern - Sometimes 33/1 Farahtyn >> Rebecca and Fiona - Jane Doe 100/3 Sangria >> Renáta Tolvai & Gergo Rácz - Can't Let You Go 40/1 Mdice >> Glass Candy - Warm In The Winter 40/1 Isconia >> Jess Mills - End Credits 45/1 Séyetana >> Cady Groves - This Little Girl 46/1 Batidas >> Kyla La Grange - Heavy Stone 50/1 Tinnmark >> Of Monsters And Men - Little Talks 50/1 ChrIseland >> Jessie and The Toy Boys - Let's Get Naughty 55/1 Espen >> Moddi - Smoke 100/1 Ashton >> Stan Walker & Static Revenger - Light It Up 105/1 Budtar >> Ester Dean - Take You To Rio 115/1 Persephonia >> The Rapture - How Deep Is Your Love? Edited December 4, 201113 yr by Conderella
December 4, 201113 yr It's called Whiter/Straighter Liam :P Anyway...I hope I can creep into the back end of the top ten but I'd be quite content with top half considering it's not exactly the typical sort of 'does well in BJSC pop song', it's provided a nice end to what I consider was a fairly varied year for FSR Rontvia.
December 4, 201113 yr Had to change the odds and predicta because Kopecka actually voted. Rontvia is now projected to finish 11th.
December 4, 201113 yr 46/1 Batidas >> Kyla La Grange - Heavy Stone Purely for a laugh, I'd like to place a £1 bet ('cos I'm not made of money!!! <_< ) on Batidas at 46/1 at the "CON-derella букмекеры". :D
December 4, 201113 yr really glad to see Greenfroze doing well! I've become obsessed with the song, although, I would like to see Tinnmark higher up, probably one of the best songs of the year, for me.
December 4, 201113 yr Purely for a laugh, I'd like to place a £1 bet ('cos I'm not made of money!!! <_< ) on Batidas at 46/1 at the "CON-derella букмекеры". :D That's what happens when one doesn't look at other people's predictions before doing their own odds. :o And Batidas are now 30/1 due to that generous bet :o :o Edited December 4, 201113 yr by Conderella
December 4, 201113 yr I think part of the problem is that everyone DOES look at each other's predictions and then we end up with a lot of very similar looking sets of odds - generally only a couple of people seem to vary at all. I've found nearly all of my entries have been listed at about 20/1 to 30/1 regardless of whether they finished in the top 10 or DNQ.
December 4, 201113 yr I'd be over the moon if I get top 10 with 'True Love Fantasy' Pavel! Although I'm sure he likes it so that might've propped it up a bit (actually, a lot) more compared to everyone else's odds.
December 4, 201113 yr Yep, I knew this song before this contest and like it a lot, but I definitely see that it can score quite a few 12/10/8's and make its way to the top half of the leaderboard!
December 4, 201113 yr I think part of the problem is that everyone DOES look at each other's predictions and then we end up with a lot of very similar looking sets of odds - generally only a couple of people seem to vary at all. I've found nearly all of my entries have been listed at about 20/1 to 30/1 regardless of whether they finished in the top 10 or DNQ. Which is exactly why I always try to go first with my odds and predictions if I can! I think the average odds that RC741 does are always very interesting to see, it tends to be the songs that consistently come top 5/10 in the odds that finish high in the end. The ones that are spiked by personal preference and thus only appear high in one or two sets tend not to do so well. Obviously it's completely impossible to do odds with absolute objectivity, all of us have been guilty at some point of being blinded into thinking that a song that we love would do well only for it to finish bottom five :lol: Or vice versa, giving poor odds to a song that we hate and can't understand why it would do well even though everyone else has given it high odds - and then it does well anyway and we remember that our opinion doesn't reflect that of 40 other people!
December 4, 201113 yr Which is exactly why I always try to go first with my odds and predictions if I can! I think the average odds that RC741 does are always very interesting to see, it tends to be the songs that consistently come top 5/10 in the odds that finish high in the end. The ones that are spiked by personal preference and thus only appear high in one or two sets tend not to do so well. Obviously it's completely impossible to do odds with absolute objectivity, all of us have been guilty at some point of being blinded into thinking that a song that we love would do well only for it to finish bottom five :lol: Or vice versa, giving poor odds to a song that we hate and can't understand why it would do well even though everyone else has given it high odds - and then it does well anyway and we remember that our opinion doesn't reflect that of 40 other people! I'm glad you find them interesting, and I'll do them again later this afternoon :) Out of the 3 contest I've been in so far, 2 of them have been the favourites of our combined odds, and only Jessica Mauboy being a big surprise. So for the most part, it seems that the method gives a good indicator of what the potential results could be, obviously with a couple of surprise thrown in!
December 4, 201113 yr It would be even more interesting if everyone PM'd their odds to RC741 who then averaged them at the end of the semi finals... but I accept there's not much interest or debate in that method!
December 4, 201113 yr It would be even more interesting if everyone PM'd their odds to RC741 who then averaged them at the end of the semi finals... but I accept there's not much interest or debate in that method! That would be very interesting indeed, and I'd be up for it - but as you say I don't think many people would want to do that as it creates less discussion :)
December 4, 201113 yr I've never quite understood what happened in BJSC XXXVII, as in how we had such an invasion of fempop songs at the top of the scoreboard. Not that they were necessarily BAD, (I think I gave Jessica Mauboy about 6 points) just that I alwys thought that the indie vote was strong enough to prevent that happening.
December 4, 201113 yr I'm putting the odds into my spreadsheet now? Were Conderella's odds serious? I'm perefectly happy with them, but they do have some very high odds, so shall I count them?
December 4, 201113 yr I've never quite understood what happened in BJSC XXXVII, as in how we had such an invasion of fempop songs at the top of the scoreboard. Not that they were necessarily BAD, (I think I gave Jessica Mauboy about 6 points) just that I alwys thought that the indie vote was strong enough to prevent that happening. Tell me about it. Gotye was robbed I tells ya!!! :cry: :P
December 4, 201113 yr Gotye WAS ROBBED, the problem was it clicks on about the fifth listen and it suddenly becomes amazing! (It only clicked for me about a week ago :lol:) And while were on the subject, Katie Cole was robbed aswell!
December 4, 201113 yr I'm putting the odds into my spreadsheet now? Were Conderella's odds serious? I'm perefectly happy with them, but they do have some very high odds, so shall I count them? I would count their second (although The Rapture last? REALLY?) but not their first. Gotye WAS ROBBED, the problem was it clicks on about the fifth listen and it suddenly becomes amazing! (It only clicked for me about a week ago :lol:) I have to say I am totally #TeamGotye for TBO. Well and #TeamRoudette.
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