February 5, 201213 yr Opening odds for the final from RontBet; Ashton - Tone Damli - Look back 6/4 Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe 5/2 Syndare - SoSo - Who's gonna love me 5/1 FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares 5/1 Numayania - The Storm - My crown 6/1 ---------------- Fljótavík - Foxes - Youth 10/1 Unovia - Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid 10/1 Séyetana - Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids 10/1 Batidas - Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer 12/1 Kopečka - Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix) 12/1 Kluminican Republic - Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night 15/1 ChrIseland - Donkeyboy - City boy 15/1 Caerfyrddia – Marigold – You and I know 15/1 Botanikka - Ria Ritchie - Only one 15/1 Espen - Moa Lignell - When I held ya 15/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold - Le Kid - Human behaviour 18/1 Mdiče - MNDR - #1 in heaven 18/1 Daehun – moumoon – Sunshine girl 20/1 Hendinia - DJ Tatana feat Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (if you don't get in my bed) 22/1 Lievant - Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar 22/1 Allecian - Mercedes and I - Wintersnow 22/1 B.a.N.G - Lydia Caesar - Lottery 22/1 N-Lazone - Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia 22/1 Tinnmark - Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on 25/1 Bignia-Zaragovina - Britt Daley - One and only 25/1 Scherzland - Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal 25/1 Budtar – Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon – Take me away 25/1 Kylienips - School of Seven Bells - The night 28/1 Sangria - Moonlight Breakfast - Still 30/1 Greenfroze - Belanova - Mariposas 30/1 Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up 30/1
February 5, 201213 yr IMHO, I think It's Ashton's to lose now, and deservedly so :wub: Also, Mercedes & I will, I Imagine, will finish mid-table at best. #fingerscrossed Edited February 5, 201213 yr by LexC
February 5, 201213 yr Very rare odds from AshBet! Ashton's leading, and state owned, bookies: Ashton - Tone Damli - Look Back || 3/2 Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe || 4/1 FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares || 5/1 Syndare - SoSo - Who's gonna love me || 6/1 Numayania - The Storm - My crown || 7/1 --------- Fljótavík - Foxes - Youth || 12/1 Tinnmark - Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on || 15/1 Botanikka - Ria Ritchie - Only one || 15/1 Hendinia - DJ Tatana feat Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head (if you don't get in my bed) || 20/1 Unovia - Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid || 20/1 Greenfroze - Belanova - Mariposas || 22/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold - Le Kid - Human behaviour || 55/2 Budtar – Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon – Take me away || 25/1 Caerfyrddia – Marigold – You and I know || 25/1 Kluminican Republic - Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night || 28/1 Mdiče - MNDR - #1 in heaven || 30/1 Allecian - Mercedes and I - Wintersnow || 30/1 Kopečka - Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix) || 33/1 Espen - Moa Lignell - When I held ya || 33/1 Sangria - Moonlight Breakfast - Still || 35/1 Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up || 45/1 Bignia-Zaragovina - Britt Daley - One and only || 45/1 B.a.N.G - Lydia Caesar - Lottery || 45/1 N-Lazone - Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia || 50/1 Batidas - Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer || 50/1 Lievant - Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar || 55/1 Séyetana - Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids || 66/1 Scherzland - Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal || 66/1 ChrIseland - Donkeyboy - City boy || 70/1 Daehun – moumoon – Sunshine girl || 75/1 Kylienips - School of Seven Bells - The night || 100/1 ---- Some of the songs with longer odds (See Kopecka/Mdice) I think will do well, but have no shot of winning. I reckon 7-12 beckons for them. Yes, I did just put myself top of my own odds :kink: We are starting to get more confident in our own entry. Above the line is the likely top5 but I can see this being a straight Tone vs Carly fight, which I naturally want to win.
February 5, 201213 yr 10/1 and joint 6th? :o I agree though, this is Ashton's to lose :wub: My final odds will be up tomorrow!
February 5, 201213 yr IMHO, I think It's Ashton's to lose now, and deservedly so :wub: It does seem to be where the momentum is at the moment, only Ramrynia might get in the way of an easy victory for Ashton, depends how much Call Me Maybe appeals to the Semi 1 voters, I'm going to assume that they'll more or less appeal to the same voters for the most part. As a side note, I would love to bag another top five this month, but I'd be content with a return to the top ten after last month's minor disaster :lol:
February 5, 201213 yr Looks like everyone is believing Ashton will win, I am delighted I've always had it at a front runner. Our Updates odds will be up later.
February 5, 201213 yr Come to think of it, both Tone and Carly both seem like the two people least likely to get into an actual fight :lol:
February 5, 201213 yr Author I hate Ashtons bets :D But seriously I better not come Bottom 5 AGAIN. Edited February 5, 201213 yr by Oricon
February 5, 201213 yr Looks like everyone is believing Ashton will win, I am delighted I've always had it at a front runner. Our Updates odds will be up later. It's sort of crept up on the outside for me, despite always being a strong contender from the off. My only doubts came from the fact that Tone's BJSC record is patchy, with even Butterflies 'only' finishing 4th. However, as I stated before, the landscape of the contest has completely changed since she was last entered and the pure pop lovers really rule the roost now, purely by virute of vastly outnumbering everybody else.
February 5, 201213 yr Opening odds for the final from RontBet; Ashton - Tone Damli - Look back 6/4 ^_^ Topping the odds from the renowned RontBet is wonderful news! Also with the same odds as AshBet :o IMHO, I think It's Ashton's to lose now, and deservedly so :wub: :wub: Thanks! I agree though, this is Ashton's to lose :wub: My final odds will be up tomorrow!:wub: Y'all are making this very hard for me to be modest. It does seem to be where the momentum is at the moment, only Ramrynia might get in the way of an easy victory for Ashton, depends how much Call Me Maybe appeals to the Semi 1 voters, I'm going to assume that they'll more or less appeal to the same voters for the most part. As a side note, I would love to bag another top five this month, but I'd be content with a return to the top ten after last month's minor disaster :lol: Cross-over appeal is likely to be where this contest is won, and I just can't see Call Me Maybe crossing over as well as Look Back (Not that I think Look Back is going to cross over well at all) Looks like everyone is believing Ashton will win, I am delighted I've always had it at a front runner. Our Updates odds will be up later. Your support is most appreciated! :wub: Come to think of it, both Tone and Carly both seem like the two people least likely to get into an actual fight :lol: Very true! Both seem to sweet/nice to get into a scrap. I hate Ashtons bets :D But seriously I better not come Bottom 5 AGAIN.The odds get very long, very quickly because realistically there is little chance of anyone outside the top5 winning and a lot of the songs have basically no chance of winning. The newer people here need to break the link between position on the odds and finishing position. Both Kopecka and Mdice are in the 30's but I expect them to be around the bottom of the top 10, I don't think they'll win which is why they have long odds. It's sort of crept up on the outside for me, despite always being a strong contender from the off. My only doubts came from the fact that Tone's BJSC record is patchy, with even Butterflies 'only' finishing 4th. However, as I stated before, the landscape of the contest has completely changed since she was last entered and the pure pop lovers really rule the roost now, purely by virute of vastly outnumbering everybody else.I like how it wasn't mentioned in the list of front runners to begin with and was just kind of near the top at the start. Then as the week's progressed it's built up into a proper front runner. I Love You did alright in the end and tbf it should have finished lower than Butterflies as it's not as good. I Know is a disastrous DNQ and I don't think the Live video helped it's cause in a NGDA situation.
February 5, 201213 yr I hate Ashtons bets :D But seriously I better not come Bottom 5 AGAIN. Just be thankful you qualified.
February 5, 201213 yr Aquafina's News " Aquafina have recieved a record breaking bets in the past two days with the public favouring Ashton closely followed by Ramyrina & Rontvia. Aqufian's betting shops could only hope we see an underdog winning " Ashton - Tone Damli - Look Back 1/1 FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares 3/1 Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe 3/1 Numayania - The Storm - My crown 6/1 Syndare - SoSo - Who's gonna love me 7/1 Tinmark - Andremo Feat Coco - Music Is Turning Me On 14/1 Hendina - Dj Tatana Feat Natalia Kills - You Can't Get In My Hed 14/1 Unovia - Dia Frampton - Billy The Kid 17/1 Fljótavík - Foxes - Youth 19/1 Greenfroze - Belanova - Mariposas 20/1 Batidas - Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer 25/1 (Greatest Gainer) Kluminican Republic - Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night 27/1 Botanikka - Ria Ritchie - Only one 28/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold - Le Kid - Human behaviour 30/1 B.a.N.G - Lydia Caesar - Lottery 30/1 Budtar – Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon – Take me away 30/1 Allecian - Mercedes and I - Wintersnow 61/2 Caerfyrddia – Marigold – You and I know 32/1 Mdiče - MNDR - #1 in heaven 34/1 Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up 34/1 Lievant - Mullyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar 35/1 Kopečka - Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix) || 37/1 Espen - Moa Lignell - When I held ya || 42/1 Sangria - Moonlight Breakfast - Still || 45/1 Bignia-Zaragovina - Britt Daley - One and only 63/1 N-Lazone - Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia 65/1 Séyetana - Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids 70/1 Scherzland - Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal 72/1 Daehun – moumoon – Sunshine girl 90/1 ChrIseland - Donkeyboy - City boy 120/1 Kylienips - School of Seven Bells - The night 1000/1 Edited February 5, 201213 yr by lee wallace
February 5, 201213 yr ^_^ Topping the odds from the renowned RontBet is wonderful news! Also with the same odds as AshBet :o To be fair, your second win should have come with Jag Kommer so it's a bit overdue! Cross-over appeal is likely to be where this contest is won, and I just can't see Call Me Maybe crossing over as well as Look Back (Not that I think Look Back is going to cross over well at all) Who knows, maybe Mdice could wade in with another unexpected Tone Damli 12? :o Call Me Maybe might have quite a bit of crossover appeal, I saw it in West's chart in the personal chart forum and he's quite indie in his tastes usually. A strong pop song, which Look Back is, should always have a degree of crossover appeal. And if not then you could just twelve it to victory by not even appealing to the majority of the voters (until the UK release of course :funky:) a la Video Games! I like how it wasn't mentioned in the list of front runners to begin with and was just kind of near the top at the start. Then as the week's progressed it's built up into a proper front runner. It's been a firm third in my odds throughout the week but as the hype for SoSo has petered off a bit (although I still can't envisage it outside the top five), the hype for Tone has only grown and grown, from comments I've seen in this and other threads it seems like you've already got five or six guaranteed 12's in the bag! More to the point, although the song is really instant, it's also an incredible grower. So people won't get bored of it after the first listen, but it's instantly likeable enough to know that you want to support it. And the sky's the limit on subsequent listens. Three in a row :funky: yes I know the middle one is mine and I put it there I always appreciate seeing honesty over modesty in the odds. And it's great to see odds from AshBet, you really should do them every month! People that are worried about looking big headed by giving themselves good odds with a great song should just remember that if the UK had a stunning entry to Eurovision, a certain winner, I can guarantee that William Hill would restrict the odds to as narrow as possible, 6/4 or something, because everybody would rush to put money on their home country if they believed that we had a chance in a display of misplaced patriotism. British bookies always get the most money put on the United Kingdom, because Joe Public has never heard any of the other songs pre-contest and put a small bet on it just in case. There's no room for modesty at a bookmakers, you'd lose too much money. Which is why I never understood why the likes of Nonsuch and Kingdom of Shadow would downplay one of their many top 3's to a 40/1 along with a 'oh no, it's never going to do as well as you all think because...' type comment. Admittedly the former was proven correct with Never Leave You finishing 'only' 9th, which he hailed one of the greatest pop songs of the noughties when it leaked and he confirmed it. That's not delusion, that's incredible hyperbole.
February 5, 201213 yr Look Back is SO much better than Butterflies - I found Butterflies too twee for my liking, but the chorus to Look Back is superb.
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