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Well generally to run a presidential election in a country as huge and media-saturated as the US, money helps.
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Marco Rubio, 42, son of a Cuban immigrant, enters the race for the Republicans. Some say he hasn't enough experience and is rather young.

Edited by Common Sense

Experience is the least of my concerns about Marco Rubio. I don't think there's a single position Craig would disagree with him on.
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First Clinton gaffe of the campaign. She said that all her grandparents were immigrants. Wrong. Only one was born outside the US.
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Surprised at the lack of reaction to Donald Trump announcing his bid for presidency. Even as someone who almost wanted Sarah Palin to run because "it'll be funny", I am not feeling anything good about this.

 

Considering he's basically Jesus 2 to Republicans and Hilary's campaign seems really blah so far... how big a factor can he be?

I did read several commentators speculating about him being as much of ''reality star'' to most people as anything else, which makes sense and can surely only hurt his chances. I did quite like his announcement though, which essentially amounted to: I'm a f***ING BILLIONAIRE and that means I am smarter and better than everyone else. VOTE4ME.
Surprised at the lack of reaction to Donald Trump announcing his bid for presidency. Even as someone who almost wanted Sarah Palin to run because "it'll be funny", I am not feeling anything good about this.

 

Considering he's basically Jesus 2 to Republicans and Hilary's campaign seems really blah so far... how big a factor can he be?

 

No factor at all. He's only "running", just like he has since every election cycle since 1988, to promote some sort of TV show or product, which will become clear over the next few weeks. The only reason he appears to be taking it more serious on this occasion is because he's cried wolf so many times before that he needs to make it look like he wants to this time around. I give it 2 months before he withdraws.

 

 

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So Jeb Bush has announced that he's running. He could well get the Republican nomination and be a formidable opponent for Clinton. Some US commentators think his surname will handicap him though. Could we see a third President Bush?

Jeb Bush does have a lot of things going from him. He's seen as one of the more 'moderate' Republicans, his more concessionary stance towards immigration could help him win over Hispanic voters, which have historically plumped for the Democrats for a wider margin (plus his wife is Hispanic), and as a good old Catholic, he doesn't have the same evangelical zeal that many find off-putting about other runners. The one thing that he does have against him is a big one - he's a Bush. I notice that in his launch video he shied away from using his surname as much as possible, as although (remarkably) George W's reputation has recovered somewhat amongst Americans since he left office, the brand is still somewhat toxic.

 

Whatever happens though, I can't imagine that this is going to be another Bush vs Clinton campaign in 2016.

Let's be real though, there's no actual chance of Bernie Sanders being the Democratic candidate. He'll come within a few points of winning a primary or a caucus, there'll be a big old media storm, they'll whack out people like Warren to campaign for her, she'll smash the rest of it. Even Reagan had a stumble as the prohibitive favourite in 1980.

 

She's also not in a worse position - basically *everybody* in the Democratic senate caucus, most congressmen and most governors have already endorsed Hillary, which is pretty much unprecedented at this stage. Obama was able to get the momentum he did partly because there were a lot of higher ups in the Democrats who were wary of Hillary and thought he was better, so she never really had the full backing of the party establishment in a way she does now.

I agree Hillary will win the nomination, but I could see Sanders taking a few primariies. In the US, like everywhere, there's a feeling that the centre-left leaders need to grow some balls and finally take a tough stance on the super-rich and big businesses, rather than continue to endlessly give in to the Right.
Which, ironically enough, is exactly what Hillary has been pivoting towards for the last couple of months. Honestly, it's like trying to herd cats.
Which, ironically enough, is exactly what Hillary has been pivoting towards for the last couple of months. Honestly, it's like trying to herd cats.

 

Not really, she's just done what Miliband did: thrown out some woolly talk about how bad inequality is, without having the nerve to suggest anything that would combat it. But a strong challenge in the primaries might hopefully force her hand.

Edited by Danny

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Has Joe Biden given any indication yet as to whether he may stand? Just wondering if I've missed it. Don't think he'd beat Hillary to the nomination though.
Has Joe Biden given any indication yet as to whether he may stand? Just wondering if I've missed it. Don't think he'd beat Hillary to the nomination though.

I'm not aware of any announcement from him so far. There seems to be a general assumption that he won't contest the nomination, but he hasn't confirmed that.

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