Even flipping New Hampshire wouldn't quite do it (and of the 4 that's the most likely one to slip for a number of reasons). His path is getting wider and easier, but it's still a lot smaller than hers as she can afford to lose Florida AND North Carolina AND Nevada AND New Hampshire and still win. He loses any one of those, or any of Iowa, Ohio, Arizona or Florida and he's done.

 

Also, if McMullin wins in Utah, then that complicates his path still further.

I can't tell you all just how much it fills my heart with SONG AND LIGHT to see that I can go away for a couple of days and the forum is autonomously debunking Michael and PeaceMob *.*

Even flipping New Hampshire wouldn't quite do it (and of the 4 that's the most likely one to slip for a number of reasons). His path is getting wider and easier, but it's still a lot smaller than hers as she can afford to lose Florida AND North Carolina AND Nevada AND New Hampshire and still win. He loses any one of those, or any of Iowa, Ohio, Arizona or Florida and he's done.

 

Also, if McMullin wins in Utah, then that complicates his path still further.

That actually is right. If he won New Hampshire, that would result in a 269-269 tie, but if he won New Hampshire, he'd probably win Maine's second congressional district too, which is one electoral vote, which gives him 270 exactly. But, that just shows what an uphill battle it is for Trump, or really any Republican presidential nominee in recent elections. But, if New Hampshire did decide to go red this cycle, it would be 2000 all over again with them screwing us over and giving us the low-IQ Republican incompetent.

 

This is what a tie would look like: http://www.270towin.com/maps/byzWB

Edited October 29, 20168 yr by bluesunstorm

Michigan is now in play, very, very early stages but Trump is now looking good to winning Michigan.

Michigan is now in play, very, very early stages but Trump is now looking good to winning Michigan.

 

Translation: Trump hasn't had a lead in a single Michigan poll since the end of August, and several have Clinton up by more than 7 points.

Translation: Trump hasn't had a lead in a single Michigan poll since the end of August, and several have Clinton up by more than 7 points.

You keep grabbing hold onto those polls for dear life whilst I'll look at real numbers.

What real numbers? Just because you've learned how to count to ten doesn't mean you have a better understanding of figures than virtually every poling expert.

I'll pose a question, to avoid making suggestions I have no evidence for:

 

Isn't it funny how the organisation that has already decided there is no criminal case to answer for has opened it up again just before final voting day?

 

Isn't it odd that the man in charge of said org, who is very very likely to be for the chop should Clinton win, has no problems with the timing of the "re-opening" of evidence they have had for ages and already reviewed?

 

Isn't it amazingly co-incidental that the Wikileaks founder, conspicuously avoiding going to trial, seems happy to work with Russia to attack Clinton?

 

And how co-incidental that Trump has publicly requested both Russia and Wikileaks hack into confidential USA documents, something which most Americans seem to regard as the acts of a traitor (see Snowden, currently living in Russia)?

 

A suspicious person might think Donald Trump has some very powerful friends?

You keep grabbing hold onto those polls for dear life whilst I'll look at real numbers.

:D

I can't tell you all just how much it fills my heart with SONG AND LIGHT to see that I can go away for a couple of days and the forum is autonomously debunking Michael and PeaceMob *.*

 

 

Hope y'all are right but I doubt it :(

Were we right about the primaries?

I was correct about the momentum.

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/10/29/politics...ooter_expansion

 

I was right about this too.

 

It's over.

No, you weren't.

Fascist joke Donald Trump has turned a 12% disadvantage into a stastical tie in 4 days. So ...

I was correct about the momentum.

 

This isn't a cable news channel and you aren't running for office, but nice pivot.

No, you weren't.

 

 

Fascist joke Donald Trump has turned a 12% disadvantage into a stastical tie in 4 days. So ...

See above for sentiment

Michigan is now in play, very, very early stages but Trump is now looking good to winning Michigan.

Is another one of your infallible sources telling you this? 538 currently has her with an 86.2% chance of winning the state, and has her currently 6.4 points ahead based on the polls: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-e...ecast/michigan/. Clinton currently has a better chance at winning Georgia, Arizona, and Alaska, than Trump has at winning Michigan. You can believe whatever you want, but polling and information matter and are very reliable when it comes to US presidential elections, because polling is done so frequently. President Obama won Michigan last election by ~10 points, there's no way a candidate with such low-favorability as Trump would swing it by that much to win the state, especially when so many polls show him getting 0% African-American support in Detroit, or close to it. You can't just spout nonsense without any numbers to back it up and expect to be taken seriously.

Edited October 29, 20168 yr by bluesunstorm

Fascist joke Donald Trump has turned a 12% disadvantage into a stastical tie in 4 days. So ...

 

Whilst it's unusual for a poll to jump that much in a short space of time, the 12% lead for Clinton was about 5 points above the average last week (and in a 7 point race you expect there to be +10/12 Clinton leads, as well as +2/3, it's an average after all) to now it's about 3/4 points worse. Again, in a 5 point race where we are now, a poll showing her with a 2% lead is perfectly normal and hardly signs of any seismic shifting.

 

If polls next weekend have it as tight as it was mid-September I will worry, but with enough early voting in a few states she should probably be able to hold on in enough places to win. I'm not expecting a 350 EV win by any means, but with Nevada, PA, NC and maybe Florida she could still win handily.

As voters have seemingly forgotten the pussy grab gate like goldfish, he has the momentum and she has dmail gate AGAIN thanks ti the rich men going all in together. So I just cam'y see a turn around unless Billy Bush releases another tape (which btw he has).