Also consider that for 50 years Kansas has voted for the next nominee and chose Bernie!

Again - momentum doesn't mean anything if it isn't translating into delegate leads over and above what he needed already in the previous states.

Using the table that was posted a few pages back, Oklahoma is the only state where the Clinton target of a win wasn't reached.

And Vermont and New Hampshire.

And Vermont and New Hampshire.

 

Neither Vermont or New Hampshire were Clinton win targets on the table a few pages back.

Worth noting that screeching 'MOMENTUM!!' despite failing to meet most targets was exactly what Hillary was doing this time eight years ago. Except she was doing better than Bernie is now.

IF (and it really is a huge if) the polls in the likes of Illinois and Ohio are wrong next week by anything like the margins Michigan proved to be, then I might start to consider Bernie a viable threat to her nomination, but as it stands Michigan is simply an anomaly on which no conclusions regarding momentum for either can be based.

 

But, if those polls ring true (and at this stage we have no reason to believe they won't) it will put Clinton well ahead and even if Bernie wins ALL the states running up to New York on April 19th and even if he meets his targets (which, again, he's only met/surpassed 8 times so far) he still won't have done enough to catch up.

 

Actually, having done the math (because I'm super bored), assuming he MEETS his target in every single state from here on out, he still only gets 1948 delegates....and loses. Now, we've had 22 contests so far and he's only met his target in 8 of those, so that makes that an even tougher ask and that's only to narrowly LOSE.

http://www.salon.com/2016/03/07/caitlyn_je...ss_about_women/

 

Oop! Caityln Jenner thinks Republicans are more for trans than Democrats :lol:

Anyway, in other news from yesterday... Marco Rubio didn't win a single delegate anywhere. Kasich is going to outlast him in the race at this rate.

Good as he was the biggest threat.

Anyway, in other news from yesterday... Marco Rubio didn't win a single delegate anywhere. Kasich is going to outlast him in the race at this rate.

Kasich's prospects of success were summarised very well by Hugh Dennis on The Now Show last week. He observed that the fact that he was unsure how to pronounce Kasich's name told you all you needed to know about his chances.

Ha so I was rigt all along!!

 

Pollsters aren't correct still and tje momentum now means he will win the nomination.

 

Keep dreaming. :D

I bet you all vs me and Bre to a two week name change picked by others over this!

 

Sure. Dunning-Kruger it is.

Deal.

I'll also add that this is barring a massive scandal along the lines of Hillary Clinton being indicted or whatever.

Fine. This is aboot the primary election.

Talking rationally about this Clinton will probably win but I wonder what'll mean for her campaign that Sanders has done so decently!

I'm going to take a stab and say that a large swathe of the Sanderites who've supported him because he's seen as the anti-establishment candidate will jump ship and vote for Trump when he secures the nomination.