...but Hillary is 108% of her target? :unsure:

 

And the next states PLUS California? It is obviously not a done deal and over if he is just 8% off winning.

And the next states PLUS California? It is obviously not a done deal and over if he is just 8% off winning.

 

Sanders would need to get 73% in California to turn that 125 delegate deficit into a level playing field. Yes he's got Oregon to gain some delegates beforehand, but Clinton has Virginia and Puerto Rico to extend her lead even further.

 

Plus it's likely that Clinton will win in New Jersey means Sanders would probably need more than 73% in California to claw it back.

Yeah Clinton only has three wins left according to that. So Bernie has to make up ground in states he's already projected to win.

 

Anyone with a basic comprehension of mathematics could see Bernie was f***ed after Super Tuesday when the south went Clinton in a f***ing big way

Yeah Clinton only has three wins left according to that. So Bernie has to make up ground in states he's already projected to win.

 

Exactly, and people are kidding themselves if they think she will only get the three wins.

 

I count Kentucky, Virginia, Puerto Rico with the possibilities of Guam and Virgin Islands straight off the bat. Indiana possibly as well since FiveThirtyEight have her as a 78% chance of winning there.

But California will go for Bernie!

But California will go for Bernie!

 

A win won't be enough though Michael. By the time California comes around he'll need to get 67-68% which he's never done for a primary other than Vermont.

A win won't be enough though Michael. By the time California comes around he'll need to get 67-68% which he's never done for a primary other than Vermont.

 

Wisconsin.

Wisconsin.

 

What about Wisconsin? He only got 56.6% there. :blink:

I do actually think Bernie could sneak a win in California, but something along the lines of 50-49 which would be a huge coup for him if that were the case, but delegate wise he needs about 350 from there at this point and that just isn't going to happen.

The Republican Party has said that Donald Trump is now the Presumptive nominee after Ted Cruz suspended his campaign. Of course the remaining primaries will take place.

That was inevitable, Cruz was never going to catch up.

 

In some ways Bernie has lost tonight as he really needed to get +65% to actually make a statement on catching Clinton.

Well, with Kasich having NO chance of catching up and Trump being on a very clear path to winning outright anyway after that result it makes sense for Cruz to drop out.

 

Sanders' win is a nice little boon for him and his supporters, but he was favoured to win on demographics (and that's been a VERY reliable predictor so far) so it's not a big surprise. His overall gains are once again so small, he actually ended up still needed to win a HIGHER percentage of what's left despite winning. Momen...oh who the f*** cares at this point. Bye Bernie.

Not so fast!

 

Cruz dropping out means Berbie will sweep and win.

 

http://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/5-reasons-b..._b_9834348.html

Trump on course to win outright is somewhat of a relief. I was worried there would literally be riots at the RNC if there was a contested convention and they handed it to Cruz. Plus I still think Cruz is basically just an even worse version of Trump. RIP Ted Cruz, may we never hear of you again. I hope Kasich still sticks around though, would be nice for him to win another state or two if there are any strongly #NeverTrump states left :lol:

 

Sanders winning Indiana was another fairly big polling miss, not quite Michigan levels but winning after FiveThirtyEight gave him a 10% chance. Momentum!! Once again though, an open primary, so of course Sanders had a better chance there. He could possibly dominate even more in open primares now the Republican race is over. It's too late of course though.

Not so fast!

 

Cruz dropping out means Berbie will sweep and win.

 

http://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/5-reasons-b..._b_9834348.html

 

I'm going to have to courier you a BUCKET OF SALT, just so you can take a pinch every time you log on to HuffPost.

But they have a point. He had a 10% chance of winning Indiana following the polls and ... nope. If he continues and wins all 15 states and gathers momentum like Huff Post says!!

But they have a point. He had a 10% chance of winning Indiana following the polls and ... nope. If he continues and wins all 15 states and gathers momentum like Huff Post says!!

Hillary doesn't have to win any more states to get the nomination. She only needs to win 180 more delegates of the remaining 1,100 to get the nomination. She could lose every single state by 80-20 and she would still get the nomination. She has won on pledged delegates, she has won on superdelegates, she has won on states, she has won on votes. All of those things will still be true even if Bernie beats her 80-20 in every state from here on out. He won't. She has won on every single democratic metric going.

 

Bernie. Has. Lost. Stop peddling this bollocks.

That is assuming Super Delegates won't change if they see a campaign collapse!!

Yes, it is assuming it, because they won't change. Hillary will have won the majority of states. The majority of votes. The majority of pledged delegates. You're expecting party delegates that are loyal to Hillary and not Bernie-inclined in any case to overrule the will of the Democratic voters and switch to Bernie because oh, I guess you said so (off the back of a few late landslide victories which, uh, didn't materialise for all the other contests you predicted them to happen in). It is one of the stupidest arguments ever.

Plus I still think Cruz is basically just an even worse version of Trump.

Well not quite. Cruz is a disgusting almost-theocrat, but if nothing else he wasn't running on a platform of open racism that has people fearing for their lives.